Luke Davis
C Jersey Shore BlueClaws| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+/A/ROKPHI | 287 | .181/.392/.281 | 5 | 0 | 53 | — | .149/.290/.235 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 219 | .222/.393/.351 | 4 | 3 | 71 | — | .168/.272/.286 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBPHI | 234 | .175/.287/.275 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBPHI | 39 | .181/.291/.290 | 1 | 1 | 67 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBPHI | 81 | .185/.292/.297 | 2 | 1 | 69 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 38
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 132 | 98 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 364 | 204 | 568 | 61 | 174 | 20 | 25 | 294 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 113 | 82 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 394 | 280 | 675 | 85 | 242 | 20 | 22 | 319 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 42 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 476 | 533 | 1.010 | 267 | 286 | 17 | 29 | 446 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 184 | 146 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 48 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 370 | 342 | 712 | 137 | 277 | 26 | 21 | 333 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 320 | 514 | 400 | 914 | 80 | 421 | 17 | 29 | 428 | 176 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 132 | 113 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 124 | 250 | 177 | 427 | 53 | 159 | 27 | 14 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 113 | 89 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 321 | 247 | 568 | 79 | 209 | 26 | 16 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 42 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 333 | 382 | 716 | 206 | 214 | 24 | 19 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 184 | 161 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 63 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 168 | 272 | 286 | 557 | 118 | 236 | 34 | 12 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 287 | 236 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 290 | 220 | 510 | 72 | 193 | 26 | 15 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 287 | 210 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 70 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 392 | 281 | 673 | 100 | 217 | 20 | 24 | 326 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 192 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 161 | 265 | 266 | 530 | 104 | 239 | 34 | 12 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 219 | 171 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 393 | 351 | 744 | 129 | 301 | 25 | 22 | 349 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 287 | 238 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 290 | 218 | 508 | 71 | 187 | 26 | 15 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 190 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 163 | 265 | 268 | 533 | 105 | 236 | 34 | 12 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 287 | 238 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 290 | 218 | 508 | 71 | 187 | 26 | 15 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 219 | 190 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 163 | 265 | 268 | 533 | 105 | 236 | 34 | 12 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 234 | 200 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 69 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 175 | 287 | 275 | 562 | 100 | 241 | 29 | 13 | 263 | 64 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 30% | 128 | 110 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 180 | 289 | 285 | 575 | 105 | 244 | 29 | 12 | 267 | 67 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 44% | 183 | 157 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 52 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 183 | 291 | 292 | 583 | 109 | 246 | 28 | 13 | 270 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 49% | 225 | 194 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 185 | 292 | 295 | 587 | 110 | 248 | 28 | 12 | 272 | 70 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | PHI | 52% | 254 | 219 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 72 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 187 | 291 | 296 | 587 | 110 | 250 | 28 | 12 | 272 | 70 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | PHI | 51% | 267 | 232 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 187 | 290 | 296 | 585 | 109 | 250 | 28 | 12 | 271 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 51% | 274 | 238 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 286 | 288 | 573 | 104 | 248 | 29 | 12 | 266 | 66 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 30% | 39 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 291 | 290 | 581 | 109 | 244 | 28 | 13 | 270 | 67 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 44% | 81 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 292 | 297 | 590 | 113 | 247 | 28 | 12 | 273 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 49% | 110 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 293 | 301 | 594 | 114 | 249 | 28 | 12 | 274 | 70 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | PHI | 52% | 131 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 292 | 302 | 594 | 114 | 250 | 28 | 12 | 274 | 70 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | PHI | 51% | 137 | 119 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 291 | 301 | 592 | 113 | 251 | 28 | 12 | 273 | 69 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 51% | 141 | 122 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 287 | 293 | 580 | 107 | 248 | 28 | 12 | 268 | 66 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 639 | 553 | 101 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 77 | 181 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 183 | 288 | 291 | 579 | 108 | 240 | 28 | 12 | 272 | 64 | -24 | +1 | -2 | +11 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 563 | 102 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 78 | 184 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 181 | 286 | 288 | 574 | 107 | 238 | 28 | 12 | 272 | 64 | -24 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1922 | 1651 | 291 | 53 | 7 | 33 | 242 | 555 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 176 | 287 | 277 | 564 | 101 | 240 | 29 | 13 | 263 | 64 | -53 | +1 | -4 | +25 | +31 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 558 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 82 | 188 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 176 | 287 | 274 | 561 | 99 | 240 | 29 | 13 | 263 | 64 | -24 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | -0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 184 PAwOBA .326 → .243 (−83)K% 26.1% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 12.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 17.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .326 → .243; ISO .137 → .117; BABIP .277 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 132 PAwOBA .288 → .209 (−79)K% 20.5% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 13.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.90% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 15.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.40% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .288 → .209; ISO .061 → .057; BABIP .174 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AClearwater Threshers · 113 PAwOBA .324 → .263 (−61)K% 20.4% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.35% | ÷1.065 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.12% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | — | 15.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.64% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | — | 16.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | — | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .324 → .263; ISO .085 → .074; BABIP .242 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 42 PAwOBA .436 → .324 (−111)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.928 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 18.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 13.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.917 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 7.21% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 100, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .436 → .324; ISO .267 → .222; BABIP .286 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .