Luke DavisC
Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 23
S/R
6'0" / 205 lbs
A+
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 2.0 · 2030
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .309 / .338
PA277
HR6
SB5
K%26
BB%11
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
38↗43
PWR
34↗39
SPD
43↗48
EYE
73↗78
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.0peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +2.0 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.9 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.7 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.5 | $15M | +$12M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.2 | $12M | +$8M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.9 | $5M | +$0.7M |
| Totals | $14M | $83M | +$70M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 287 | 234 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 76 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .150 | .297 | .235 | .532 | .085 | .191 | 26 | 16 | .254 | 52 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 51 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .136 | .255 | .159 | .414 | .023 | .222 | 33 | 14 | .211 | 20 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 226 | 197 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 62 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .213 | .308 | .325 | .633 | .112 | .280 | 27 | 11 | .288 | 79 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.6 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | 277 | 241 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 79 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .199 | .298 | .295 | .593 | .095 | .277 | 29 | 12 | .274 | 68 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | PHI | 317 | 273 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .223 | .325 | .355 | .680 | .132 | .273 | 23 | 12 | .303 | 90 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | PHI | 379 | 327 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 87 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .226 | .327 | .361 | .688 | .135 | .275 | 23 | 12 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | PHI | 418 | 361 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 95 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .227 | .328 | .363 | .691 | .136 | .277 | 23 | 12 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | PHI | 436 | 377 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 100 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .223 | .323 | .353 | .676 | .130 | .277 | 23 | 12 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | PHI | 443 | 383 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 102 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .225 | .325 | .355 | .680 | .131 | .277 | 23 | 12 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | PHI | 440 | 380 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 103 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .221 | .323 | .350 | .673 | .129 | .276 | 23 | 12 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | PHI | 435 | 375 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 103 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .221 | .324 | .352 | .676 | .131 | .274 | 24 | 12 | .305 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | PHI | 411 | 354 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 50 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .220 | .324 | .347 | .671 | .127 | .273 | 24 | 12 | .301 | 88 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 383 | 331 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 95 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .218 | .318 | .341 | .660 | .124 | .271 | 25 | 12 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 345 | 298 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 88 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .310 | .322 | .632 | .114 | .270 | 26 | 12 | .291 | 81 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 295 | 256 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 77 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .203 | .304 | .305 | .608 | .102 | .268 | 26 | 12 | .285 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -5 | +5 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 240 | 208 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 65 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .197 | .298 | .298 | .596 | .101 | .265 | 27 | 12 | .277 | 70 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 185 | 160 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 52 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .194 | .295 | .294 | .589 | .100 | .262 | 28 | 12 | .269 | 64 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5240 | 4514 | 967 | 172 | 23 | 111 | 637 | 1277 | 47 | 78 | 8 | .214 | .318 | .336 | .654 | .122 | .271 | 24 | 12 | .298 | 86 | -83 | +12 | -31 | +94 | +148 | 14.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 560 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 79 | 158 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .214 | .318 | .338 | .655 | .123 | .271 | 24 | 12 | .298 | 86 | -10 | +2 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 132 | 98 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .364 | .204 | .568 | .061 | .174 | 20 | 25 | .294 | 83 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 113 | 82 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .195 | .394 | .280 | .675 | .085 | .242 | 20 | 22 | .319 | 103 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 42 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .267 | .476 | .533 | 1.010 | .267 | .286 | 17 | 29 | .446 | 199 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luke Davis (OGILVIE) | 23 | 38→43 | 34→39 | 43→48 | 78 | .216/.309/.338 | .122 | .285 | 6 | 5 | 26% | 11% | 85 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Thomas Dillard 2021 · A |
23 | 45→38 | 45 | 52→50 | 53 | .218/.310/.338 | .119 | .300 | 13 | 10 | 29% | 11% | 85 | +0.7 | .196/.284/.325 | .129 | .329 | 14 | 9 | 41% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .180/.273/.308 | .128 | .304 | 14 | 9 | 42% | 10% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A |
23 | 48 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 56 | .228/.322/.334 | .106 | .302 | 7 | 15 | 25% | 12% | 89 | +0.9 | .195/.288/.290 | .095 | .289 | 7 | 13 | 31% | 11% | 63 | -0.8 | .147/.251/.227 | .080 | .231 | 6 | 13 | 35% | 12% | 30 | -2.1 |
|
✕Drew Millas 2022 · A |
24 | 48 | 38→45 | 51→50 | 53 | .225/.303/.308 | .083 | .279 | 5 | 14 | 20% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.299/.332 | .106 | .294 | 9 | 12 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .252/.308/.379 | .127 | .291 | 12 | 17 | 17% | 7% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Colin Walsh 2013 · A |
23 | 48→53 | 48→45 | 48→50 | 52 | .238/.311/.382 | .143 | .276 | 15 | 6 | 19% | 9% | 96 | +1.5 | .231/.305/.342 | .111 | .302 | 10 | 8 | 25% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .212/.320/.332 | .121 | .306 | 11 | 7 | 31% | 13% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A |
23 | 46 | 44→45 | 52→45 | 48 | .226/.285/.348 | .122 | .272 | 10 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .201/.267/.278 | .077 | .279 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .159/.237/.177 | .019 | .231 | 0 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 9 | -1.4 |
|
✕Noah Cardenas 2023 · A |
23 | 47→46 | 45→40 | 47→45 | 55 | .228/.340/.356 | .128 | .297 | 12 | 9 | 25% | 12% | 103 | +1.9 | .207/.310/.310 | .103 | .284 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .185/.291/.280 | .095 | .254 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Lobatón 2008 · A |
23 | 43 | 45 | 43→30 | 46 | .215/.286/.337 | .123 | .293 | 12 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .217/.277/.339 | .122 | .291 | 13 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .241/.325/.370 | .129 | .305 | 12 | 0 | 23% | 11% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
●Jemile Weeks 2010 · AA |
23 | 49→59 | 44→45 | 52→55 | 48 | .240/.305/.358 | .118 | .289 | 12 | 12 | 21% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .247/.307/.353 | .106 | .293 | 7 | 18 | 17% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .253/.322/.344 | .091 | .305 | 3 | 20 | 17% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 |
|
✕BJ Murray 2023 · A |
23 | 49→43 | 44→50 | 47→50 | 49 | .236/.316/.352 | .117 | .319 | 11 | 9 | 28% | 10% | 91 | +1.1 | .214/.296/.350 | .136 | .289 | 14 | 12 | 29% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.286/.344 | .144 | .257 | 17 | 15 | 28% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A |
23 | 43 | 40 | 52→50 | 58 | .204/.316/.298 | .095 | .286 | 7 | 14 | 28% | 14% | 78 | +0.2 | .203/.301/.290 | .087 | .301 | 4 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 69 | -0.4 | .184/.288/.306 | .123 | .253 | 10 | 12 | 29% | 12% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Liam Hicks 2023 · A |
24 | 50 | 41→40 | 50→45 | 55 | .237/.327/.338 | .101 | .282 | 8 | 8 | 18% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .236/.329/.329 | .093 | .285 | 8 | 6 | 18% | 10% | 91 | +1.1 | .236/.332/.324 | .088 | .279 | 8 | 4 | 17% | 10% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Austin Martin 2022 · AA |
23 | 50 | 40 | 51→60 | 51 | .232/.340/.330 | .098 | .317 | 7 | 14 | 26% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .224/.319/.308 | .084 | .281 | 6 | 25 | 21% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .251/.338/.332 | .081 | .305 | 5 | 25 | 18% | 10% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA |
23 | 42 | 44→50 | 49→40 | 49 | .210/.296/.330 | .120 | .268 | 12 | 7 | 25% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .225/.309/.364 | .139 | .303 | 15 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .233/.304/.378 | .146 | .278 | 16 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 91 | +0.5 |
|
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A |
21 | 47→48 | 46→50 | 47→45 | 53 | .232/.316/.369 | .138 | .282 | 13 | 11 | 22% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .228/.308/.369 | .141 | .274 | 14 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .219/.301/.361 | .142 | .260 | 15 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Shawn Zarraga 2012 · A |
23 | 49 | 39→40 | 50→45 | 45 | .233/.296/.316 | .083 | .301 | 6 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .249/.309/.343 | .094 | .297 | 6 | 7 | 17% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .272/.340/.355 | .083 | .316 | 4 | 2 | 14% | 7% | 101 | +0.6 |
|
●Tyler Black 2023 · A |
23 | 48→52 | 41→50 | 50→60 | 54 | .223/.318/.326 | .103 | .296 | 7 | 14 | 25% | 11% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.328/.389 | .152 | .306 | 13 | 30 | 25% | 10% | 105 | +2.1 | .235/.328/.388 | .154 | .304 | 14 | 35 | 25% | 10% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
●Mickey Gasper 2019 · A |
23 | 42→52 | 50 | 48→45 | 53 | .219/.300/.371 | .152 | .246 | 19 | 4 | 20% | 10% | 89 | +1.0 | .212/.283/.338 | .126 | .264 | 13 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .242/.338/.383 | .141 | .283 | 15 | 8 | 19% | 10% | 105 | +1.1 |
|
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A |
24 | 47 | 41→40 | 52→50 | 52 | .225/.304/.328 | .103 | .277 | 7 | 14 | 20% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .252/.313/.330 | .078 | .305 | 4 | 11 | 17% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .277/.332/.337 | .060 | .330 | 2 | 10 | 16% | 7% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jamie Ritchie 2016 · A |
23 | 52→53 | 39→40 | 46→45 | 57 | .240/.337/.331 | .091 | .312 | 6 | 8 | 23% | 12% | 94 | +1.3 | .233/.318/.319 | .086 | .313 | 6 | 6 | 25% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .241/.322/.333 | .092 | .314 | 6 | 3 | 23% | 9% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Curt Casali 2012 · A |
23 | 45 | 45→50 | 49→30 | 51 | .222/.289/.350 | .128 | .256 | 12 | 7 | 18% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .237/.308/.369 | .132 | .282 | 13 | 3 | 20% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .237/.317/.360 | .123 | .292 | 12 | 1 | 22% | 9% | 89 | +0.6 |