Hunter Dobbins
C Lakeland Flying Tigers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | ROKDET | 58 | .143/.276/.265 | 1 | 1 | -5 | — | .096/.190/.192 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/ADET | 288 | .208/.299/.380 | 9 | 0 | 25 | — | .136/.208/.243 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBDET | 338 | .177/.244/.281 | 6 | 5 | 48 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBDET | 52 | .178/.245/.282 | 1 | 1 | 51 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 41
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers | — | 58 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 276 | 265 | 541 | 122 | 207 | 33 | 12 | 259 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 80 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 237 | 222 | 460 | 69 | 278 | 44 | 10 | 218 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 208 | 183 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 322 | 443 | 765 | 213 | 327 | 34 | 11 | 339 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers | — | 58 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 190 | 192 | 382 | 96 | 156 | 47 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 80 | 74 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 175 | 162 | 337 | 54 | 245 | 55 | 8 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 208 | 190 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 221 | 274 | 495 | 126 | 270 | 47 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers | — | 58 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 190 | 192 | 382 | 96 | 167 | 47 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK RAW | FCL Tigers | — | 58 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 276 | 265 | 541 | 122 | 207 | 33 | 12 | 259 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 264 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 141 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 212 | 250 | 462 | 110 | 265 | 49 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 288 | 255 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 106 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 299 | 380 | 679 | 173 | 314 | 37 | 10 | 306 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers | — | 58 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 190 | 192 | 382 | 96 | 156 | 47 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 262 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 141 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 212 | 252 | 464 | 111 | 263 | 49 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers | — | 58 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 190 | 192 | 382 | 96 | 156 | 47 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 262 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 141 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 212 | 252 | 464 | 111 | 263 | 49 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | DET | 0% | 338 | 308 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 119 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 177 | 244 | 281 | 525 | 104 | 262 | 35 | 7 | 239 | 48 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | DET | 30% | 172 | 156 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 59 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 248 | 289 | 538 | 108 | 264 | 34 | 7 | 244 | 51 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | DET | 30% | 52 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 245 | 282 | 528 | 104 | 259 | 35 | 8 | 240 | 51 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 52 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 250 | 292 | 542 | 104 | 276 | 35 | 8 | 240 | 34 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 112 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 225 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 187 | 249 | 288 | 538 | 102 | 275 | 35 | 8 | 240 | 34 | -38 | +2 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 665 | 607 | 95 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 279 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 157 | 227 | 265 | 492 | 109 | 259 | 42 | 7 | 219 | 34 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 94 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 273 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 159 | 229 | 270 | 499 | 111 | 262 | 42 | 7 | 219 | 34 | -39 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 208 PAwOBA .330 → .227 (−103)K% 34.1% → 46.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.13% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 46.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.980 | 16.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×0.980 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.961 | ×0.980 | 1.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 5.60% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .330 → .227; ISO .213 → .142; BABIP .327 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 80 PAwOBA .213 → .149 (−64)K% 43.8% → 55.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 55.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 19.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 4.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .213 → .149; ISO .069 → .045; BABIP .278 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Tigers · 58 PAwOBA .253 → .161 (−92)K% 32.8% → 47.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.76% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 47.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 8.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.880 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 2.85% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .253 → .161; ISO .122 → .080; BABIP .207 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).