JeanPierre Ortiz

P Dayton Dragons

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #596

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	12	0	16	3.86	3.34	25.3%	18.7%	—	K 25.3% · BB 18.7% · FIP 3.33
2025	21	ACIN	26	10	91	2.86	3.36	21.7%	8.6%	—	K 16.1% · BB 10.2% · FIP 4.30
2026	22	A+CIN	17	17	67	5.91	4.23	20.9%	10.8%	—	K 16.1% · BB 12.4% · FIP 5.16
2027PROJ	23	MLBCIN	11	11	62	5.14	5.14	17.0%	11.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCIN	6	6	36	4.93	4.85	18.7%	10.3%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCIN	10	10	57	4.76	4.68	19.7%	9.7%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command50FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 88%

CompsNoah Skirrow (age 23) · Tanner Hall (age 22) · Cade Winquest (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%17.0%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CMD3050

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	75	19	14	0	0%	1.4	25.3%	18.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.33	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	75	19	14	0	0%	1.4	25.3%	18.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.33	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	16	75	19	14	0	0%	1.4	25.3%	18.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.34	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	26	10	91	382	83	33	7	38%	3.5	16.1%	10.2%	5.9%	2.3%	2.86	4.30	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	26	10	91	382	83	33	7	38%	3.5	16.1%	10.2%	5.9%	2.3%	2.86	4.30	—
2025	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	26	10	91	382	83	33	7	38%	3.5	21.7%	8.6%	13.1%	1.8%	2.86	3.36	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	17	17	67	297	62	32	8	100%	3.9	16.1%	12.4%	3.7%	3.4%	5.91	5.16	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	17	17	67	297	62	32	8	100%	3.9	16.1%	12.4%	3.7%	3.4%	5.91	5.16	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	17	17	67	297	62	32	8	100%	3.9	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	2.7%	5.91	4.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CIN	11	11	62	262	44	30	8	100%	5.6	17.0%	11.3%	5.6%	3.0%	5.14	5.14	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	84	356	66	37	11	100%	5.6	18.7%	10.3%	8.3%	3.0%	4.93	4.85	+0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	85	361	71	35	11	100%	5.7	19.7%	9.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.68	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	85	361	73	34	11	100%	6.1	20.2%	9.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.66	4.61	+0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	84	355	72	34	11	100%	6.0	20.2%	9.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.65	4.64	+0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	82	345	69	34	11	100%	5.8	20.1%	9.7%	10.4%	3.1%	4.70	4.73	+0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	13	13	78	329	72	30	11	100%	6.0	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	3.3%	4.63	4.59	+0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	73	309	67	29	11	100%	6.1	21.5%	9.5%	12.0%	3.5%	4.71	4.77	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	6	6	36	152	28	16	5	100%	6.0	18.7%	10.3%	8.3%	3.0%	4.93	4.85	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	10	10	57	241	47	23	7	100%	5.7	19.7%	9.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.68	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	68	287	58	27	9	100%	6.2	20.2%	9.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.66	4.61	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	72	304	61	29	9	100%	6.0	20.2%	9.6%	10.6%	3.0%	4.65	4.64	+0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	73	308	62	30	10	100%	6.1	20.1%	9.7%	10.4%	3.1%	4.70	4.73	+0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	71	300	66	27	10	100%	5.9	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	3.3%	4.63	4.59	+0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	67	283	61	27	10	100%	6.1	21.5%	9.5%	12.0%	3.5%	4.71	4.77	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		74	74	443	1872	383	180	59	100%	6.0	20.5%	9.6%	10.9%	3.1%	4.70	4.30	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	173	81	27	100%	6.0	20.5%	9.6%	10.9%	3.1%	4.70	4.30	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		55	27	175	754	128	90	19	49%	3.2	17.0%	11.9%	5.1%	2.5%	4.12	4.54	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	31	200	863	147	103	22	49%	3.2	17.0%	11.9%	5.1%	2.5%	4.12	4.54	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
JeanPierre Ortiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	17.0%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.71	19.5%	9.7%	255	-0.43	—	—	—
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	94
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	90
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	89
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	87
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	86
Dustin McGowan R 2005 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	16.6%	8.3%	3.4%	.286	3.65	19.1%	10.3%	308	-0.97	3.36	690	86
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	85
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	85
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	85
Jackson Finley R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	18.0%	12.8%	1.7%	.361	3.97	20.9%	9.8%	67	-0.19	3.97	150	84
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	84
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	83
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	83
Zach Miner R 2006 · 4.35 FIP	24	SP-	4.35	14.8%	7.8%	2.8%	.300	4.24	13.8%	4.6%	264	-0.11	3.55	386	83
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	83
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	83
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.39	16.6%	6.3%	297	+0.17	3.64	392	82
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.83	17.8%	6.5%	200	+0.57	4.26	292	82
Levi Thomas R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	23	SP-	5.22	18.1%	11.9%	3.9%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.06	5.16	116	82
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	79	20.0%	9.8%	1.20	4.76
Dave Hamilton ('72-'80, 2 WAR*)	3.5	78	21.3%*	10.2%*	1.13*	4.58*
Adam Conley ('21)	2.2	87	19.8%	9.4%	1.16	4.71
Odell Jones ('75-'88, 2 WAR*)	2.7	78	20.8%*	8.8%*	1.18*	4.62*
Scott Sanders ('99)	3.4	97	21.2%	9.3%	1.23	4.86
Dustin McGowan ('17)	3.3	65	19.2%	9.9%	1.08	4.50
Jim Ray ('65-'74, 2 WAR*)	3.1	88	20.5%*	10.4%*	1.14*	4.38*