Marek Houston — OGILVIE

Marek HoustonSS Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION347 act + 231 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .310 / .354

PA231

HR4

SB14

K%24

BB%8

BABIP311

ISO110

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.1	$21M	+$21M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.4	$22M	+$21M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.4	$20M	+$20M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+3.4	$19M	+$15M
2032	Arb-2	$11M	+3.2	$16M	+$11M
2033	Arb-3	$15M	+2.9	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$35M		$112M	+$93M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	110	102	22	4	0	1	6	30	1	7	2	216	266	284	550	69	296	27	5	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	110	100	27	5	0	1	8	21	1	7	2	270	330	350	680	80	333	19	7	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	MIN	—	347	309	84	14	2	6	29	84	2	35	2	272	338	388	727	117	348	24	8	314	98	-1	+6	+0	+4	+10	2.0
YTD	22	A+	MIN	—	347	297	95	17	2	7	41	63	2	35	2	320	406	461	867	141	379	18	12	381	150	+19	+6	+0	+4	+10	4.0
ROS	22	A+	MIN	4%	231	209	51	9	1	4	18	55	2	14	1	244	310	354	663	110	315	24	8	303	90	-3	+2	+3	+2	+7	1.2
ROS	22	MLB	MIN	4%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		315	20	10	297	86	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
FULL	22	A+	MIN	—	357	318	86	14	2	6	30	86	2	36	2	270	337	384	721	113	346	24	8	314	98	-1	+6	+0	+4	+10	2.0
TOT	22	A+	MIN	—	578	518	135	23	3	10	47	139	4	49	3	260	327	374	701	114	333	24	8	309	95	-3	+9	+3	+6	+16	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIN	45%	581	526	129	23	3	10	46	137	4	27	3	245	311	357	668	112	311	24	8	302	90	-7	+4	+7	+6	+16	2.8
2028	24	MLB	MIN	59%	609	550	137	25	3	12	49	142	5	28	3	249	316	371	687	122	311	23	8	307	93	-5	+4	+7	+7	+17	3.1
2029	25	MLB	MIN	65%	623	563	140	25	3	13	50	145	5	29	3	249	316	373	689	124	310	23	8	310	95	-3	+5	+7	+7	+18	3.4
2030	26	MLB	MIN	68%	622	561	139	25	3	13	51	144	5	29	3	248	316	373	689	125	310	23	8	311	96	-3	+5	+7	+7	+18	3.4
2031	27	MLB	MIN	68%	617	556	138	25	3	13	51	144	5	28	3	248	317	374	691	126	310	23	8	311	96	-3	+4	+7	+7	+17	3.4
2032	28	MLB	MIN	68%	609	548	137	25	3	13	51	143	5	27	3	250	320	378	697	128	309	23	8	310	95	-3	+4	+7	+7	+17	3.2
2033	29	MLB	MIN	66%	600	540	133	24	3	12	50	142	5	24	3	246	316	369	684	122	309	24	8	308	94	-4	+4	+6	+6	+17	2.9
2034	30	MLB	MIN	66%	590	530	130	23	3	12	50	141	5	22	2	245	316	368	684	123	308	24	8	305	92	-5	+4	+5	+6	+17	2.7
2035	31	MLB	MIN	65%	579	521	126	23	2	11	49	140	4	18	2	242	312	357	669	115	306	24	8	302	89	-7	+3	+4	+6	+16	2.3
2036	32	MLB	MIN	65%	569	512	121	22	2	10	48	140	4	15	2	236	307	346	652	109	303	25	8	296	85	-10	+2	+3	+6	+16	1.8
2037	33	MLB	MIN	65%	491	444	103	18	2	8	41	123	3	10	1	232	301	336	637	104	299	25	8	290	80	-11	+2	+2	+5	+14	1.1
2038	34	MLB	MIN	60%	416	376	85	14	2	7	34	107	3	6	1	226	295	330	625	104	294	26	8	281	73	-13	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.5
2039	35	MLB	MIN	56%	350	316	68	11	1	5	29	93	2	4	0	215	285	304	589	89	288	27	8	272	66	-13	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.0
2027	23	MLB	MIN	45%	261	237	59	11	1	5	20	62	2	12	1	249	313	367	680	118	312	24	8	297	86	-4	+2	+3	+3	+7	1.1
2028	24	MLB	MIN	59%	358	323	81	15	2	7	29	84	3	16	2	251	318	375	693	124	311	23	8	302	89	-4	+2	+4	+4	+10	1.7
2029	25	MLB	MIN	65%	406	367	92	17	2	9	33	94	3	19	2	251	318	381	699	131	310	23	8	304	91	-4	+3	+5	+4	+12	2.0
2030	26	MLB	MIN	68%	424	384	95	17	2	9	34	98	3	20	2	247	314	372	686	125	310	23	8	305	92	-4	+3	+5	+5	+12	2.1
2031	27	MLB	MIN	68%	420	379	94	17	2	9	35	98	3	19	2	248	317	375	691	127	310	23	8	305	92	-4	+3	+5	+4	+12	2.1
2032	28	MLB	MIN	68%	414	373	93	17	2	9	35	97	3	18	2	249	319	378	697	129	309	23	8	304	91	-4	+3	+4	+4	+12	2.0
2033	29	MLB	MIN	66%	399	360	88	16	2	8	33	94	3	16	2	244	313	367	680	122	309	24	8	303	90	-5	+2	+4	+4	+11	1.8
2034	30	MLB	MIN	66%	387	348	85	15	2	8	33	92	3	14	1	244	315	368	683	124	308	24	9	300	88	-5	+2	+3	+4	+11	1.6
2035	31	MLB	MIN	65%	377	339	82	15	2	7	32	91	3	12	1	242	313	360	673	118	306	24	8	296	85	-6	+2	+3	+4	+11	1.3
2036	32	MLB	MIN	65%	368	331	79	14	2	7	31	90	3	10	1	239	310	356	666	118	303	24	8	291	81	-8	+2	+2	+4	+10	1.0
2037	33	MLB	MIN	65%	317	286	66	11	1	6	26	79	2	7	1	231	299	339	639	108	299	25	8	285	76	-9	+1	+1	+3	+9	0.6
2038	34	MLB	MIN	60%	250	225	50	8	1	4	21	64	2	4	0	222	294	320	614	98	294	26	8	276	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2039	35	MLB	MIN	56%	194	175	39	6	1	3	16	51	1	2	0	223	292	320	612	97	288	26	8	267	63	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4585	4136	1005	179	22	91	379	1096	34	170	17	243	312	363	675	120	308	24	8	297	86	-75	+27	+39	+49	+130	17.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	142	25	3	13	54	155	5	24	2	242	312	362	673	119	306	24	8	297	86	-11	+4	+6	+7	+18	2.5
Career	—			—	7597	6854	1659	296	34	144	623	1826	58	288	32	242	311	358	669	116	308	24	8	301	89	-98	+45	+65	+81	+215	31.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	141	25	3	12	53	156	5	25	3	241	309	355	663	114	306	24	8	301	89	-8	+4	+6	+7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	51	46	7	1	0	1	3	8	1	1	2	152	220	239	459	87	162	16	6	210	19	-5	-1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	59	54	20	4	0	0	5	13	0	6	0	370	424	444	868	74	488	22	8	392	158	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alexei Ramirezlast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,505 PA	9	5,505	115	143	270	307	392	+55	+70	25.4	25.0
	/162	664	14	17	270	307	392	+6.7	+8.5	3.1	pk7: 25
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#4Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,584	90	169	244	309	363	+46	+49	14.3	12.7
	/162	664	13	24	244	309	363	+6.7	+7.1	2.1	pk7: 11
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marek Houston (OGILVIE)	22	50	42	55	53	260/327/374	114	333	10	49	24%	8%	95	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→55	42→50	52→50	48	238/300/350	112	299	8	14	22%	8%	82	+0.5	248/307/389	141	308	12	12	22%	7%	96	+1.5	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	47→56	44→50	51→50	46	228/291/356	128	301	9	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	248/302/388	140	329	12	14	27%	7%	93	+1.3	253/307/401	148	331	14	16	26%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	48	40	52→55	47	227/297/321	94	300	7	18	26%	8%	74	-0.1	200/258/275	75	312	5	11	35%	5%	46	-2.0	135/182/184	49	223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
●Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A	22	49→59	40	56→60	44	236/285/341	105	298	6	13	22%	6%	73	-0.1	220/276/279	59	297	2	21	25%	7%	53	-1.5	281/340/350	69	342	3	24	17%	7%	94	+1.0
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
●José Fermín 2021 · A	22	48→50	40→45	51→55	48	230/287/315	84	256	8	17	14%	6%	68	-0.5	216/289/323	107	241	11	10	15%	7%	72	-0.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	218/295/334	116	293	11	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	236/317/422	186	323	21	22	31%	9%	109	+2.4	231/315/405	174	310	20	23	30%	9%	102	+1.7
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	49→50	42→55	55	53	235/311/343	108	288	9	20	21%	10%	85	+0.7	230/295/334	104	286	9	20	21%	8%	76	+0.1	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Adrian Abreu 2013 · A	22	45	40	53→55	53	218/296/306	88	253	9	19	18%	9%	70	-0.3	203/280/285	82	264	6	13	23%	9%	58	-1.2	141/245/214	74	184	4	14	24%	11%	24	-0.7
✕Brent Morel 2009 · A	22	51→57	43→50	54→50	45	251/298/360	109	298	11	12	20%	6%	84	+0.6	251/287/381	130	292	13	12	18%	5%	85	+0.7	254/289/385	131	290	13	11	17%	4%	83	+0.5
✕Luis Santana 2021 · AA	22	50	39→45	48→50	48	235/305/324	89	283	6	8	19%	7%	79	+0.3	210/269/326	116	284	12	9	29%	6%	64	-0.8	207/265/333	126	274	15	8	29%	5%	61	-0.5
●Jonathan Jones 2012 · A	22	49→59	39→45	50→55	45	233/295/317	83	307	6	16	25%	7%	72	-0.2	218/279/282	64	277	2	21	21%	6%	56	-1.3	265/324/417	152	310	16	25	19%	6%	106	+1.1
✕Marty Costes 2019 · A	23	47→57	42→45	53→50	46	227/308/340	113	280	8	11	21%	6%	85	+0.7	234/311/346	112	288	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.8	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Efrain Contreras 2009 · A	22	46	43→45	53→55	44	224/286/334	110	263	10	13	19%	5%	73	-0.1	202/257/282	80	288	6	8	30%	5%	46	-2.0	183/236/246	63	277	5	7	34%	5%	25	-1.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	50→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/346	110	285	6	12	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/307/362	113	307	9	14	21%	7%	89	+0.9	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Humberto Castro 2013 · AAA	22	52	40	53→45	42	249/296/341	92	310	8	13	22%	5%	78	+0.2	228/274/305	77	279	6	8	20%	4%	59	-1.1	257/313/319	62	304	4	5	15%	4%	76	+0.0