Marek Houston — OGILVIE

Marek HoustonSS Wichita Wind Surge

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION548 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP316

ISO115

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$66M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$13M	+$12M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$13M	+$12M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+2.2	$12M	+$8M
2032	Arb-2	$12M	+2.0	$10M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$16M	+1.8	$8M	+$0.9M
Totals		$38M		$68M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	51	46	7	1	0	1	3	8	1	1	2	152	220	239	459	87	162	16	6	210	28	-4	-1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	59	54	20	4	0	0	5	13	0	6	0	370	424	444	868	74	488	22	8	392	151	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	51	47	6	1	0	1	2	11	1	1	2	128	180	213	393	85	142	22	4	168	0	-6	-1	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	59	55	16	3	0	0	4	19	0	6	0	291	339	345	684	55	440	32	7	304	92	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	102	22	4	0	1	6	30	1	7	2	216	266	284	550	69	296	27	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	110	100	27	5	0	1	8	21	1	7	2	270	330	350	680	80	333	19	7	307	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	102	22	4	0	1	6	30	1	7	2	216	266	284	550	69	302	27	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	102	22	4	0	1	6	30	1	7	2	216	266	284	550	69	302	27	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	MIN	—	548	489	129	23	2	10	43	136	6	50	9	264	331	380	711	117	340	25	8	308	95	-4	+6	+0	+6	+12	2.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	MIN	—	268	228	74	14	1	5	32	49	2	24	2	325	412	461	873	136	388	18	12	383	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	MIN	—	280	243	72	14	1	7	29	57	4	26	7	296	380	449	829	152	357	20	10	366	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	MIN	6%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		316	20	10	306	93	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	22	MLB CTX	MIN	6%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						316	0	0	298	93	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	MIN	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	298	95	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	MIN	—	558	498	131	23	2	10	44	138	6	51	9	263	330	378	708	114	339	25	8	308	95	-4	+7	+0	+6	+12	2.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIN	46%	581	526	131	25	2	11	44	136	6	30	6	249	314	367	681	118	313	23	8	305	93	-5	+4	+7	+6	+13	2.5
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	609	550	138	26	2	13	48	140	6	31	6	251	318	376	694	125	312	23	8	311	96	-3	+4	+7	+7	+13	2.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	627	566	144	27	3	14	50	143	6	32	6	254	322	387	708	133	311	23	8	314	98	-1	+4	+8	+7	+14	3.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	633	571	144	27	3	14	51	144	6	32	7	252	320	384	704	131	311	23	8	315	99	-1	+4	+8	+7	+14	3.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	627	565	142	27	2	14	51	143	6	32	6	251	320	381	700	129	311	23	8	315	99	-0	+4	+8	+7	+14	3.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	619	557	139	26	2	14	51	143	6	30	6	250	319	379	698	129	311	23	8	314	99	-1	+4	+7	+7	+13	3.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	610	548	137	26	2	13	51	142	6	27	6	250	321	376	697	126	310	23	8	312	98	-2	+3	+6	+7	+13	2.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	600	539	134	25	2	13	50	141	6	24	5	249	319	375	694	126	309	24	8	310	96	-3	+3	+5	+6	+13	2.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	589	529	129	24	2	12	49	140	6	21	4	244	315	365	680	121	307	24	8	306	93	-5	+3	+4	+6	+13	2.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	578	520	125	23	2	11	48	140	5	17	3	240	311	356	666	115	304	24	8	300	89	-7	+2	+3	+6	+13	1.7
2037	33	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	379	342	80	14	1	7	31	94	3	9	2	234	303	342	645	108	300	25	8	294	85	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2038	34	MLB MLE	MIN	60%	335	302	69	12	1	6	27	85	3	5	1	228	298	334	633	106	295	25	8	285	79	-8	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIN	46%	265	240	60	11	1	5	20	62	3	13	3	250	316	367	682	117	313	23	8	299	93	-2	+1	+3	+3	+6	1.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	360	325	82	15	1	8	28	83	4	18	4	252	319	378	698	126	312	23	8	304	96	-2	+2	+4	+4	+8	1.7
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	410	370	94	18	2	9	33	94	4	21	4	254	322	386	708	132	312	23	8	307	98	-1	+3	+5	+4	+9	2.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	432	390	98	18	2	10	35	99	4	22	4	251	319	385	704	133	311	23	8	308	99	-0	+3	+5	+5	+9	2.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	427	385	97	18	2	10	35	98	4	22	4	252	321	387	708	135	311	23	8	308	99	-0	+3	+5	+5	+9	2.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	421	379	95	18	2	9	35	97	4	20	4	251	321	380	701	129	311	23	8	307	99	-1	+2	+5	+5	+9	2.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	406	365	91	17	1	9	34	94	4	18	4	249	320	375	695	126	310	23	8	305	98	-1	+2	+4	+4	+9	1.8
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	393	353	86	16	1	8	33	92	4	16	3	244	315	363	678	119	309	23	8	303	96	-2	+2	+3	+4	+9	1.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	383	344	84	16	1	8	32	91	4	13	3	244	316	366	682	122	307	24	8	299	93	-3	+1	+3	+4	+8	1.4
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	374	336	81	15	1	7	31	90	4	11	2	241	313	354	667	113	304	24	8	294	89	-5	+1	+2	+4	+8	1.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	245	221	52	9	1	5	20	60	2	6	1	235	305	353	657	118	301	24	8	287	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2038	34	MLB CTX	MIN	60%	201	181	41	7	1	3	16	51	2	3	1	227	296	326	622	99	295	25	8	279	79	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4318	3890	961	178	16	91	352	1011	43	183	37	247	316	371	688	124	310	23	8	302	94	-26	+22	+39	+46	+94	17.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	145	27	2	14	53	152	6	28	6	247	316	372	688	125	310	23	8	302	94	-4	+3	+6	+7	+14	2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6907	6226	1536	286	24	143	558	1623	66	298	60	247	315	369	685	123	310	23	8	307	94	-43	+35	+62	+73	+147	28.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	144	27	2	13	53	153	6	28	6	246	315	365	680	119	310	24	8	307	94	-4	+3	+6	+7	+14	2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	7.9	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
/162	664	18	34	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25
#2Alexei Ramirezlast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,505 PA	8.3	5,505	115	143	270	307	392	+55	+70	25.4	25.0
/162	664	14	17	+6.7	+8.5	3.1	pk7: 25
#3B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#4Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#5Jason Bartlettlast yr '12 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,503 PA	5.3	3,503	31	121	271	337	368	+38	+56	20.3	20.5
/162	664	6	23	+7.1	+10.7	3.8	pk7: 21
#6Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.5	4,328	91	184	248	314	373	+45	+49	16.0	14.1
/162	664	14	28	+6.9	+7.5	2.5	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marek Houston (OGILVIE)	22	50	42	55	52	248/313/362	114	316	4	13	24%	8%	93	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→57	45→50	51→50	46	230/295/364	133	302	10	16	26%	8%	86	+0.3	251/305/391	140	330	12	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	256/310/402	146	332	13	16	26%	7%	97	+0.7
●Desmond Jennings 2009 · A	22	51→59	43→50	56→60	48	246/309/361	115	293	10	25	19%	7%	91	+0.6	256/321/380	124	304	9	34	18%	8%	99	+1.3	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	48	40	52→55	47	227/297/321	94	300	7	18	26%	8%	77	-0.3	200/258/275	75	312	5	11	35%	5%	52	-2.2	135/182/184	49	223	4	5	40%	2%	1	-1.0
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	225/303/346	121	300	11	14	27%	8%	86	+0.3	225/283/333	108	304	9	9	28%	5%	75	-0.5	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→55	41→50	53→50	47	240/299/345	104	301	6	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	245/303/377	132	305	11	12	22%	7%	92	+0.7	257/314/398	140	314	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	84	+0.1	252/304/335	83	284	5	13	13%	6%	82	-0.0	264/325/345	82	303	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.4
✕José Fermín 2021 · A	22	49→51	39→45	51→55	49	234/291/317	84	260	8	17	14%	6%	74	-0.6	215/286/313	98	242	9	10	15%	7%	72	-0.7	244/330/367	123	265	11	26	12%	10%	98	+0.7
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2010 · A	23	49→50	42→45	55→60	48	235/310/354	119	288	8	19	20%	7%	90	+0.6	222/281/326	104	280	6	27	22%	6%	72	-0.7	230/293/350	120	293	11	26	24%	7%	80	-0.1
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	220/298/335	115	296	11	20	28%	9%	81	-0.1	235/317/411	176	321	19	22	30%	9%	106	+1.8	231/315/396	166	310	19	23	30%	9%	99	+1.1
●Matt Duffy 2014 · A	23	51→61	44→45	53→50	50	251/310/372	122	289	12	16	18%	8%	93	+0.8	277/324/389	112	329	9	15	18%	6%	102	+1.5	283/337/387	104	329	9	12	16%	7%	104	+1.4
✕Adrian Abreu 2013 · A	22	45	40	53→55	53	218/296/306	88	253	9	19	18%	9%	74	-0.6	203/280/286	83	264	6	13	23%	9%	63	-1.3	141/245/214	74	184	4	14	24%	11%	32	-0.7
✕Felix Valerio 2022 · A	21	48	43→45	52→55	52	230/307/346	116	275	9	18	19%	9%	87	+0.4	204/269/308	104	254	10	19	23%	7%	64	-1.3	188/251/281	92	236	10	20	24%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Austin Martin 2022 · AA	23	51→52	40	51→60	51	238/344/333	95	319	6	14	25%	10%	99	+1.3	228/320/311	83	283	5	25	20%	9%	85	+0.2	257/354/339	82	314	4	22	17%	11%	101	+0.8
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→50	57→55	49	219/303/341	122	299	9	19	28%	10%	84	+0.2	220/282/334	114	289	10	21	26%	7%	75	-0.5	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Travis Jones 2018 · A	22	54→51	41→40	55	44	256/321/368	112	322	7	18	22%	6%	97	+1.1	230/306/316	86	324	7	21	29%	6%	80	-0.1	213/301/290	78	311	7	21	31%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	41→40	50→60	53	246/331/344	98	291	8	14	18%	9%	95	+1.0	238/298/316	78	271	5	21	13%	6%	76	-0.4	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	49→50	42→55	55	53	235/311/343	108	288	9	20	21%	10%	87	+0.4	229/293/332	103	283	8	20	21%	8%	78	-0.3	208/287/374	165	259	20	5	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Caleb Durbin 2023 · A	23	46→52	41→45	56→60	50	221/295/323	102	249	8	21	15%	7%	78	-0.3	243/317/357	114	265	9	31	12%	7%	93	+0.8	243/323/371	128	260	12	25	12%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/348	112	284	7	12	19%	7%	84	+0.2	250/311/362	112	306	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps