Marek Houston

SS Wichita Wind Surge
Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP45OGV rank#48ETA2028MLB%6%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202521A+/AMIN110.270/.330/.3501750—.222/.265/.290
202622AA/A+MIN554.312/.397/.4551250100—.271/.338/.387
2027PROJ6% MLB23MLBMIN13.245/.313/.36401920.1
2028PROJ45% MLB24MLBMIN226.248/.316/.37259950.9
2029PROJ63% MLB25MLBMIN329.248/.317/.376713961.4
Next 3 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$8M2033Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%94
Whiff%93
wOBA77
Speed76
K%72
wRC+69
Career WAR0.6 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 32, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 61%
CompsMasyn Winn (age 22) · Maikel Garcia (age 23) · Leo Jiménez (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†92
AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .313 / .364
PA13
HR0
K%23
BB%8
BABIP303
ISO83
MLB%6%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.01.12.10.00.91.41.61.61.51.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$40M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$3M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$10M+$9M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.6$10M+$10M
2031Arb-1$5M+1.6$9M+$6M
2032Arb-2$8M+1.5$8M+$3M
2033Arb-3$10M+1.2$6M+$0.6M
Totals $26M $47M +$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202521 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 5146 7101 381 12 152220239459 87162 166 210 3 — — — — — —
202521 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 5954 20400 5130 60 370424444868 74488 228 392 91 — — — — — —
202622 AAWichita Wind Surge — 286249 751417 29594 267 301383450833 149366 2110 368 100 — — — — — —
202622 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 268228 741415 32492 242 325412461873 136388 1812 383 101 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202521 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 5147 7101 2101 12 149200234434 85147 204 173 3 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 5956 16300 3180 60 286322339661 54434 315 303 91 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEWichita Wind Surge — 286257 691216 21724 267 268333393726 125338 257 316 100 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 268237 651114 23622 242 274344380723 105338 239 317 101 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 110103 23401 5281 72 223266291557 68297 255 243 50 — — — — — —
202521 A RAW2 teams — 110100 27501 8211 72 270330350680 80333 197 307 50 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 554494 13423210 441346 509 271338387725 115347 248 316 100 — — — — — —
202622 AA RAW2 teams — 554477 14928212 611086 509 312397455852 143376 1911 375 100 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 110103 23401 5281 72 223266291557 68301 255 243 50 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 554499 13423210 441346 509 269338383721 114338 248 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202521 A MLE2 teams — 110103 23401 5281 72 223266291557 68301 255 243 50 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 554499 13423210 441346 509 269338383721 114338 248 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEMIN 6% 541487 12023210 431216 225 245313364677 119303 228 304 92 -5 +2 +3 +6 +12 0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXMIN 6% 1312 3100 130 10 245313364678 119303 238 304 92 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEMIN 45% 501451 11121210 401115 205 247316371687 124303 228 308 95 -3 +2 +3 +5 +11 1.9
202925 MLB MLEMIN 63% 520468 11622211 421155 215 248317375692 128303 228 310 96 -2 +2 +5 +6 +11 2.2
203026 MLB MLEMIN 72% 527474 11822212 431175 215 248317377694 129302 228 311 97 -2 +2 +5 +6 +11 2.2
203127 MLB MLEMIN 74% 526473 11722212 431175 205 247316376692 129301 228 310 96 -2 +2 +5 +6 +11 2.2
203228 MLB MLEMIN 75% 520467 11522211 431175 184 245315373688 128300 228 308 95 -3 +2 +4 +6 +11 2.0
203329 MLB MLEMIN 74% 510458 11221211 421165 154 243312367679 125299 238 305 93 -5 +1 +3 +5 +11 1.7
203430 MLB MLEMIN 73% 500451 10820210 401155 123 240309360669 120298 238 301 90 -6 +1 +3 +5 +11 1.4
203531 MLB MLEMIN 72% 431390 911718 341014 72 236304351655 115295 238 295 86 -7 +1 +1 +5 +9 0.9
203632 MLB MLEMIN 72% 408370 851617 32983 32 231298339637 108292 248 287 81 -9 -0 +0 +4 +9 0.4
203733 MLB MLEMIN 72% 372337 761416 29913 01 225291324615 99287 248 279 75 -11 -0 -1 +4 +8 -0.0
202824 MLB CTXMIN 45% 226204 50915 18502 92 248316372688 124304 228 308 95 -1 +1 +2 +2 +5 0.9
202925 MLB CTXMIN 63% 329296 731417 27733 133 248317376693 128303 228 311 96 -2 +1 +3 +4 +7 1.4
203026 MLB CTXMIN 72% 378340 851628 31844 153 248317377695 130302 228 311 97 -2 +2 +3 +4 +8 1.6
203127 MLB CTXMIN 74% 388349 871629 32864 153 247317377693 130302 228 310 96 -2 +2 +4 +4 +8 1.6
203228 MLB CTXMIN 75% 389350 861629 32874 133 245315374689 129300 228 309 95 -2 +1 +3 +4 +8 1.5
203329 MLB CTXMIN 74% 375337 811518 31854 113 243312368680 125299 238 305 93 -3 +1 +2 +4 +8 1.2
203430 MLB CTXMIN 73% 364329 781517 29843 92 240309360669 120298 238 301 90 -5 +1 +2 +4 +8 1.0
203531 MLB CTXMIN 72% 312281 661216 25733 52 236304351655 115295 238 295 86 -5 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.6
203632 MLB CTXMIN 72% 294267 611115 23702 21 231298339637 108292 248 288 81 -7 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.3
203733 MLB CTXMIN 72% 268243 551014 21662 01 225291325616 100288 258 279 75 -8 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 33232996 7221341368 26975831 9223 241310362673 121299 238 303 91 -37 +9 +19 +36 +72 10.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 14126313 531486 184 241310362672 121299 238 303 91 -7 +2 +4 +7 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 56895125 125323320113 454130754 20249 244313364677 119305 238 303 91 -54 +14 +30 +54 +109 15.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 14327213 521496 236 244313363676 119304 238 303 91 -7 +2 +4 +7 +14 2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 286 PAwOBA .362 → .316 (−46)K% 20.6% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.63%÷1.000×1.220——25.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.14%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0427.40%
HBP% /PA1.40%—×0.870—×1.0421.27%
Singles /BIP27.89%÷1.000×0.920×0.989×1.04226.44%
Doubles /BIP7.37%÷1.000×0.840×0.989×1.0426.38%
Triples /BIP0.53%÷1.000×0.940×0.989×1.0420.51%
Home runs /BIP3.68%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0423.07%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .362 → .316; ISO .149 → .126; BABIP .366 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 268 PAwOBA .379 → .317 (−62)K% 18.3% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.28%÷1.000×1.270——23.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.94%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0128.58%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.790—×1.0120.60%
Singles /BIP30.17%÷1.000×0.920×0.965×1.01227.10%
Doubles /BIP7.82%÷1.000×0.810×0.965×1.0126.19%
Triples /BIP0.56%÷1.000×0.850×0.965×1.0120.46%
Home runs /BIP2.79%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0122.26%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .379 → .317; ISO .136 → .110; BABIP .388 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 59 PAwOBA .382 → .303 (−79)K% 22.0% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.03%÷0.994×1.360——30.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.47%÷1.054×0.690—×1.0155.63%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP39.02%÷1.029×0.920—×1.01535.43%
Doubles /BIP9.76%÷1.032×0.830—×1.0157.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.898×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .382 → .303; ISO .074 → .056; BABIP .488 → .434. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 51 PAwOBA .205 → .173 (−32)K% 15.7% → 20.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.69%÷0.979×1.270——20.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷0.989×0.710—×1.0274.34%
HBP% /PA1.96%—×0.790—×1.0271.59%
Singles /BIP13.16%÷0.990×0.920×0.985×1.02712.37%
Doubles /BIP2.63%÷1.088×0.810×0.985×1.0271.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.943×0.850×0.985×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷0.962×0.800—×1.0272.25%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .205 → .173; ISO .087 → .071; BABIP .162 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).