Ethan PetryOF
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 22
R/R
6'4" / 235 lbs
A+
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.7 · 2031
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .283 / .357
PA104
HR3
K%30
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30↗38
PWR
50↗60
SPD
30→30
FLD
30↗40
EYE
45→45
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.0peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $14M | +$14M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.7 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.5 | $15M | +$12M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.3 | $13M | +$9M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.0 | $10M | +$5M |
| Totals | $15M | $84M | +$69M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 176 | 156 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 64 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .231 | .314 | .327 | .641 | .096 | .367 | 36 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 73 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .242 | .356 | .371 | .727 | .129 | .371 | 34 | 8 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | WSH | 31 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .290 | .357 | .647 | .143 | .298 | 29 | 6 | .297 | 85 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | WSH | 104 | 90 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .233 | .337 | .367 | .703 | .133 | .340 | 33 | 8 | .309 | 95 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | WSH | 191 | 168 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .238 | .323 | .399 | .722 | .161 | .288 | 24 | 9 | .322 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | WSH | 300 | 265 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 71 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .245 | .327 | .426 | .753 | .181 | .290 | 24 | 9 | .331 | 111 | +4 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +8 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | WSH | 366 | 324 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 86 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .247 | .328 | .429 | .757 | .182 | .292 | 23 | 9 | .337 | 116 | +7 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | WSH | 409 | 361 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 96 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .247 | .330 | .432 | .762 | .186 | .293 | 23 | 9 | .340 | 119 | +9 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | WSH | 428 | 377 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 101 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .249 | .334 | .438 | .772 | .188 | .293 | 24 | 9 | .341 | 119 | +9 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | WSH | 438 | 385 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 104 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .247 | .333 | .431 | .765 | .184 | .292 | 24 | 10 | .339 | 118 | +9 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | WSH | 436 | 383 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 105 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .245 | .333 | .431 | .763 | .185 | .291 | 24 | 10 | .337 | 116 | +8 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 431 | 380 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 105 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .239 | .325 | .416 | .741 | .176 | .290 | 24 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +7 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 420 | 370 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 105 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .241 | .326 | .422 | .748 | .181 | .289 | 25 | 10 | .330 | 111 | +5 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 404 | 356 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 103 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .239 | .324 | .416 | .740 | .177 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .326 | 107 | +3 | +0 | -6 | -2 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 375 | 330 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 98 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .230 | .317 | .397 | .714 | .167 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -6 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 331 | 292 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 89 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .226 | .311 | .384 | .695 | .158 | .284 | 27 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -7 | -2 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 279 | 247 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 78 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .223 | .307 | .377 | .683 | .154 | .281 | 28 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -7 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2040 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 223 | 197 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 65 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .218 | .303 | .371 | .674 | .152 | .278 | 29 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -8 | -1 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5238 | 4619 | 1104 | 182 | 25 | 189 | 487 | 1325 | 92 | 32 | 0 | .239 | .324 | .412 | .736 | .173 | .292 | 25 | 9 | .327 | 108 | +48 | +6 | -59 | -31 | +148 | 11.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 137 | 23 | 3 | 23 | 60 | 164 | 11 | 4 | 0 | .239 | .322 | .410 | .733 | .171 | .293 | 25 | 9 | .327 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -7 | -4 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 101 | 87 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .287 | .386 | .414 | .800 | .126 | .383 | 25 | 13 | .363 | 136 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | 75 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .228 | .405 | .298 | .704 | .070 | .333 | 28 | 17 | .338 | 117 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ethan Petry (OGILVIE) | 22 | 30→38 | 50→60 | 30 | 45 | .216/.283/.357 | .141 | .286 | 3 | 1 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Tommy Joseph 2013 · AA |
22 | 42→49 | 47→60 | 37→30 | 38 | .216/.259/.350 | .134 | .274 | 16 | 2 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.258/.336 | .123 | .269 | 14 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .240/.292/.434 | .194 | .274 | 27 | 1 | 23% | 6% | 100 | +1.3 |
|
✕Matt Davidson 2013 · AA |
22 | 42→44 | 50→60 | 38→30 | 42 | .217/.283/.369 | .152 | .287 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .196/.262/.332 | .136 | .279 | 16 | 2 | 34% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .214/.287/.413 | .199 | .285 | 28 | 0 | 34% | 8% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
●Brian Dopirak 2006 · A |
22 | 40→50 | 45→55 | 38→30 | 39 | .205/.249/.325 | .120 | .263 | 13 | 3 | 28% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .220/.265/.351 | .131 | .293 | 15 | 3 | 29% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .249/.292/.427 | .178 | .318 | 22 | 1 | 29% | 5% | 97 | +1.4 |
|
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A |
23 | 40→37 | 47→55 | 38→40 | 45 | .206/.269/.343 | .137 | .257 | 14 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.281/.355 | .151 | .268 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .182/.281/.358 | .176 | .233 | 21 | 4 | 31% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
●Mark Vientos 2021 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 46→60 | 41→30 | 38 | .203/.249/.329 | .126 | .269 | 15 | 3 | 30% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .231/.283/.421 | .190 | .315 | 26 | 2 | 34% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .246/.306/.451 | .204 | .321 | 28 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
●Mark Trumbo 2008 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 44→65 | 41→45 | 40 | .208/.251/.322 | .114 | .262 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .233/.269/.396 | .163 | .279 | 20 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .252/.302/.481 | .230 | .287 | 33 | 6 | 25% | 6% | 114 | +2.8 |
|
●Robbie Tenerowicz 2017 · A |
22 | 44→51 | 43→50 | 38→45 | 38 | .216/.265/.328 | .111 | .296 | 10 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .227/.280/.338 | .111 | .289 | 10 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .232/.320/.392 | .161 | .288 | 20 | 2 | 25% | 7% | 102 | +1.2 |
|
●Franmil Reyes 2017 · A |
22 | 43→52 | 44→65 | 42→45 | 42 | .216/.263/.333 | .117 | .276 | 12 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .238/.291/.419 | .181 | .301 | 25 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .256/.325/.480 | .224 | .314 | 34 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 126 | +2.6 |
|
●Heliot Ramos 2021 · AA |
21 | 43→52 | 46→55 | 41→50 | 37 | .213/.267/.341 | .128 | .308 | 14 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .212/.267/.339 | .127 | .304 | 14 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .256/.322/.432 | .177 | .319 | 22 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 112 | +2.4 |
|
●Daniel Vogelbach 2015 · A |
22 | 45→50 | 49→60 | 41→40 | 49 | .231/.296/.375 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .242/.319/.387 | .145 | .301 | 16 | 3 | 24% | 10% | 101 | +1.8 | .247/.332/.413 | .166 | .291 | 21 | 1 | 22% | 11% | 111 | +2.2 |
|
●Devin Mesoraco 2010 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→60 | 41→40 | 42 | .205/.261/.313 | .108 | .270 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .229/.285/.398 | .169 | .275 | 19 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .241/.331/.442 | .201 | .275 | 26 | 1 | 22% | 9% | 113 | +1.4 |
|
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2013 · A |
23 | 41→51 | 49→50 | 40→50 | 44 | .211/.287/.363 | .152 | .286 | 17 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .224/.290/.358 | .134 | .302 | 14 | 10 | 29% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.301/.376 | .151 | .309 | 19 | 3 | 32% | 9% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Anthony García 2015 · A |
23 | 38→46 | 49→55 | 41→45 | 40 | .199/.261/.353 | .153 | .255 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.281/.348 | .135 | .261 | 15 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .218/.290/.362 | .145 | .263 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA |
22 | 41→51 | 48→50 | 41→50 | 47 | .213/.289/.342 | .129 | .274 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .236/.321/.368 | .132 | .306 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 10% | 97 | +1.5 | .278/.371/.439 | .161 | .339 | 19 | 13 | 22% | 11% | 132 | +2.8 |
|
✕Eric Haase 2015 · A |
22 | 39→41 | 48→65 | 42→40 | 38 | .201/.253/.347 | .146 | .286 | 16 | 3 | 35% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .194/.252/.355 | .161 | .294 | 18 | 4 | 39% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .218/.277/.437 | .219 | .284 | 32 | 2 | 35% | 7% | 94 | +0.9 |
|
●Ty France 2017 · A |
23 | 45→55 | 46→60 | 40 | 47 | .223/.308/.349 | .126 | .275 | 14 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .233/.303/.370 | .137 | .277 | 15 | 3 | 21% | 5% | 90 | +1.0 | .289/.363/.482 | .192 | .332 | 23 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 142 | +3.5 |
|
●Robinson Chirinos 2006 · A |
22 | 46→47 | 44→60 | 42→50 | 42 | .229/.277/.335 | .106 | .286 | 12 | 7 | 24% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.297/.325 | .108 | .270 | 9 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .229/.342/.433 | .204 | .295 | 26 | 2 | 29% | 11% | 117 | +1.9 |
|
✕Clint Coulter 2015 · A |
22 | 43 | 48→50 | 42→40 | 46 | .217/.297/.357 | .140 | .276 | 15 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .209/.276/.336 | .127 | .266 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.273/.359 | .153 | .249 | 19 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A |
22 | 41→43 | 47→55 | 43→40 | 40 | .210/.270/.343 | .133 | .290 | 15 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.264/.358 | .142 | .286 | 17 | 3 | 30% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .208/.295/.359 | .151 | .271 | 20 | 0 | 30% | 10% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Chris Marrero 2010 · AA |
22 | 45→52 | 49→50 | 38→30 | 40 | .230/.279/.377 | .147 | .293 | 18 | 2 | 28% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .246/.293/.369 | .123 | .311 | 14 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .251/.298/.365 | .114 | .311 | 12 | 1 | 23% | 6% | 83 | +0.4 |