Zach Dezenzo

LF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 27 R/R 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 1.320 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	24	MLBHOU	65	.242/.277/.371	2	0	81	-0.9
2025	25	MLBHOU	109	.245/.321/.367	2	1	95	-0.2
2026	26	MLBHOU	82	.213/.280/.307	1	1	66	-0.5
2027PROJ45% MLB	27	MLBHOU	139	.214/.303/.345	3	4	84	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	28	MLBHOU	172	.212/.301/.340	4	4	82	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.6 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.320First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.2M2030Ext$0.4M2031Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Chase%90

Barrel%78

Bat Spd71

Whiff%63

Speed60

xwOBA35

CompsDaz Cameron (age 27) · Jimmy Herron (age 27) · Rylan Bannon (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 8484vR 81

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .303 / .345

PA139

HR3

K%29

BB%10

BABIP290

ISO115

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

639.7%

xAVG

100.213

POWER60

Barrel%

7812.4

Avg EV

2887.4

Bat Spd

7173.5

EYE55

Chase%

9019.3%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 163 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

141

—

wRC+

-10

102

▶▶R

wOBA

153

319

▶▶R

ISO

—

138

—

BABIP

375

364

—

59.1%

30.5%

▶▶R

BB%

4.5%

7.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.320 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	102	26	3	0	4	12	37	2	4	0	255	345	402	747	147	355	32	10	335	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	277	245	63	12	1	14	26	79	5	16	0	257	341	486	826	229	320	29	9	363	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	133	113	46	11	1	4	16	27	1	6	2	407	485	628	1.113	221	494	20	12	475	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	75	65	15	5	0	3	8	22	2	2	0	231	333	446	779	215	300	29	11	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	65	62	15	2	0	2	3	22	0	0	0	242	277	371	648	129	342	34	5	289	81	-1	+0	-3	-7	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	113	96	32	8	0	5	15	25	1	3	2	333	429	573	1.001	240	403	22	13	434	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	91	81	18	6	0	2	9	23	1	2	1	222	308	370	678	148	286	25	10	307	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	FCL Astros	—	22	20	9	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	450	500	600	1.100	150	529	14	9	485	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	73	61	22	3	0	0	9	9	1	1	2	361	451	410	861	49	407	12	12	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	109	98	24	6	0	2	11	37	0	1	0	245	321	367	688	122	373	34	10	312	95	-1	+0	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2025	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	26	5	1	0	2	0	6	1	0	0	192	222	462	684	269	158	21	0	285	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	82	75	16	4	0	1	7	31	0	1	0	213	280	307	587	93	349	38	9	269	66	-3	+0	+0	-4	+2	-0.5
2026	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	235	188	43	7	1	4	40	49	7	12	2	229	383	340	723	112	289	21	17	341	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	22	18	7	1	0	1	3	4	1	0	0	389	500	611	1.111	222	462	18	14	487	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	256	235	55	12	0	5	21	90	0	2	0	234	297	349	646	115	357	35	8	292	84	-5	+0	-5	-12	+6	-1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	106	19	2	0	3	8	52	2	4	0	179	250	283	533	104	310	44	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	277	252	51	10	1	9	19	92	5	16	0	202	272	357	629	155	271	33	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	133	120	40	8	1	3	9	36	1	6	2	333	385	492	876	158	423	27	7	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	65	62	15	2	0	2	3	22	0	0	0	242	277	371	648	129	342	34	5	288	81	-1	+0	-3	-7	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	113	100	31	8	0	4	11	30	1	3	2	310	384	510	894	200	389	27	10	380	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	91	83	16	5	0	2	7	28	1	2	1	193	264	325	589	133	257	31	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	22	21	7	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	333	364	429	792	95	402	18	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	109	98	24	6	0	2	11	37	0	1	0	245	321	367	688	122	373	34	10	309	95	-1	+0	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2025	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	26	4	1	0	1	0	7	1	0	0	154	185	308	493	154	147	25	0	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	82	75	16	4	0	1	7	31	0	1	0	213	280	307	587	93	349	38	9	266	66	-3	+0	+0	-4	+2	-0.5
2026	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	235	200	40	6	1	3	28	59	7	12	2	200	319	285	604	85	270	25	12	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	22	19	7	1	0	1	2	5	1	0	0	368	455	579	1.033	211	407	23	9	398	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	106	19	2	0	3	8	52	2	4	0	179	250	283	533	104	308	44	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	102	26	3	0	4	12	37	2	4	0	255	345	402	747	147	355	32	10	335	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	485	440	106	21	2	13	33	152	8	24	2	241	306	386	692	145	333	31	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	485	423	124	28	2	21	50	128	8	24	2	293	378	518	896	225	371	26	10	391	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	364	331	85	21	0	10	27	105	3	6	5	257	319	411	729	154	342	29	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	5 teams	—	364	320	96	22	0	9	38	82	3	6	5	300	380	453	833	153	375	23	10	370	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	44	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	325	32	8	295	86	-2	+0	-2	-1	+3	-0.3
2025	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	43	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	321	31	8	307	86	-2	+0	-2	-1	+3	-0.3
2026	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	339	294	63	11	1	5	37	95	8	13	2	214	319	310	628	95	299	28	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	339	281	66	12	1	6	50	84	8	13	2	235	366	349	715	114	314	25	15	333	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	106	19	2	0	3	8	52	2	4	0	179	250	283	533	104	310	44	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	485	441	106	21	2	13	33	152	8	24	2	240	306	385	691	145	320	31	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	364	331	85	21	0	10	27	105	3	6	5	257	319	411	729	154	338	29	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	44	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	327	32	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	339	291	63	11	1	5	37	95	8	13	2	216	319	313	631	96	298	28	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	364	331	85	21	0	10	27	105	3	6	5	257	319	411	729	154	338	29	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	44	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	327	32	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	339	291	63	11	1	5	37	95	8	13	2	216	319	313	631	96	298	28	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	309	271	58	11	1	8	30	92	5	8	2	212	301	343	644	131	285	30	10	292	84	-6	+1	-1	-3	+7	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	139	122	25	5	0	3	14	41	2	4	1	214	303	345	649	131	290	29	10	294	84	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	349	307	64	12	1	8	34	105	5	8	2	210	299	338	637	128	284	30	10	289	82	-8	+1	-1	-4	+8	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	172	150	31	6	0	4	17	52	3	4	1	212	301	340	641	128	288	30	10	291	82	-4	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	428	385	86	18	0	9	38	142	3	6	1	223	298	340	638	117	328	33	9	292	85	-9	+1	-6	-13	+9	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	131	27	0	14	58	216	5	9	2	224	300	342	642	118	328	33	9	292	85	-13	+1	-9	-20	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2100	1873	424	85	5	51	180	645	32	64	13	226	305	359	664	132	313	31	9	294	85	-18	+2	-7	-19	+20	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	132	26	2	16	56	200	10	20	4	228	307	362	669	134	315	31	9	294	85	-13	+1	-5	-13	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Max Venable'79-'91 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	18	64	238*	301*	371*	-11	-1	0.9	1.9
/162	664	8	27	-4.6	-0.3	0.4	pk7: 3
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	0.9	567	13	9	223	297	347	-6	-11	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	15	11	-7.1	-12.4	-0.1	pk7: -0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Dezenzo (OGILVIE)	27	45	60	55	55	210/299/340	130	285	8	8	30%	10%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daz Cameron 2024 · MLB	27	43→48	46→50	54→55	43	215/279/343	128	286	13	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4	226/293/381	155	291	17	23	27%	8%	90	+0.6	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	44→48	47→45	53→55	49	223/298/360	138	268	15	16	23%	8%	87	+0.4	228/297/350	122	280	13	24	22%	8%	84	+0.1	222/290/331	110	273	12	28	22%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→47	47→50	52→50	49	194/280/325	131	252	15	12	29%	9%	73	-0.6	204/295/346	142	269	16	13	29%	11%	83	+0.1	191/291/333	142	248	17	12	29%	11%	77	-0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	48→60	52→50	45	207/276/357	150	272	15	12	29%	8%	78	-0.3	218/278/402	184	292	22	15	32%	7%	89	+0.5	204/268/394	190	271	24	17	33%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Alex Castellanos 2014 · MLB	27	42→51	51→55	53→50	40	217/284/379	162	290	19	18	31%	6%	86	+0.3	210/271/351	141	300	15	12	33%	6%	75	-0.5	204/262/340	136	298	13	8	34%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Ben Harrison 2009 · AAA	27	45→48	48→50	51→50	40	226/288/367	141	315	17	13	32%	7%	85	+0.2	197/265/317	120	307	13	9	38%	7%	65	-1.2	162/240/269	107	252	14	4	39%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	40→42	47→55	51→55	40	207/262/334	128	287	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	211/282/367	156	280	20	23	31%	9%	82	+0.0	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	40→45	49→55	50	42	208/267/361	153	265	16	10	28%	6%	76	-0.4	215/263/386	171	255	19	8	24%	6%	80	-0.2	229/273/404	176	255	22	11	20%	5%	86	+0.2
●Trayce Thompson 2017 · MLB	26	45→49	51→60	51→50	45	230/287/398	168	283	18	12	26%	7%	91	+0.7	183/234/321	138	256	16	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	38→42	48→55	52→50	40	199/256/336	138	273	16	13	33%	6%	65	-1.2	195/274/325	130	273	14	13	32%	9%	70	-0.8	175/267/298	123	242	13	13	31%	11%	61	-0.9
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→43	49→50	52→55	47	228/300/383	155	285	16	12	25%	8%	93	+0.8	225/305/378	153	300	16	17	29%	8%	94	+0.9	219/311/363	143	283	14	27	26%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Eli White 2022 · MLB	28	43→53	46→50	48→60	44	213/287/340	127	294	14	13	31%	8%	78	-0.3	221/296/348	127	311	15	28	31%	9%	84	+0.1	239/292/380	141	304	16	27	26%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	43	48→50	49→50	40	215/283/359	144	309	15	12	34%	7%	82	-0.0	208/283/352	144	321	16	15	38%	7%	80	-0.2	194/272/335	141	307	16	17	39%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Joey Wiemer 2024 · MLB	25	42→44	51→55	53→55	44	216/285/378	162	283	19	19	30%	8%	86	+0.3	200/275/316	116	285	12	15	32%	8%	69	-0.9	188/266/285	98	276	10	14	33%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	45→50	52→50	53→55	43	233/289/401	168	290	21	18	27%	6%	93	+0.8	232/293/366	134	294	14	20	25%	8%	86	+0.3	231/293/347	117	293	11	21	24%	8%	80	-0.1
✕JaCoby Jones 2019 · MLB	27	43→50	46→50	52→50	38	215/270/353	138	303	13	16	32%	6%	75	-0.5	226/289/384	158	317	16	11	32%	7%	89	+0.5	216/281/363	147	317	15	7	35%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Alfredo Marte 2016 · MLB	27	48	44→50	51→45	43	235/291/354	120	310	11	9	27%	7%	82	+0.0	223/280/338	115	289	12	11	26%	6%	75	-0.5	203/268/308	106	248	14	14	24%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2016 · AAA	26	46→50	49→60	50	41	232/279/379	147	291	16	11	26%	5%	84	+0.1	214/266/357	143	292	16	8	31%	6%	74	-0.5	210/275/401	192	267	25	3	31%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	41→45	48→55	54→50	40	211/265/353	142	289	15	14	32%	6%	73	-0.6	214/258/349	135	309	17	16	35%	5%	70	-0.9	207/246/338	131	298	19	19	36%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	41→49	50→55	49→55	39	207/287/358	151	304	17	13	36%	7%	83	+0.1	221/311/390	169	300	19	15	31%	8%	100	+1.3	202/288/380	178	250	24	18	29%	6%	87	+0.2

Zach Dezenzo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps