Matthew EllisC
Everett AquaSox
Age 25
L/R
6'4" / 248 lbs
A+
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.4 · 2028
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .294 / .350
PA287
HR7
SB5
K%29
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
45→45
SPD
40→40
EYE
61↘60
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $5M | $30M | +$25M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 338 | 291 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 105 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .199 | .307 | .361 | .667 | .162 | .266 | 31 | 12 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 40 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .143 | .250 | .229 | .479 | .086 | .286 | 50 | 12 | .239 | 41 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | 247 | 219 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 77 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .205 | .290 | .333 | .623 | .128 | .288 | 31 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.6 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | SEA | 287 | 254 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 97 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .197 | .284 | .319 | .603 | .122 | .285 | 34 | 10 | .281 | 73 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | SEA | 314 | 276 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .221 | .309 | .366 | .675 | .145 | .276 | 26 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | SEA | 354 | 311 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 92 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .222 | .311 | .370 | .680 | .148 | .278 | 26 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 37% | SEA | 378 | 333 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 98 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .222 | .309 | .372 | .682 | .150 | .278 | 26 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | SEA | 386 | 340 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 101 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .221 | .308 | .368 | .676 | .147 | .278 | 26 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | SEA | 389 | 342 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 103 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .219 | .308 | .365 | .674 | .146 | .276 | 26 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | SEA | 370 | 325 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 100 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .215 | .305 | .357 | .662 | .142 | .275 | 27 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 90% | SEA | 344 | 303 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .211 | .299 | .343 | .642 | .132 | .273 | 27 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 308 | 271 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 87 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .207 | .295 | .328 | .623 | .122 | .271 | 28 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -8 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 261 | 231 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .203 | .290 | .325 | .614 | .121 | .269 | 29 | 10 | .279 | 72 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 209 | 184 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .196 | .285 | .304 | .589 | .109 | .267 | 30 | 10 | .272 | 66 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 155 | 138 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .188 | .273 | .297 | .570 | .109 | .264 | 31 | 10 | .263 | 60 | -7 | +0 | -6 | +3 | +4 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4053 | 3564 | 756 | 133 | 18 | 108 | 413 | 1126 | 43 | 46 | 6 | .212 | .301 | .350 | .652 | .138 | .276 | 28 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -78 | +7 | -31 | +72 | +115 | 8.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 572 | 121 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 66 | 181 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .212 | .301 | .348 | .649 | .136 | .275 | 28 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -12 | +1 | -5 | +12 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 78 | 70 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .229 | .308 | .343 | .651 | .114 | .341 | 32 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 260 | 202 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 54 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .238 | .391 | .421 | .812 | .183 | .282 | 21 | 19 | .365 | 137 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matthew Ellis (OGILVIE) | 25 | 40 | 45 | 40 | 60 | .214/.294/.350 | .137 | .286 | 7 | 4 | 29% | 9% | 82 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Hunter Feduccia 2022 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 45→50 | 45→40 | 48 | .220/.287/.342 | .122 | .280 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.289/.360 | .143 | .287 | 16 | 3 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .226/.315/.344 | .118 | .304 | 11 | 2 | 27% | 11% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Chance Sisco 2020 · MLB |
25 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 41→40 | 43 | .224/.308/.369 | .145 | .304 | 17 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .211/.305/.361 | .150 | .284 | 17 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .177/.284/.310 | .133 | .243 | 14 | 0 | 31% | 10% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Matt Lloyd 2021 · A |
25 | 44→42 | 46→50 | 46→50 | 42 | .218/.279/.349 | .131 | .306 | 13 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .215/.282/.373 | .158 | .319 | 20 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .214/.289/.352 | .138 | .288 | 17 | 12 | 30% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Reese Havens 2012 · AA |
25 | 46→40 | 49→45 | 43→40 | 46 | .229/.301/.376 | .147 | .301 | 16 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .210/.285/.326 | .116 | .307 | 12 | 5 | 33% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .184/.269/.285 | .101 | .268 | 12 | 2 | 33% | 9% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→42 | 42→40 | 42→40 | 50 | .217/.304/.324 | .107 | .280 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.327/.346 | .110 | .320 | 11 | 6 | 27% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .236/.337/.336 | .100 | .321 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 11% | 93 | +0.5 |
|
✕Zack Collins 2020 · MLB |
25 | 39→42 | 50 | 47→40 | 49 | .198/.295/.356 | .158 | .297 | 18 | 3 | 37% | 12% | 84 | +0.6 | .205/.299/.358 | .153 | .296 | 17 | 5 | 33% | 11% | 86 | +0.8 | .189/.282/.331 | .142 | .278 | 16 | 4 | 35% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA |
25 | 46 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 48 | .227/.296/.347 | .121 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .250/.325/.358 | .108 | .328 | 8 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .255/.330/.354 | .099 | .334 | 7 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 92 | +0.5 |
|
✕Ford Proctor 2022 · AA |
25 | 46→50 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 48 | .221/.301/.338 | .117 | .304 | 12 | 7 | 29% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .204/.291/.311 | .107 | .300 | 13 | 6 | 33% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.273 | .084 | .274 | 11 | 4 | 32% | 11% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Emerson Frostad 2008 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 50 | 41→40 | 44 | .225/.281/.377 | .152 | .281 | 18 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.273/.335 | .118 | .282 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .213/.270/.312 | .099 | .270 | 7 | 2 | 23% | 7% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Isan Díaz 2021 · MLB |
25 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 45 | 43 | .213/.280/.364 | .151 | .286 | 18 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .209/.286/.369 | .160 | .277 | 20 | 7 | 31% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .191/.269/.374 | .183 | .233 | 28 | 8 | 32% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Sean Coughlin 2010 · AA |
25 | 43→38 | 48→50 | 44→30 | 50 | .221/.293/.364 | .143 | .260 | 16 | 2 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .215/.278/.333 | .118 | .269 | 13 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .180/.240/.267 | .087 | .234 | 9 | 2 | 26% | 6% | 34 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ian Rice 2019 · AA |
25 | 41→40 | 50 | 43→30 | 49 | .210/.297/.362 | .152 | .281 | 19 | 3 | 31% | 10% | 86 | +0.8 | .197/.273/.304 | .107 | .287 | 11 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .154/.226/.214 | .060 | .231 | 5 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 17 | -1.7 |
|
✕Travis Scott 2010 · A |
25 | 44 | 51→55 | 47→40 | 44 | .227/.282/.392 | .165 | .287 | 19 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .216/.269/.354 | .138 | .278 | 14 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .205/.261/.334 | .128 | .240 | 17 | 3 | 22% | 5% | 59 | -0.2 |
|
✕Frank Curreri 2007 · A |
24 | 49 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 48 | .235/.306/.356 | .121 | .321 | 11 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .247/.320/.349 | .102 | .319 | 8 | 6 | 23% | 10% | 91 | +1.1 | .252/.328/.346 | .094 | .315 | 7 | 5 | 21% | 10% | 91 | +0.7 |
|
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA |
25 | 39 | 50→60 | 48→45 | 43 | .204/.276/.365 | .162 | .275 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .196/.274/.375 | .179 | .254 | 22 | 4 | 31% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .201/.284/.419 | .218 | .235 | 28 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A |
25 | 43→44 | 49→50 | 37→30 | 52 | .219/.302/.365 | .146 | .262 | 17 | 3 | 24% | 10% | 89 | +0.9 | .213/.280/.353 | .140 | .273 | 16 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .174/.242/.295 | .122 | .219 | 13 | 0 | 27% | 6% | 44 | -0.5 |
|
✕Kenny Holmberg 2008 · A |
25 | 45 | 48→50 | 41→40 | 49 | .230/.296/.371 | .141 | .270 | 17 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .209/.295/.296 | .087 | .269 | 7 | 4 | 23% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .179/.291/.209 | .030 | .245 | 0 | 1 | 23% | 11% | 44 | -1.2 |
|
✕Peter Maris 2019 · AA |
25 | 48→51 | 45 | 46→50 | 49 | .236/.294/.363 | .127 | .277 | 13 | 9 | 20% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .217/.275/.348 | .131 | .281 | 14 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.255/.326 | .126 | .265 | 14 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 55 | -0.6 |
|
✕Logan Johnson 2009 · A |
25 | 45 | 46→50 | 45→30 | 43 | .224/.295/.353 | .129 | .279 | 14 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .227/.298/.368 | .141 | .286 | 16 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .221/.300/.369 | .147 | .279 | 18 | 0 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.3 |
|
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA |
25 | 40→45 | 51→55 | 43→45 | 43 | .211/.284/.372 | .161 | .275 | 19 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .217/.298/.374 | .157 | .285 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .215/.298/.370 | .155 | .281 | 18 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 85 | +0.5 |