Cesar Rojas — OGILVIE

Cesar Rojas P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 162 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.73

FIP5.73

K%22.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.4%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	11	3	12	80	13	33	1	27%	1.1	11.1%	51.6%	-40.5%	1.9%	13.89	9.75	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	11	3	12	80	13	33	1	27%	1.1	16.2%	41.2%	-25.0%	1.2%	13.89	10.47	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	5	0	4	28	2	13	0	0%	0.8	7.1%	46.4%	-39.3%	0.0%	11.25	8.38	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	5	0	4	28	2	13	0	0%	0.8	7.1%	46.4%	-39.3%	0.0%	11.25	8.38	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	5	0	4	28	2	13	0	0%	0.8	7.1%	46.4%	-39.3%	0.0%	11.25	11.85	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	18	0	28	143	37	36	2	0%	1.6	17.6%	31.5%	-13.9%	2.0%	8.36	6.70	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	18	0	28	143	37	36	2	0%	1.6	17.6%	31.5%	-13.9%	2.0%	8.36	6.70	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	18	0	28	143	37	36	2	0%	1.6	25.9%	25.2%	0.7%	1.4%	8.36	5.24	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	3	21	84	25	13	0	20%	1.4	24.1%	15.4%	8.7%	0.0%	3.48	3.02	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	3	21	84	25	13	0	20%	1.4	24.1%	15.4%	8.7%	0.0%	3.48	3.02	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	3	21	84	25	13	0	20%	1.4	29.8%	15.5%	14.3%	0.0%	3.48	2.57	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	37	0	35	174	55	39	3	0%	0.9	22.9%	26.9%	-4.0%	2.3%	6.23	5.82	—
YTD	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	37	0	35	174	55	39	3	0%	0.9	22.9%	26.9%	-4.0%	2.3%	6.23	5.82	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	WSH	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0%	1.0	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-2.53	—
2026	24	A RAW	WSH	36	0	34	171	53	39	3	0%	0.9	31.0%	22.8%	8.2%	1.8%	6.42	4.33	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	33	0	34	145	33	25	4	0%	1.0	22.9%	16.9%	6.0%	2.9%	5.41	5.29	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	WSH	14	0	15	63	15	11	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	16.9%	6.0%	2.9%	5.41	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	14	10	2	0%	1.0	22.9%	16.9%	6.0%	2.9%	5.41	4.91	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	136	27	0%	1.1	22.9%	16.9%	6.0%	2.9%	5.41	4.91	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		86	6	99	509	96	159	8	7%	1.2	18.9%	31.2%	-12.4%	1.6%	7.36	6.36	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		174	12	200	1028	194	321	17	7%	1.2	18.9%	31.2%	-12.4%	1.6%	7.36	6.36	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cesar Rojas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.73	22.4%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.29	22.9%	6.0%	34	-0.44	—	—	—
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	86
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	83
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	82
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	81
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	81
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	81
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	80
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	80
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	80
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	80
Will McAffer R 2021 · 6.40 FIP	24	SU	6.40	21.5%	24.2%	3.7%	.343	5.37	14.5%	-5.7%	33	-1.03	4.68	133	79
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	79
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	79
Kasey Ford R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	21.3%	14.7%	3.6%	.302	3.83	22.2%	5.5%	65	-1.29	2.53	114	79
Adonis Villavicencio R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	21	SU	4.65	21.5%	21.9%	1.1%	.316	3.93	18.0%	3.9%	90	-0.72	3.21	115	79
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	79
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	79
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	78