Marty Gair
P
Clearwater Threshers
Age 23
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126116vR 107
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
K%23.3%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 24 | 0 | 27 | 129 | 40 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 31.1% | -8.2% | 1.7% | 4.33 | 6.05 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 24 | 0 | 27 | 129 | 40 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.0% | 26.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 4.33 | 4.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 25 | 0 | 29 | 117 | 52 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.9% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 5.6% | 5.28 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.71 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 45 | 185 | 68 | 26 | 7 | — | — | 36.7% | 13.8% | 22.9% | 3.8% | 5.07 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.11 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 0 | 56 | 246 | 68 | 60 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.7% | 24.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.82 | 5.81 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 0 | 200 | 879 | 243 | 215 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.7% | 24.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.82 | 5.81 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marty Gair (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.49 | 23.9% | 12.5% | 20 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 89 |
| Nic Enright R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .263 | 3.12 | 29.6% | 23.5% | 124 | -0.51 | 0.50 | 249 | 88 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 88 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 88 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 88 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 88 |
| Hunter Dula R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 1.9% | .340 | 4.49 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 91 | +0.64 | 3.85 | 132 | 87 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 87 |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 87 |
| Kasey Ford R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.68 | 20.3% | 14.5% | 2.6% | .310 | 4.31 | 21.9% | 5.8% | 98 | -0.37 | 2.53 | 114 | 87 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 25.3% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .284 | 4.38 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 138 | +0.85 | 3.53 | 183 | 86 |
| Justin Yeager R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.58 | 26.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .281 | 3.98 | 25.4% | 12.6% | 103 | +0.40 | 3.21 | 239 | 86 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.76 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .254 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 154 | -0.24 | 4.09 | 183 | 86 |
| Austin Smith R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 86 |
| Logan VanWey R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 86 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 85 |
| CJ Weins R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.42 | 24.7% | 15.9% | 2.5% | .276 | 5.59 | 16.8% | -2.7% | 73 | +1.17 | 4.42 | 113 | 85 |
| Colin McKee R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 85 |
| Vince Arobio R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.47 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 2.9% | .365 | 3.84 | 24.1% | 16.2% | 55 | -0.63 | 3.84 | 118 | 85 |
| Jackson Kelley R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.84 | 26.5% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 3.92 | 21.1% | 9.9% | 138 | +0.08 | 3.80 | 190 | 85 |