Payton Green

SS Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AAMIA	107	.237/.327/.344	2	3	56	—	.194/.262/.265
2025	22	A+MIA	275	.278/.353/.427	6	6	70	—	.223/.286/.344
2026	23	AAAMIA	30	.130/.333/.130	0	0	28	—	.120/.267/.120
2026	23	AAMIA	258	.236/.331/.431	10	21	64	—	.193/.268/.348
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBMIA	6	.184/.258/.298	0	0	63	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBMIA	107	.187/.262/.304	2	4	66	-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBMIA	173	.190/.265/.308	4	6	68	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed76

ISO73

wRC+56

wOBA54

BB%47

Chase%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsBryce Teodosio (age 25) · José Barrero (age 25) · Edward Salcedo (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .258 / .298

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP280

ISO124

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	65	49	9	2	0	0	13	14	1	4	1	184	365	224	590	41	250	22	20	288	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	107	93	22	4	0	2	11	24	2	3	1	237	327	344	671	108	299	22	10	308	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	275	241	67	14	2	6	24	63	4	6	6	278	353	427	781	149	343	23	9	342	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	30	23	3	0	0	0	6	8	1	0	1	130	333	130	464		200	27	20	255	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	258	225	53	12	1	10	26	87	6	21	3	236	331	431	762	196	336	34	10	339	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	65	53	8	2	0	0	9	19	1	4	1	151	286	189	474	38	216	29	14	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	107	98	19	4	0	1	7	29	2	3	1	194	262	265	527	71	273	27	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	275	247	55	11	2	5	18	82	4	6	6	223	286	344	630	121	288	30	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	30	25	3	0	0	0	4	10	1	0	1	120	267	120	387		195	33	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	258	233	45	10	1	8	18	106	6	21	3	193	268	348	616	155	300	41	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	65	53	8	2	0	0	9	19	1	4	1	151	286	189	474	38	229	29	14	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	65	49	9	2	0	0	13	14	1	4	1	184	365	224	590	41	250	22	20	288	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	382	345	75	15	2	6	25	112	6	9	7	217	282	325	607	107	296	29	7	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	382	334	89	18	2	8	35	87	6	9	7	266	346	404	750	138	331	23	9	333	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	288	258	47	10	1	8	22	116	7	21	4	182	265	322	587	140	291	40	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	288	248	56	12	1	10	32	95	7	21	4	226	331	403	734	177	322	33	11	330	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	65	55	8	2	0	0	9	19	1	4	1	145	286	182	468	36	216	29	14	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	382	348	75	15	2	6	25	112	6	9	7	216	282	322	604	106	284	29	7	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	288	257	47	10	1	8	22	116	7	21	4	183	265	323	588	140	289	40	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	65	55	8	2	0	0	9	19	1	4	1	145	286	182	468	36	216	29	14	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	382	348	75	15	2	6	25	112	6	9	7	216	282	322	604	106	284	29	7	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	288	257	47	10	1	8	22	116	7	21	4	183	265	323	588	140	289	40	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIA	2%	338	304	59	12	1	8	25	126	6	12	3	191	264	312	576	121	290	37	7	261	63	-15	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIA	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	184	258	298	556	114	280	33	0	253	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	31%	344	310	60	12	1	8	25	125	6	12	3	194	268	319	587	125	290	36	7	266	66	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	389	350	68	14	1	9	29	139	7	13	4	196	271	323	594	127	290	36	7	269	68	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	404	363	72	15	1	10	31	142	7	14	4	198	272	325	597	127	290	35	8	270	69	-15	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	413	372	74	15	1	10	31	144	7	12	3	199	273	325	598	126	289	35	8	270	69	-15	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	409	369	73	15	1	9	31	141	6	10	3	199	273	323	596	124	288	34	8	270	69	-15	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	406	366	71	14	1	9	31	141	6	8	3	196	269	316	585	120	286	35	8	265	66	-17	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	31%	107	96	17	3	0	2	8	39	2	4	1	187	262	304	566	117	280	36	7	258	66	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	173	155	30	6	1	4	13	62	3	6	2	190	265	308	573	119	280	36	8	260	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	199	179	36	7	1	5	15	70	3	7	2	191	266	310	576	119	280	35	8	262	69	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	213	192	37	7	1	5	16	74	3	6	2	192	267	310	577	118	279	35	8	262	69	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	211	190	37	7	1	5	16	73	3	5	2	192	266	308	575	116	278	35	8	261	69	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	226	204	39	7	1	5	17	79	3	4	1	189	263	302	565	112	277	35	8	257	66	-9	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1129	1016	196	37	5	26	85	397	17	32	10	193	267	316	582	123	284	35	8	260	66	-43	+2	-2	+12	+24	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	21	3	15	49	229	10	18	6	193	267	316	583	123	285	35	8	260	66	-25	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3394	3052	599	122	10	76	255	1188	58	113	35	196	271	317	589	121	289	35	8	266	66	-104	+7	-4	+28	+58	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	115	23	2	15	49	228	11	22	7	197	272	320	591	123	289	35	8	266	66	-25	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,135	26	33	198	269	323	+12	+9	0.3	0.3
/162	664	15	19	+7.1	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Payton Green (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	45	35	189/262/309	120	290	7	10	37%	7%	63	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryce Teodosio 2024 · AA	25	39→49	42→45	51→65	35	184/251/283	99	315	10	20	42%	6%	52	-2.2	214/270/318	104	321	7	32	33%	5%	66	-1.1	219/273/322	104	319	6	42	32%	5%	66	-0.7
✕José Barrero 2023 · MLB	25	40→49	45→50	50→55	35	199/252/314	114	304	13	14	38%	5%	59	-1.6	197/261/335	138	293	16	20	37%	6%	68	-1.0	186/255/329	143	270	17	24	36%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Edward Salcedo 2015 · AAA	24	39→43	45	48→50	40	199/251/321	121	265	13	16	30%	6%	60	-1.6	207/260/314	107	262	10	11	24%	6%	61	-1.5	194/241/277	83	237	6	5	20%	6%	45	-1.2
✕Chad Stevens 2024 · AA	25	36→46	44→45	51→50	38	180/253/295	115	297	12	17	41%	8%	55	-1.9	218/282/340	122	327	11	15	34%	7%	76	-0.4	231/297/353	121	339	11	16	32%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Riley Tirotta 2024 · AA	25	41→46	44→45	50	42	198/273/317	118	311	11	14	37%	9%	68	-1.0	209/290/331	122	316	13	13	35%	9%	78	-0.3	199/285/314	115	298	13	12	34%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Marcus Wilson 2021 · AA	24	42→51	47→50	49→50	38	205/268/338	133	324	14	12	39%	7%	71	-0.8	201/285/341	140	341	14	17	41%	10%	78	-0.3	190/282/339	149	316	15	19	41%	10%	74	-0.4
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	53→55	44	207/280/319	112	291	11	19	31%	8%	71	-0.8	220/271/337	117	294	13	14	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/260/336	115	281	15	15	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Brandon McIlwain 2023 · AA	25	43→46	42→45	49→50	38	205/274/310	105	321	10	13	37%	6%	66	-1.1	218/292/330	112	301	10	15	29%	7%	78	-0.3	215/296/326	111	290	10	17	27%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Jake Rucker 2024 · AAA	24	43→42	41→45	45→50	42	206/272/311	105	288	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	209/270/321	112	256	11	9	22%	7%	67	-1.1	206/270/322	116	240	13	9	20%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Connor Lien 2018 · AA	24	38→48	43→45	53→55	31	185/238/297	112	317	11	19	43%	5%	50	-2.3	176/241/305	129	338	14	13	49%	6%	53	-2.1	139/217/265	125	284	15	10	52%	7%	33	-1.4
✕Brennen Davis 2024 · AAA	24	37→43	43→50	46→45	41	187/271/296	108	268	12	11	33%	7%	63	-1.3	200/289/350	150	264	19	8	31%	8%	83	+0.1	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→50	55→60	37	197/257/316	119	307	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	204/272/327	123	301	11	26	34%	7%	70	-0.9	195/271/326	131	284	11	34	33%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Ben Cowles 2024 · A	24	41→40	43→45	52→50	39	198/267/307	109	311	11	16	37%	7%	63	-1.4	210/271/322	112	295	9	16	30%	6%	68	-1.0	206/265/314	109	283	9	17	29%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	39→41	45→50	51→50	39	197/255/317	121	276	13	15	33%	6%	61	-1.5	202/265/347	145	308	17	11	38%	7%	72	-0.7	193/259/342	149	302	19	10	40%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Jacob Nottingham 2019 · MLB	24	40→50	44→45	47→50	37	199/265/317	119	293	12	8	35%	6%	65	-1.2	200/269/331	131	304	14	9	37%	6%	70	-0.8	176/252/292	116	258	14	11	35%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Orlando Calixte 2016 · AAA	24	43→50	41→45	52→55	39	214/254/311	96	286	10	18	28%	5%	58	-1.7	224/261/340	116	289	12	19	26%	5%	68	-1.0	225/267/312	87	298	9	20	27%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Diego Infante 2024 · AAA	24	48→54	45	48→50	37	231/277/354	123	339	14	14	35%	6%	77	-0.3	225/275/315	90	360	9	13	37%	6%	67	-1.1	220/275/250	30	396	2	11	42%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Julio Carreras 2024 · AAA	24	45→46	41→45	51→55	40	216/271/316	100	305	7	14	30%	6%	66	-1.1	217/273/312	95	321	6	24	32%	6%	65	-1.2	210/269/305	95	315	6	30	33%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Kenedy Corona 2024 · AA	24	41→42	48→50	54→55	41	211/269/351	141	285	16	24	31%	7%	74	-0.5	207/273/312	105	285	10	24	29%	7%	67	-1.1	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1

Payton Green

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps