Ivan Oviedo — OGILVIE

Ivan Oviedo P Down East Wood Ducks

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%22.1%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	12	11	62	261	72	16	5	92%	5.2	18.8%	7.7%	11.1%	2.3%	3.03	3.75	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	12	11	62	261	72	16	5	92%	5.2	27.6%	6.1%	21.5%	1.9%	3.03	2.60	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	49	207	55	15	3	42%	4.1	17.8%	7.9%	9.9%	2.2%	2.76	3.78	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	49	207	55	15	3	42%	4.1	26.6%	7.2%	19.3%	1.4%	2.76	2.57	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	5	34	157	48	18	6	26%	1.8	21.2%	14.0%	7.3%	4.7%	6.88	5.64	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	5	34	157	48	18	6	26%	1.8	21.2%	14.0%	7.3%	4.7%	6.88	5.64	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	5	34	157	48	18	6	26%	1.8	30.6%	11.5%	19.1%	3.8%	6.88	4.16	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	0	45	191	48	26	1	0%	2.4	20.1%	16.5%	3.6%	0.9%	2.20	4.01	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	0	45	191	48	26	1	0%	2.4	20.1%	16.5%	3.6%	0.9%	2.20	4.01	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	19	0	45	191	48	26	1	0%	2.4	25.1%	13.6%	11.5%	0.5%	2.20	2.99	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	TEX	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.1%	13.6%	8.5%	2.9%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	40	0	42	175	40	21	5	0%	1.0	22.8%	12.1%	10.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.69	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	17	0	18	76	17	9	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.1%	10.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	17	9	2	0%	1.0	22.8%	12.1%	10.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	101	23	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.1%	10.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		62	21	190	816	158	90	20	34%	3.1	19.3%	11.0%	8.3%	2.4%	3.45	4.18	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	22	200	857	166	94	21	34%	3.1	19.3%	11.0%	8.3%	2.4%	3.45	4.18	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ivan Oviedo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	22.1%	13.6%	2.9%	—	4.69	22.8%	10.7%	42	-0.26	—	—	—
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	83
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	82
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	80
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	80
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	78
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	78
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	78
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	77
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	77
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	77
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	77
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	76
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	76
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	75
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	75
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	75
Austin Vernon R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	26.6%	14.9%	3.0%	.234	4.62	22.7%	7.8%	182	+0.24	3.37	261	75
Jake Lyons R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	23	SW	5.38	18.3%	12.7%	4.0%	.259	4.13	20.1%	11.6%	63	-1.25	4.13	174	75
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	22.6%	12.6%	1.13	4.83
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22