Ivan Oviedo
P Down East Wood Ducks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | MIX2 levels | 12 | 5 | 49 | 2.76 | 2.57 | 26.6% | 7.2% | — | K 17.8% · BB 7.9% · FIP 3.78 | |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX2 levels | 19 | 5 | 34 | 6.88 | 4.16 | 30.6% | 11.5% | — | K 21.2% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.64 | |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX4 levels | 19 | 0 | 45 | 2.20 | 2.99 | 25.1% | 13.6% | — | K 20.1% · BB 16.5% · FIP 4.01 | |
| 2025 | 22 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBTEX | — | — | 0 | 4.64 | 4.64 | 22.9% | 11.6% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 25 | MLBTEX | 8 | 0 | 8 | 4.54 | 4.49 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 72 | 16 | 5 | 92% | 5.2 | 18.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 3.03 | 3.75 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 2 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 72 | 16 | 5 | 92% | 5.2 | 27.6% | 6.1% | 21.5% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 2.60 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 12 | 5 | 49 | 207 | 55 | 15 | 3 | 42% | 4.1 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 2.2% | 2.76 | 3.78 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 12 | 5 | 49 | 207 | 55 | 15 | 3 | 42% | 4.1 | 26.6% | 7.2% | 19.3% | 1.4% | 2.76 | 2.57 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 19 | 5 | 34 | 157 | 48 | 18 | 6 | 26% | 1.8 | 21.2% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.88 | 5.64 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 19 | 5 | 34 | 157 | 48 | 18 | 6 | 26% | 1.8 | 30.6% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 3.8% | 6.88 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX MLE | 4 levels | 19 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 48 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 2.4 | 20.1% | 16.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 2.20 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX MLE | 4 levels | 19 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 48 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 2.4 | 20.1% | 16.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 2.20 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX RAW | 4 levels | 19 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 48 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 2.4 | 25.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 0.5% | 2.20 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.64 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 18 | 0 | 19 | 82 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.11 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 96 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.11 | +1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 62 | 21 | 190 | 816 | 158 | 90 | 20 | 34% | 3.1 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 3.45 | 4.18 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 65 | 22 | 200 | 857 | 166 | 94 | 21 | 34% | 3.1 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 3.45 | 4.18 | +0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 33 IPFIP 2.98 → 4.01 (+1.03)K% 27.2% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.21% | — | ×0.740 | 20.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.97% | — | ×1.180 | 16.49% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.74% | ÷1.008 | ×1.300 | 0.95% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).
Result: FIP 2.98 → 4.01, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 6 IPFIP 2.94 → 3.53 (+0.59)K% 19.2% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.23% | — | ×0.770 | 14.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.54% | — | ×1.150 | 13.27% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 2.94 → 3.53, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAARound Rock Express · 5 IPFIP 3.80 → 3.79 (−0.01)K% 16.7% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 16.67% | — | ×0.860 | 14.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 16.67% | — | ×0.900 | 15.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.928 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 86).
Result: FIP 3.80 → 3.79, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rangers · 24 IPFIP 2.98 → 4.58 (+1.60)K% 34.0% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 33.96% | — | ×0.680 | 23.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.43% | — | ×1.250 | 11.79% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.83% | ÷1.124 | ×1.400 | 3.53% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 125).
Result: FIP 2.98 → 4.58, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 10 IPFIP 6.33 → 7.85 (+1.52)K% 23.5% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.53% | — | ×0.740 | 17.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.69% | — | ×1.180 | 18.51% |
| HR / BF /BF | 5.88% | ÷1.082 | ×1.300 | 7.07% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 6.33 → 7.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 45 IPFIP 2.55 → 3.78 (+1.23)K% 26.2% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.18% | — | ×0.680 | 17.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.28% | — | ×1.250 | 7.85% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.57% | ÷1.018 | ×1.400 | 2.16% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 104).
Result: FIP 2.55 → 3.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKDSL Rangers 2 · 62 IPFIP 2.60 → 3.75 (+1.15)K% 27.6% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.59% | — | ×0.680 | 18.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.13% | — | ×1.250 | 7.66% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.92% | ÷1.163 | ×1.400 | 2.31% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 133).
Result: FIP 2.60 → 3.75, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).