Edgardo Ordonez
C Wisconsin Timber Rattlers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROKMIL | 125 | .272/.395/.495 | 7 | 0 | 63 | — | .171/.258/.315 |
| 2025 | 21 | ACarolina Mudc… | 83 | .141/.329/.219 | 1 | 0 | 24 | — | .116/.256/.188 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+MIL | 39 | .194/.237/.361 | 1 | 0 | 20 | — | .162/.184/.297 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBMIL | 149 | .204/.275/.312 | 3 | 1 | 66 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBMIL | 29 | .206/.277/.321 | 1 | 0 | 70 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBMIL | 71 | .209/.280/.329 | 2 | 0 | 73 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 103 | 84 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 298 | 427 | 440 | 868 | 143 | 391 | 19 | 14 | 394 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 120 | 100 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 290 | 403 | 410 | 813 | 120 | 375 | 22 | 15 | 368 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 99 | 79 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 392 | 392 | 784 | 139 | 388 | 31 | 18 | 352 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 125 | 103 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 395 | 495 | 890 | 223 | 339 | 28 | 17 | 392 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 83 | 64 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 329 | 219 | 548 | 78 | 211 | 31 | 20 | 273 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 39 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 237 | 361 | 598 | 167 | 250 | 31 | 5 | 258 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 103 | 88 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 311 | 284 | 595 | 91 | 252 | 25 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 120 | 105 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 261 | 219 | 480 | 57 | 232 | 28 | 11 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 99 | 86 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 151 | 247 | 244 | 492 | 93 | 290 | 46 | 11 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 125 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 258 | 315 | 573 | 144 | 252 | 40 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 83 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 256 | 188 | 445 | 72 | 188 | 41 | 14 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 39 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 184 | 297 | 482 | 135 | 213 | 38 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 103 | 88 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 311 | 284 | 595 | 91 | 274 | 25 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 103 | 84 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 298 | 427 | 440 | 868 | 143 | 391 | 19 | 14 | 394 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 120 | 105 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 261 | 219 | 480 | 57 | 225 | 28 | 11 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 120 | 100 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 290 | 403 | 410 | 813 | 120 | 375 | 22 | 15 | 368 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 99 | 86 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 151 | 247 | 244 | 492 | 93 | 293 | 46 | 11 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Brewers | — | 99 | 79 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 392 | 392 | 784 | 139 | 388 | 31 | 18 | 352 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 125 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 258 | 315 | 573 | 144 | 246 | 40 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Brewers | — | 125 | 103 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 395 | 495 | 890 | 223 | 339 | 28 | 17 | 392 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 83 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 256 | 188 | 445 | 72 | 200 | 41 | 14 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 83 | 64 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 329 | 219 | 548 | 78 | 211 | 31 | 20 | 273 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 39 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 184 | 297 | 482 | 135 | 227 | 38 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 39 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 237 | 361 | 598 | 167 | 250 | 31 | 5 | 258 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 103 | 87 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 195 | 311 | 287 | 598 | 92 | 252 | 25 | 10 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 120 | 105 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 261 | 219 | 480 | 57 | 232 | 28 | 11 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 99 | 88 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 148 | 247 | 239 | 486 | 91 | 290 | 46 | 11 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 125 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 258 | 315 | 573 | 144 | 252 | 40 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 83 | 70 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 256 | 186 | 442 | 71 | 188 | 41 | 14 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 39 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 184 | 289 | 474 | 132 | 213 | 38 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 125 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 258 | 315 | 573 | 144 | 252 | 40 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 83 | 70 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 256 | 186 | 442 | 71 | 188 | 41 | 14 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 39 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 184 | 289 | 474 | 132 | 213 | 38 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIL | 0% | 149 | 135 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 275 | 312 | 586 | 108 | 286 | 32 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 30% | 97 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 279 | 322 | 601 | 114 | 288 | 31 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 44% | 161 | 146 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 282 | 330 | 612 | 120 | 288 | 30 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 51% | 220 | 198 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 284 | 336 | 620 | 124 | 288 | 30 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 52% | 259 | 234 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 285 | 337 | 622 | 124 | 288 | 30 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 285 | 258 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 284 | 336 | 620 | 123 | 287 | 29 | 8 | 280 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 292 | 264 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 87 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 282 | 330 | 611 | 119 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 52% | 296 | 268 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 89 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 278 | 322 | 600 | 114 | 283 | 30 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 30% | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 277 | 321 | 598 | 115 | 283 | 31 | 7 | 270 | 70 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 44% | 71 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 280 | 329 | 609 | 120 | 284 | 31 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 51% | 112 | 101 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 282 | 335 | 617 | 125 | 284 | 30 | 8 | 278 | 75 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 52% | 136 | 123 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 283 | 336 | 619 | 125 | 283 | 29 | 8 | 279 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 152 | 137 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 283 | 335 | 618 | 124 | 282 | 30 | 9 | 278 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 153 | 138 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 120 | 281 | 30 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 52% | 154 | 140 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 276 | 321 | 597 | 115 | 279 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 70 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 807 | 730 | 156 | 26 | 5 | 19 | 66 | 242 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 284 | 341 | 625 | 127 | 289 | 30 | 8 | 275 | 66 | -25 | +0 | -2 | +14 | +17 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 195 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 283 | 338 | 622 | 126 | 288 | 30 | 8 | 275 | 66 | -21 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2218 | 1988 | 392 | 74 | 8 | 44 | 194 | 699 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 197 | 275 | 309 | 584 | 112 | 277 | 32 | 9 | 265 | 66 | -53 | +0 | -4 | +29 | +36 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 205 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 197 | 276 | 309 | 585 | 111 | 276 | 32 | 9 | 265 | 66 | -21 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 39 PAwOBA .257 → .198 (−59)K% 30.8% → 39.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 11.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 10.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.33% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .257 → .198; ISO .167 → .125; BABIP .250 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 83 PAwOBA .271 → .203 (−68)K% 31.3% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.33% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.48% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | — | 14.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | — | 14.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | — | 4.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.963 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.214 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .271 → .203; ISO .078 → .053; BABIP .211 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Brewers · 125 PAwOBA .385 → .261 (−124)K% 28.0% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷1.002 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.80% | ÷1.014 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 10.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.94% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×0.985 | 21.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.088 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×0.985 | 1.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.29% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 8.35% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .385 → .261; ISO .223 → .162; BABIP .339 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Brewers · 99 PAwOBA .351 → .227 (−125)K% 31.3% → 46.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.31% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 11.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 17.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 11.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.80% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .351 → .227; ISO .139 → .092; BABIP .388 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 120 PAwOBA .362 → .227 (−135)K% 22.5% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.50% | ÷0.962 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 10.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.77% | ÷0.998 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 18.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷0.989 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 4.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.116 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.15% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 92, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .362 → .227; ISO .120 → .059; BABIP .375 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 103 PAwOBA .385 → .254 (−131)K% 19.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.42% | ÷0.954 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.59% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.85% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷0.980 | ×0.680 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 15.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷1.012 | ×0.600 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 9.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.036 | ×0.600 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 107, K 91, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .385 → .254; ISO .143 → .084; BABIP .391 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).