Miguel Sosa — OGILVIE

Miguel SosaC FCL Pirates

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 181 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 106 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .277 / .294

PA106

HR2

K%32

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.5M
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	88	75	15	2	0	1	8	25	3	0	1	200	302	267	569	67	280	28	9	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	88	71	17	2	0	1	12	18	3	0	1	239	372	310	682	70	302	20	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	109	91	23	7	0	3	16	17	1	3	3	253	370	429	799	176	278	16	15	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	109	82	25	8	0	3	25	12	1	3	3	305	472	512	984	207	324	11	23	435	191	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	103	80	17	2	0	4	19	37	2	0	1	212	376	388	764	175	317	36	18	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	103	69	20	3	0	4	30	23	2	0	1	290	515	507	1.022	217	364	22	29	450	202	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	169	148	28	6	0	1	19	76	1	1	2	189	286	250	536	61	380	45	11	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	169	140	38	9	0	1	27	54	1	1	2	271	393	357	750	86	435	32	16	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	PIT	—	106	95	19	3	1	2	9	34	1	1	0	200	276	316	592	116	289	32	8	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PIT	34%	155	139	29	5	1	3	14	48	1	2	1	209	286	324	609	115	290	31	9	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	24	MLB	PIT	46%	275	245	52	9	1	6	25	82	3	3	1	212	293	331	624	118	291	30	9	281	73	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2029	25	MLB	PIT	52%	351	314	68	12	2	8	31	104	3	4	1	217	293	344	637	127	292	30	9	286	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2030	26	MLB	PIT	54%	402	359	78	14	2	9	36	118	4	5	2	217	296	343	638	125	292	29	9	288	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.9
2031	27	MLB	PIT	54%	427	381	83	15	2	10	39	126	4	5	2	218	297	346	644	129	292	30	9	288	79	-10	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.0
2032	28	MLB	PIT	54%	439	392	84	15	2	10	40	130	4	5	2	214	294	339	633	125	291	30	9	287	78	-11	+0	-1	+8	+12	0.9
2033	29	MLB	PIT	53%	439	391	84	15	2	10	41	131	4	4	2	215	296	340	636	125	290	30	9	285	76	-12	+0	-1	+8	+12	0.7
2034	30	MLB	PIT	52%	435	388	82	15	2	9	40	130	4	4	1	211	292	330	622	119	289	30	9	282	74	-13	+0	-2	+8	+12	0.6
2035	31	MLB	PIT	52%	412	367	76	13	2	8	38	125	4	3	1	207	289	319	607	112	286	30	9	278	71	-13	+0	-3	+7	+12	0.3
2036	32	MLB	PIT	52%	385	344	71	12	2	8	35	118	3	3	1	206	285	323	608	116	283	31	9	273	67	-14	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.0
2027	23	MLB	PIT	34%	53	48	10	2	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	208	283	312	596	104	289	30	9	266	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	24	MLB	PIT	46%	127	114	24	4	1	3	11	38	1	1	0	211	286	342	628	132	290	30	9	273	67	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB	PIT	52%	181	161	35	6	1	4	16	53	2	2	1	217	296	342	638	124	290	29	9	278	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB	PIT	54%	218	194	42	8	1	5	20	64	2	2	1	216	296	345	642	129	290	29	9	280	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2031	27	MLB	PIT	54%	232	207	44	8	1	5	21	68	2	3	1	213	291	333	625	121	290	29	9	280	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2032	28	MLB	PIT	54%	238	212	45	8	1	5	22	70	2	3	1	212	292	330	623	118	289	29	9	279	72	-8	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB	PIT	53%	233	207	44	8	1	5	22	69	2	2	1	213	294	333	628	121	289	30	9	277	70	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2034	30	MLB	PIT	52%	228	203	43	8	1	5	21	68	2	2	1	212	292	335	627	123	287	30	9	275	68	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2035	31	MLB	PIT	52%	214	190	39	7	1	4	20	65	2	2	1	205	288	316	604	111	285	30	9	271	65	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2036	32	MLB	PIT	52%	199	177	36	6	1	4	18	61	2	1	0	203	284	316	601	113	281	31	9	265	61	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1923	1713	362	65	9	41	176	572	17	19	7	211	291	332	623	120	289	30	9	275	69	-68	+1	-5	+34	+54	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	122	22	3	14	59	193	6	6	2	211	290	332	622	121	288	30	9	275	69	-23	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	4295	3809	809	145	19	92	410	1301	42	43	21	212	296	333	629	121	294	30	10	283	75	-123	+0	-10	+77	+122	6.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	123	22	3	14	62	197	6	7	3	214	296	335	631	122	296	30	10	283	75	-19	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	88	71	17	2	1	12	18	3	0	1	239	372	310	682	70	302	20	14	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	109	82	25	8	3	25	12	1	3	3	305	472	512	984	207	324	11	23	435	191	+11	-1	—	—	+3	1.4
2023	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	103	69	20	3	4	30	23	2	0	1	290	515	507	1.022	217	364	22	29	450	202	+12	-0	—	—	+3	1.5
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	68	55	11	4	1	12	23	0	0	0	200	343	327	671	127	323	34	18	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	101	85	27	5	0	15	31	1	1	2	318	426	376	802	59	500	31	15	372	143	+5	-1	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,030	43	20	213	289	333	+36	+24	3.2	3.0
	/162	664	14	7	213	289	333	+11.9	+7.8	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Sosa (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	199/277/294	96	289	2	1	32%	9%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2023 · A	22	42	41→55	44→45	38	204/267/297	93	298	9	5	33%	6%	56	-1.3	199/264/346	147	306	18	5	39%	6%	68	-0.5	178/245/340	162	280	22	3	43%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→40	44→50	46→30	45	208/280/323	115	292	11	4	31%	8%	68	-0.5	218/291/365	147	292	17	3	30%	8%	84	+0.6	217/295/377	160	283	19	1	29%	9%	86	+0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	41	44→45	47→40	42	201/283/317	116	296	12	5	34%	8%	69	-0.4	206/259/296	90	269	8	6	25%	5%	51	-1.7	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2011 · A	22	41	41→50	40→45	47	199/280/301	102	285	8	3	31%	9%	63	-0.9	197/265/307	110	265	10	3	28%	8%	58	-1.2	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Shane Zeile 2015 · A	22	41	41→50	46→40	39	205/254/304	99	281	9	5	30%	5%	51	-1.7	199/249/295	96	273	7	4	28%	5%	46	-2.0	187/237/299	112	249	8	2	27%	5%	41	-0.7
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	44	42→50	42→40	42	213/280/315	102	304	10	4	32%	7%	66	-0.6	212/275/335	123	294	14	4	31%	7%	69	-0.4	225/284/360	135	285	17	2	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	202/279/307	104	304	10	13	35%	8%	64	-0.8	200/283/348	148	300	18	17	37%	9%	76	+0.1	182/269/332	150	267	19	18	37%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→50	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	66	-0.6	193/280/309	116	304	13	5	37%	10%	66	-0.6	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Marcus Littlewood 2014 · A	22	40	40→45	48→45	46	194/268/290	96	282	7	4	32%	9%	54	-1.4	208/272/320	112	275	10	5	27%	8%	63	-0.8	209/274/322	113	270	10	4	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Alex De Goti 2018 · A	23	41→47	40→45	44→50	44	198/272/290	92	289	8	7	33%	8%	56	-1.3	225/277/344	119	285	12	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	43→60	47→45	41	202/262/316	114	279	9	10	30%	6%	58	-1.2	196/266/342	146	271	17	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Luca Tresh 2022 · A	22	44→40	41→55	49→40	38	208/261/310	102	314	8	7	35%	6%	56	-1.3	207/267/354	147	270	19	4	30%	7%	70	-0.3	202/253/357	154	268	19	2	32%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→37	43→55	44→30	42	178/266/287	109	280	11	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	196/276/343	147	277	18	3	34%	8%	72	-0.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2