Po-Yu Chen
P
Altoona Curve
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 201 lbs
AA
peak 0.7 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA5.47
FIP5.47
K%14.1%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%2.7%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 42 | 175 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 0.9% | 2.57 | 3.15 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 42 | 175 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 25.1% | 6.9% | 18.3% | 1.1% | 2.57 | 2.48 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 22 | 22 | 98 | 420 | 103 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 4.5 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 4.58 | 3.96 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 22 | 22 | 98 | 420 | 103 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.5% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 1.9% | 4.58 | 3.16 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 25 | 24 | 120 | 506 | 124 | 43 | 21 | 96% | 4.8 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 4.44 | 4.77 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 25 | 24 | 120 | 506 | 124 | 43 | 21 | 96% | 4.8 | 24.5% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 4.2% | 4.44 | 4.39 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 27 | 25 | 134 | 573 | 96 | 43 | 12 | 93% | 5.0 | 13.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.03 | 5.00 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 27 | 25 | 134 | 573 | 96 | 43 | 12 | 93% | 5.0 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 4.03 | 3.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 26 | 113 | 511 | 97 | 54 | 11 | 90% | 3.9 | 15.5% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.07 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 26 | 113 | 511 | 97 | 54 | 11 | 90% | 3.9 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 5.11 | 4.09 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 8 | 7 | 23 | 109 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 88% | 2.9 | 13.4% | 13.3% | 0.1% | 6.6% | 8.49 | 7.28 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 39 | 31 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.1% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 88 | 383 | 59 | 44 | 14 | — | — | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.27 | 5.95 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 14.1% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.47 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 14 | 14 | 85 | 358 | 57 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.8% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.27 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 14 | 14 | 85 | 358 | 60 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 14 | 14 | 84 | 353 | 60 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 14 | 14 | 81 | 342 | 58 | 36 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.13 | 5.16 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.8% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.27 | 5.22 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 40 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.10 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 47 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 49 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.13 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 228 | 964 | 162 | 101 | 31 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 5.15 | 4.76 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 142 | 88 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 5.15 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 114 | 530 | 2294 | 374 | 227 | 74 | 94% | 4.4 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.74 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 43 | 200 | 866 | 141 | 86 | 28 | 94% | 4.4 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Po-Yu Chen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.47 | 14.1% | 11.4% | 3.2% | — | 5.14 | 16.5% | 6.0% | 253 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| Jarred Cosart R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 89 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 86 |
| Riley Thompson R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 86 |
| Baron Stuart R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 86 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.4% | 13.1% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.95 | 13.8% | -5.5% | 46 | +0.43 | 4.52 | 196 | 85 |
| Blaine Knight R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .263 | 4.58 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 159 | +0.12 | 4.16 | 269 | 84 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 84 |
| Elliot Morris R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 83 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 83 |
| Hayden Merda R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 82 |
| Derek Casey R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.54 | 13.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .311 | 3.01 | 22.3% | 13.2% | 58 | -2.53 | 3.01 | 180 | 82 |
| Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.94 | 14.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .280 | 5.59 | 19.0% | 5.2% | 79 | +0.65 | 3.71 | 370 | 82 |
| Linder Castro R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .327 | 4.38 | 16.4% | 6.5% | 111 | -0.14 | 4.27 | 279 | 81 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 81 |
| Will Ethridge R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.47 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 3.9% | .253 | 3.57 | 15.6% | 1.5% | 17 | -1.90 | 3.57 | 227 | 81 |
| Thomas Farr R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.35 | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.8% | .278 | 5.31 | 11.7% | 1.8% | 193 | -0.04 | 4.93 | 408 | 81 |
| Allen Webster R 2027 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 81 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.87 | 15.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | .297 | 5.50 | 17.7% | 5.1% | 146 | +0.63 | 4.87 | 274 | 81 |
| Jarrod Cande R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.66 | 16.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 292 | 81 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.43 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .271 | 5.94 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 119 | +1.51 | 4.43 | 358 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 84 | 16.2% | 10.7% | 1.23 | 5.22 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Chi Chi González ('22) | 4 | 64 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.41 | 5.44 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Homer Bailey ('19) | 4 | 96 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.34 | 5.56 |