Juan Machado — OGILVIE

Juan MachadoOF FCL Pirates

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .284 / .280

PA54

HR1

K%31

BB%10

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	67	55	10	1	1	0	9	26	2	3	0	182	318	236	555	55	333	39	13	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	67	51	12	2	1	0	13	19	2	3	0	235	409	314	723	78	364	28	19	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	102	80	19	0	1	0	14	31	5	16	4	237	384	263	646	25	373	30	14	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	102	74	23	0	1	0	20	20	5	16	4	311	485	338	823	27	411	20	20	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	178	145	29	2	3	2	29	59	2	29	7	200	341	297	637	97	314	33	16	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	178	127	37	3	5	2	47	39	2	29	7	291	489	441	930	150	398	22	26	420	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	83	65	6	0	0	0	15	31	2	10	0	92	280	92	373		176	37	18	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	83	57	7	0	0	0	23	23	2	10	0	123	390	123	513		206	28	28	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	PIT	—	54	48	9	1	0	1	5	17	1	2	0	188	278	271	549	83	288	31	9	263	60	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PIT	30%	105	93	20	3	1	2	10	32	1	3	0	215	298	333	631	118	290	30	10	274	68	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	PIT	44%	222	196	41	6	2	4	22	66	2	7	1	209	295	321	617	112	291	30	10	280	73	-7	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2027	24	MLB	PIT	30%	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	172	250	207	457	34	289	31	9	265	61	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	PIT	44%	98	87	19	3	1	2	10	29	1	3	0	218	306	345	651	126	289	30	10	272	66	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	130	116	24	4	1	2	13	39	1	4	0	207	292	310	603	103	293	30	10	270	65	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	120	20	5	10	65	195	5	20	0	207	292	310	603	103	293	30	10	270	65	-26	+4	+0	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	811	682	134	13	8	9	104	262	15	70	12	196	316	279	594	82	299	32	13	270	65	-32	+9	+0	-5	+23	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	547	106	10	6	7	83	210	12	56	10	194	313	272	585	79	295	32	13	270	65	-26	+7	+0	-4	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	67	51	12	2	1	0	13	19	2	3	0	235	409	314	723	78	364	28	19	341	119	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	19	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	102	74	23	0	1	0	20	20	5	16	4	311	485	338	823	27	411	20	20	384	152	+6	+2	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	20	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	178	127	37	3	5	2	47	39	2	29	7	291	489	441	930	150	398	22	26	420	180	+16	+3	—	—	+5	2.5
2024	21	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	83	57	7	0	0	0	23	23	2	10	0	123	390	123	513		206	28	28	287	78	-2	+2	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Machado (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	196/284/280	84	288	1	2	31%	10%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	44→36	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/277	74	287	3	12	28%	7%	57	-1.2	205/290/306	101	264	9	15	24%	8%	69	-0.4	199/291/294	95	251	9	15	23%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	45→32	39→40	56→55	49	206/295/297	91	307	5	21	32%	10%	68	-0.5	183/270/263	80	289	5	20	35%	9%	49	-1.8	158/249/226	68	254	5	20	36%	9%	29	-1.4
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	39→36	42→45	56→50	41	194/256/303	109	270	8	20	30%	7%	53	-1.5	193/258/292	99	265	7	15	28%	7%	50	-1.7	183/250/273	91	246	7	15	27%	7%	41	-1.6
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	37→44	39→45	55→60	42	180/250/266	86	268	7	25	34%	8%	40	-2.4	205/275/310	105	272	10	30	27%	8%	62	-0.9	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	42	40	50	48	204/285/300	96	281	8	18	28%	9%	64	-0.8	200/261/296	96	312	9	11	36%	7%	53	-1.5	146/208/210	64	238	7	8	40%	6%	4	-1.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	42→41	43→45	53→55	42	211/261/321	110	274	10	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	215/272/329	114	309	11	21	32%	7%	66	-0.6	220/287/349	129	316	15	25	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	37→31	40→50	49→50	36	182/234/272	91	293	8	13	39%	6%	35	-2.8	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	66	-0.6	212/254/349	137	373	14	14	45%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Travis Swaggerty 2021 · A	23	44	40→45	50→55	44	209/274/300	91	300	7	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	209/271/324	115	295	10	18	31%	8%	64	-0.8	199/264/312	113	295	8	20	33%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Je'Von Ward 2023 · A	23	44→35	39→45	47→50	37	209/258/295	87	322	6	11	36%	6%	50	-1.7	194/260/303	109	321	11	10	40%	8%	54	-1.4	189/272/316	127	289	15	8	37%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	48	217/293/303	87	305	6	13	29%	9%	68	-0.5	199/283/333	134	317	13	21	38%	10%	72	-0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A	23	40→33	41→45	52→55	38	184/253/283	98	326	9	15	43%	8%	46	-2.0	202/264/342	140	304	18	21	37%	7%	66	-0.6	186/250/332	146	267	20	25	37%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Sean Shoffit 2008 · A	23	43	41→45	56→50	44	202/274/310	108	311	6	13	35%	9%	61	-1.0	194/266/302	108	315	8	14	37%	8%	56	-1.3	180/253/284	104	295	7	16	38%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	44→31	40→45	50→55	43	208/271/296	88	303	7	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	195/261/304	109	286	9	16	33%	7%	55	-1.4	172/247/285	113	246	10	19	32%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5