D.J. McCarty

P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 145 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	A+TEX	21	19	91	4.43	3.37	26.8%	8.3%	—	K 20.7% · BB 9.5% · FIP 4.38
2025	22	A+TEX	23	17	88	4.83	3.24	23.9%	12.7%	—	K 18.4% · BB 14.6% · FIP 3.94
2026	23	MIX2 levels	23	19	92	5.77	4.70	24.8%	11.8%	—	K 19.4% · BB 13.4% · FIP 5.69
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	12	12	67	5.49	5.49	18.6%	14.7%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTEX	6	6	36	5.27	5.21	19.3%	13.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBTEX	9	9	56	5.15	5.12	19.7%	12.7%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control35Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%

CompsZach Linginfelter (age 24) · Jacob Meador (age 23) · Cobi Johnson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%18.6%

BB%14.7%

K-BB%3.8%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	16	2	27	144	36	26	5	12%	1.7	17.0%	22.6%	-5.6%	4.8%	7.76	7.15	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	16	2	27	144	36	26	5	12%	1.7	25.0%	18.1%	6.9%	3.5%	7.76	5.76	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	11	48	229	53	26	1	92%	4.0	15.8%	13.7%	2.1%	0.6%	5.44	3.84	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	11	48	229	53	26	1	92%	4.0	23.1%	11.4%	11.8%	0.4%	5.44	2.79	—
2023	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	23	12	74	311	86	27	1	52%	3.2	20.5%	10.2%	10.2%	0.4%	3.05	2.88	—
2023	20	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	23	12	74	311	86	27	1	52%	3.2	27.7%	8.7%	19.0%	0.3%	3.05	2.04	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	21	19	91	410	110	34	11	90%	4.3	20.7%	9.5%	11.1%	3.3%	4.43	4.38	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	21	19	91	410	110	34	11	90%	4.3	20.7%	9.5%	11.1%	3.3%	4.43	4.38	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	21	19	91	410	110	34	11	90%	4.3	26.8%	8.3%	18.5%	2.7%	4.43	3.37	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	23	17	88	410	98	52	4	74%	3.8	18.4%	14.6%	3.8%	1.0%	4.83	3.94	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	23	17	88	410	98	52	4	74%	3.8	18.4%	14.6%	3.8%	1.0%	4.83	3.94	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	23	17	88	410	98	52	4	74%	3.8	23.9%	12.7%	11.2%	1.0%	4.83	3.24	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	92	431	107	51	16	83%	4.0	19.4%	13.4%	6.0%	4.6%	5.77	5.69	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	92	431	107	51	16	83%	4.0	19.4%	13.4%	6.0%	4.6%	5.77	5.69	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	19	92	431	107	51	16	83%	4.0	24.8%	11.8%	13.0%	3.7%	5.77	4.70	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	12	12	67	283	53	42	9	100%	5.6	18.6%	14.7%	3.8%	3.1%	5.49	5.49	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	84	354	68	47	11	100%	6.0	19.3%	13.2%	6.1%	3.1%	5.27	5.21	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	84	354	70	45	11	100%	6.0	19.7%	12.7%	7.0%	3.1%	5.15	5.12	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	82	348	69	44	11	100%	5.9	19.8%	12.5%	7.3%	3.1%	5.11	5.11	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	13	13	80	338	67	42	11	100%	6.2	19.7%	12.6%	7.2%	3.2%	5.14	5.17	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	13	13	76	323	69	39	11	100%	5.9	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	3.4%	5.08	5.04	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	12	12	72	303	64	37	11	100%	6.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.6%	5.16	5.21	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	36	152	29	20	5	100%	6.0	19.3%	13.2%	6.1%	3.1%	5.27	5.21	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	9	9	56	236	47	30	7	100%	6.2	19.7%	12.7%	7.0%	3.1%	5.15	5.12	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	64	270	53	34	8	100%	5.8	19.8%	12.5%	7.3%	3.1%	5.11	5.11	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	67	283	56	36	9	100%	6.1	19.7%	12.6%	7.2%	3.2%	5.14	5.17	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	67	283	61	34	10	100%	6.1	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	3.4%	5.08	5.04	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	65	274	58	34	10	100%	5.9	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.6%	5.16	5.21	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	59	354	1496	303	187	49	100%	6.0	20.3%	12.5%	7.8%	3.3%	5.14	4.76	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	171	106	28	100%	6.0	20.3%	12.5%	7.8%	3.3%	5.14	4.76	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		118	80	419	1935	368	252	47	68%	3.6	19.0%	13.0%	6.0%	2.4%	4.89	4.48	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	38	200	923	176	120	22	68%	3.6	19.0%	13.0%	6.0%	2.4%	4.89	4.48	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
D.J. McCarty (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	18.6%	14.7%	3.1%	—	5.15	19.6%	6.8%	250	-0.34	—	—	—
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	88
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	87
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	84
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	84
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	84
Matt Ruppenthal R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.32	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.18	3.74	283	84
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	84
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	83
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	82
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	82
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	82
Cole Percival R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.0%	14.3%	1.6%	.335	4.23	18.6%	8.6%	99	-0.10	3.58	327	81
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	81
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	81
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	80
Paxton Schultz R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	24	SP-	5.27	17.5%	12.2%	3.8%	.293	4.31	21.9%	11.8%	274	-0.96	3.83	543	80
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	80
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	80
Jason Savacool R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	14.9%	14.1%	2.2%	.275	4.88	17.2%	4.6%	128	+0.05	4.26	225	79
Tyler Schlaffer R 2024 · 5.08 FIP	23	SP-	5.08	14.5%	13.3%	2.8%	.298	4.13	20.3%	7.7%	190	-0.95	3.79	399	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	78	19.9%	12.8%	1.25	5.19
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Britt Reames ('06)	1.1	73	20.7%	12.0%	1.32	5.28
David West ('88-'98, 1 WAR*)	2.8	71	22.1%*	12.1%*	1.28*	4.79*
Lou Sleater ('50-'58, -2 WAR*)	1.5	60	19.6%*	11.2%*	1.30*	5.08*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Seth McClung ('09)	2.2	86	16.2%	13.1%	1.28	5.46