Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022
19
ROKMLE
ACL Reds
1
1
1
5
3
0
1
100%
1.0
60.0%
0.0%
60.0%
20.0%
0.00
9.01
—
2022
19
ROKRAW
ACL Reds
1
1
1
5
3
0
1
100%
1.0
60.0%
0.0%
60.0%
20.0%
0.00
10.10
—
2023
20
AMLE
Daytona Tortugas
14
6
35
164
43
22
1
43%
2.5
19.4%
15.8%
3.6%
0.7%
4.67
3.88
—
2023
20
ARAW
Daytona Tortugas
14
6
35
164
43
22
1
43%
2.5
26.2%
13.4%
12.8%
0.6%
4.67
2.90
—
2024
21
AMLE
Daytona Tortugas
4
0
8
28
7
3
0
0%
2.0
25.0%
10.7%
14.3%
0.0%
1.12
2.35
—
2024
21
AMLE
Daytona Tortugas
4
0
8
28
7
3
0
0%
2.0
25.0%
10.7%
14.3%
0.0%
1.12
2.35
—
2024
21
ARAW
Daytona Tortugas
4
0
8
28
7
3
0
0%
2.0
25.0%
10.7%
14.3%
0.0%
1.12
2.48
—
2025
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
24
21
78
317
72
32
5
88%
3.2
16.9%
11.9%
5.1%
2.0%
3.81
4.29
—
2025
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
24
21
78
317
72
32
5
88%
3.2
16.9%
11.9%
5.1%
2.0%
3.81
4.29
—
2025
22
MIXRAW
2 levels
24
21
78
317
72
32
5
88%
3.2
22.7%
10.1%
12.6%
1.6%
3.81
3.32
—
2026
23
AAMLE
Midland RockHounds
31
11
91
435
103
50
7
35%
2.9
19.2%
12.6%
6.5%
1.9%
6.63
4.14
—
2026
23
AAMLE
Midland RockHounds
31
11
91
435
103
50
7
35%
2.9
19.2%
12.6%
6.5%
1.9%
6.63
4.14
—
2026
23
AARAW
Midland RockHounds
31
11
91
435
103
50
7
35%
2.9
23.7%
11.5%
12.2%
1.6%
6.63
3.48
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
24
MLB
OAK
64
0
67
283
54
34
7
0%
1.0
19.2%
12.2%
7.0%
2.6%
4.83
4.83
-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
25
MLBMLE
OAK
79
0
83
350
70
38
9
0%
1.0
20.1%
10.9%
9.3%
2.6%
4.66
4.60
-0.0
2029
26
MLBMLE
OAK
79
0
83
350
72
37
9
0%
1.0
20.6%
10.6%
10.0%
2.6%
4.57
4.54
+0.0
2030
27
MLBMLE
OAK
78
0
82
345
71
36
9
0%
1.0
20.7%
10.5%
10.1%
2.7%
4.56
4.56
-0.0
2031
28
MLBMLE
OAK
75
0
79
334
76
33
9
0%
1.1
22.6%
9.8%
12.8%
2.8%
4.44
4.37
+0.2
2032
29
MLBMLE
OAK
72
0
76
319
71
32
9
0%
1.0
22.3%
10.0%
12.3%
3.0%
4.47
4.50
+0.0
2033
30
MLBMLE
OAK
68
0
71
300
66
31
10
0%
1.0
22.0%
10.3%
11.7%
3.2%
4.59
4.67
-0.1
2034
31
MLBMLE
OAK
63
0
66
280
60
30
10
0%
1.1
21.6%
10.7%
10.9%
3.4%
4.76
4.88
-0.2
2028
25
MLBCTX
OAK
34
0
36
152
31
17
4
0%
1.1
20.1%
10.9%
9.3%
2.6%
4.62
4.56
-0.0
2029
26
MLBCTX
OAK
52
0
55
232
48
25
6
0%
1.1
20.6%
10.6%
10.0%
2.6%
4.53
4.50
+0.0
2030
27
MLBCTX
OAK
60
0
63
266
55
28
7
0%
1.1
20.7%
10.5%
10.1%
2.6%
4.52
4.52
-0.0
2031
28
MLBCTX
OAK
64
0
67
283
64
28
8
0%
1.0
22.6%
9.8%
12.8%
2.8%
4.40
4.33
+0.1
2032
29
MLBCTX
OAK
63
0
66
279
62
28
8
0%
1.0
22.3%
10.0%
12.3%
2.9%
4.43
4.46
+0.0
2033
30
MLBCTX
OAK
61
0
64
270
59
28
8
0%
1.0
22.0%
10.3%
11.7%
3.1%
4.55
4.63
-0.1
2034
31
MLBCTX
OAK
58
0
61
258
56
28
9
0%
1.1
21.6%
10.7%
10.9%
3.3%
4.71
4.83
-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
393
0
413
1743
375
181
50
0%
1.1
21.5%
10.4%
11.2%
2.9%
4.53
4.16
+1.9
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
190
0
200
844
182
88
24
0%
1.1
21.5%
10.4%
11.2%
2.9%
4.53
4.16
+0.9
Career
—
MLE
74
39
213
949
179
122
17
53%
2.9
18.9%
12.8%
6.1%
1.8%
5.04
4.12
+2.0
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
70
37
200
892
168
114
16
53%
2.9
18.9%
12.8%
6.1%
1.8%
5.04
4.12
+0.7
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.