Tanner Smith — OGILVIE

Tanner SmithC Augusta GreenJackets

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.2 · 2030

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .268 / .320

PA53

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.2	$11M	+$10M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.0	$10M	+$9M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.7M	+0.3	$2M	+$0.9M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$30M	+$25M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	22	21	2	1	0	1	1	12	0	1	0	.095	.136	.286	.422	.190	.125	55	5	.172	-10	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	A	Augusta GreenJackets	38	37	6	2	0	1	1	21	0	1	0	.162	.184	.297	.482	.135	.333	55	3	.220	27	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	ATL	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	.214	.267	.286	.552	.071	.293	33	7	.262	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	MLB	ATL	53	51	9	3	0	1	2	26	0	1	0	.176	.208	.294	.502	.118	.333	49	4	.232	36	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 10%	ATL	149	137	31	6	1	4	10	41	1	3	1	.226	.284	.372	.656	.146	.284	28	7	.284	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	25	MLB 25%	ATL	253	231	52	9	2	7	18	68	2	5	1	.225	.287	.372	.659	.147	.286	27	7	.292	82	-5	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.7
2029	26	MLB 42%	ATL	326	296	67	12	2	9	24	87	3	6	1	.226	.291	.372	.663	.145	.287	27	7	.296	85	-6	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2030	27	MLB 58%	ATL	366	332	75	14	2	10	28	98	3	6	1	.226	.292	.370	.662	.145	.287	27	8	.297	86	-6	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.2
2031	28	MLB 68%	ATL	389	353	80	15	2	11	30	105	3	6	1	.227	.293	.374	.667	.147	.286	27	8	.296	85	-7	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.2
2032	29	MLB 77%	ATL	397	359	81	15	2	11	31	108	4	6	1	.226	.294	.370	.665	.145	.286	27	8	.294	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.0
2033	30	MLB 84%	ATL	399	362	81	15	2	11	31	110	3	5	0	.224	.290	.367	.658	.144	.284	28	8	.291	81	-9	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.9
2034	31	MLB	ATL	379	344	75	14	2	10	29	106	3	3	0	.218	.285	.358	.642	.140	.283	28	8	.287	78	-9	+1	-3	+7	+11	0.6
2035	32	MLB	ATL	354	321	69	12	2	9	27	101	3	1	0	.215	.282	.349	.631	.134	.281	29	8	.282	74	-10	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.3
2036	33	MLB	ATL	318	288	61	11	2	7	24	93	3	0	0	.212	.279	.337	.616	.125	.280	29	8	.277	70	-11	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.0
2037	34	MLB	ATL	270	245	50	9	1	6	21	81	2	0	0	.204	.272	.322	.595	.118	.278	30	8	.270	65	-11	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3637	3303	727	134	20	96	275	1015	30	42	6	.220	.286	.360	.646	.140	.285	28	8	.288	79	-88	+6	-20	+65	+103	6.7
/ 162G	—			650	590	130	24	4	17	49	181	5	8	1	.220	.285	.361	.646	.141	.286	28	8	.288	79	-16	+1	-4	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	22	20	3	1	0	2	2	8	0	1	0	.150	.227	.500	.727	.350	.100	36	9	.311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Smith (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	.207/.268/.320	.113	.291	1	1	31%	7%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	39→46	46→45	49→50	44	.197/.277/.329	.131	.260	14	9	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.289/.346	.131	.275	13	9	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	42	44→50	49→40	49	.210/.296/.330	.120	.268	12	7	25%	9%	78	+0.2	.225/.309/.364	.139	.303	15	5	29%	8%	92	+1.2	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→37	49→50	53→50	39	.211/.272/.359	.148	.288	17	9	32%	6%	75	-0.0	.211/.274/.346	.135	.297	14	11	32%	6%	72	-0.2	.206/.277/.356	.150	.287	18	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→43	45→50	49→40	44	.228/.280/.350	.122	.284	12	8	24%	6%	74	-0.1	.216/.283/.365	.149	.274	20	4	28%	8%	81	+0.4	.212/.282/.359	.148	.263	20	2	27%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Nick Hutchins 2019 · A	23	43	45→50	48→40	38	.213/.269/.344	.131	.299	12	3	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.204/.245/.307	.103	.286	9	5	31%	4%	49	-1.8	.187/.215/.275	.087	.261	8	4	31%	2%	23	-1.8
●Eduardo Valencia 2023 · A	23	44→54	42→50	49→30	45	.215/.282/.315	.100	.276	10	5	25%	7%	67	-0.5	.222/.280/.345	.123	.283	14	4	26%	7%	73	-0.1	.250/.305/.416	.166	.304	22	0	25%	6%	100	+1.0
✕Zachery Almond 2019 · A	23	46	47→55	48→40	41	.232/.275/.366	.135	.289	16	5	26%	5%	77	+0.1	.202/.258/.306	.104	.284	10	4	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.169/.234/.253	.083	.246	8	3	32%	7%	31	-1.9
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→39	43→50	46→30	45	.207/.280/.320	.113	.292	11	4	31%	8%	67	-0.5	.217/.291/.360	.143	.291	16	3	29%	9%	82	+0.5	.217/.295/.373	.156	.282	19	1	29%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	44→49	45	50→45	43	.213/.278/.336	.122	.306	12	8	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.213/.279/.336	.123	.289	13	5	29%	8%	71	-0.3	.229/.288/.338	.110	.303	11	4	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Paul Vasquez 2008 · A	23	47	43→45	52→30	39	.231/.271/.342	.111	.307	10	9	28%	5%	68	-0.5	.234/.273/.339	.105	.293	8	5	22%	3%	68	-0.5	.235/.269/.339	.104	.292	8	2	22%	2%	63	-0.3
✕Brian O'Keefe 2016 · A	23	47→42	47→55	48→40	42	.234/.292/.367	.133	.310	14	6	28%	6%	84	+0.6	.219/.290/.356	.137	.275	14	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	.211/.286/.351	.141	.261	14	2	24%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Chuckie Robinson 2018 · A	23	45→54	46→45	50→45	40	.224/.267/.354	.130	.282	13	7	26%	5%	69	-0.4	.198/.241/.306	.108	.279	11	7	32%	5%	46	-2.0	.236/.288/.362	.127	.293	16	7	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2021 · A	23	44	47→55	50→45	41	.225/.265/.355	.130	.262	15	8	21%	4%	69	-0.4	.227/.266/.389	.162	.270	20	3	24%	4%	79	+0.3	.219/.264/.387	.168	.253	22	1	23%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Carlos Narváez 2022 · A	23	45	44→50	49→45	43	.209/.293/.321	.112	.340	13	6	39%	10%	73	-0.1	.194/.280/.321	.127	.288	15	7	35%	9%	69	-0.4	.215/.298/.353	.138	.288	16	6	29%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→50	46→50	50→30	42	.233/.294/.366	.133	.327	13	9	31%	7%	85	+0.7	.229/.294/.363	.134	.310	13	3	29%	7%	84	+0.6	.224/.289/.360	.136	.304	14	1	29%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Chris Wallace 2011 · A	23	47→39	46→60	48→45	38	.231/.284/.362	.131	.322	14	6	32%	5%	79	+0.3	.222/.274/.368	.146	.303	17	4	31%	5%	77	+0.1	.217/.268/.357	.141	.300	16	2	32%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Cooper Johnson 2021 · A	23	43	43→45	51→40	45	.209/.287/.322	.113	.302	11	9	32%	8%	71	-0.3	.175/.261/.262	.087	.300	7	5	40%	9%	46	-2.0	.157/.246/.286	.129	.241	16	3	39%	9%	42	-0.7
●Will Smith 2018 · A	23	40→50	45→60	48→45	45	.200/.283/.322	.122	.270	13	8	30%	8%	70	-0.3	.208/.287/.393	.185	.263	24	6	30%	9%	90	+1.0	.249/.351/.438	.188	.273	23	3	18%	11%	123	+3.0
✕Juan Mora 2023 · A	23	48	44→45	49→55	40	.233/.292/.354	.121	.319	11	9	29%	6%	81	+0.4	.222/.278/.329	.107	.294	10	10	27%	5%	69	-0.4	.201/.257/.290	.089	.256	9	14	24%	4%	50	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)