Jonathan Santucci
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
+1.4
WAR
Age 23
LHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 2.3 · 2029
ERA4.19
FIP4.19
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.3%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.8%
IP118
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.3peak
2029
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 25 | 23 | 118 | 481 | 138 | 41 | 9 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 3.06 | 3.63 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 2 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.62 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYM | 21 | 21 | 118 | 497 | 116 | 47 | 13 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +1.5 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 126 | 530 | 129 | 53 | 14 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 4.28 | 3.92 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 25 | 25 | 137 | 577 | 137 | 52 | 16 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.13 | 4.09 | +1.9 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 27 | 27 | 150 | 635 | 152 | 55 | 17 | 23.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.08 | 4.03 | +2.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 29 | 29 | 157 | 664 | 160 | 57 | 18 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.02 | +2.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 29 | 29 | 160 | 676 | 162 | 58 | 18 | 24.0% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.04 | +2.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 29 | 29 | 160 | 674 | 162 | 58 | 19 | 24.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.06 | +2.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 28 | 28 | 156 | 659 | 157 | 57 | 19 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.09 | 4.11 | +2.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 28 | 28 | 151 | 639 | 151 | 56 | 18 | 23.6% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 4.17 | +1.9 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 27 | 27 | 146 | 617 | 144 | 55 | 18 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.24 | +1.8 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 26 | 26 | 140 | 592 | 137 | 54 | 18 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.33 | +1.5 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 24 | 24 | 134 | 566 | 129 | 52 | 18 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.43 | +1.3 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 23 | 23 | 127 | 537 | 121 | 51 | 17 | 22.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +1.1 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 112 | 49 | 17 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.66 | +0.9 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 20 | 112 | 474 | 103 | 47 | 16 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.79 | +0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 27 | 25 | 126 | 514 | 122 | 52 | 12 | 23.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 3.64 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 40 | 200 | 818 | 194 | 83 | 19 | 23.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 3.22 | 3.64 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonathan Santucci (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.19 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.04 | 23.9% | 15.2% | 444 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.73 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 5.75 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.02 | 3.65 | 203 | 92 |
| Nick Zwack L 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.15 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% | .299 | 5.76 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 143 | +2.61 | 3.15 | 248 | 91 |
| Will Johnston L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.96 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 4.18 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 70 | +0.22 | 3.96 | 162 | 91 |
| Dalton Sawyer L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.07 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 160 | 90 |
| Will Dion L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 22.3% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .289 | 4.52 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 216 | +1.13 | 3.39 | 448 | 90 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.27 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.75 | 4.27 | 501 | 89 |
| Pete Hansen L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.18 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .283 | 3.80 | 17.8% | 10.1% | 266 | -0.38 | 3.75 | 378 | 89 |
| Andrew Abbott L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.36 | 26.0% | 10.9% | 2.0% | .336 | 3.86 | 23.8% | 15.7% | 468 | +0.50 | 3.36 | 606 | 89 |
| Greg Farone L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .301 | 3.20 | 24.3% | 17.7% | 12 | -1.10 | 3.20 | 117 | 89 |
| Brian Holmes L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.77 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.46 | 3.58 | 205 | 88 |
| Gage Jump L 2025 · 3.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.19 | 22.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 113 | 88 |
| Drew Parrish L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.45 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% | .261 | 5.90 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 354 | +2.45 | 3.45 | 522 | 87 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | .288 | 3.85 | 24.0% | 10.3% | 102 | -0.55 | 3.85 | 191 | 87 |
| Lucas Gordon L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% | .269 | 8.07 | 11.6% | 1.8% | 13 | +3.67 | 4.40 | 233 | 87 |
| Hunter Owen L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.14 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 197 | 87 |
| Jackson Kent L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.40 | 20.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 123 | 87 |
| David Parkinson L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.69 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .303 | 5.45 | 16.0% | 8.2% | 78 | +1.76 | 3.06 | 517 | 86 |
| Kevin Smith L 2025 · 3.25 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.25 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 1.4% | .337 | 5.79 | 21.5% | 5.1% | 131 | +2.54 | 3.25 | 248 | 86 |
| Shane McClanahan L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.36 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 1.7% | .315 | 3.07 | 29.0% | 22.6% | 290 | -0.29 | 2.93 | 539 | 85 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.73 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% | .315 | 4.79 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | +0.06 | 4.73 | 154 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +2.2 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2029 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +2.3 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2030 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +2.3 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2031 | Arb-1 | $4M | +2.2 | $20M | +$16M |
| 2032 | Arb-2 | $7M | +2.1 | $20M | +$13M |
| 2033 | Arb-3 | $9M | +1.9 | $19M | +$10M |
| Totals | $22M | $119M | +$96M | ||