Logan Allen — OGILVIE

Logan Allen P Columbus Clippers

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.7 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION115 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 119

ERA4.27

FIP4.50

K%18.7%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 128 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5055

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4045

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.0

Whiff%

p1019.7%

p3419.8%

xwOBA vs

p460.316

FB+1.5 (47%)

CT+0.9 (12%)

SI (13%)

SL-3.6 (23%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	19	111	431	143	26	12	90%	5.3	26.3%	6.8%	19.5%	3.5%	2.26	3.67	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	19	111	431	143	26	12	90%	5.3	33.2%	6.0%	27.1%	2.8%	2.26	2.63	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	133	562	177	51	17	100%	4.9	26.4%	9.7%	16.7%	3.5%	4.75	4.00	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	133	562	177	51	17	100%	4.9	31.5%	9.1%	22.4%	3.0%	4.75	3.25	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	146	623	145	57	17	100%	5.0	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	2.7%	3.71	3.84	+1.8
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	146	623	145	57	17	100%	5.0	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	2.7%	3.71	3.84	+1.8
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	29	146	623	145	57	17	100%	5.0	23.3%	9.1%	14.1%	2.7%	3.71	3.80	+1.9
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	146	644	127	64	34	93%	4.9	18.5%	9.6%	8.9%	5.4%	5.61	5.70	-1.3
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	146	644	127	64	34	93%	4.9	18.5%	9.6%	8.9%	5.4%	5.61	5.70	-1.3
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	146	644	127	64	34	93%	4.9	19.7%	9.9%	9.8%	5.3%	5.61	5.70	-1.3
2025	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	30	29	157	676	122	61	18	97%	5.2	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	2.7%	4.25	4.18	+1.3
2025	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	30	29	157	676	122	61	18	97%	5.2	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	2.7%	4.25	4.18	+1.3
2025	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	30	29	157	676	122	61	18	97%	5.2	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	2.7%	4.25	4.20	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			81	75	396	1726	336	156	59	93%	4.9	19.5%	9.0%	10.4%	3.4%	4.55	4.52	+1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	27	22	115	517	130	42	19	81%	4.3	21.4%	7.4%	14.0%	4.0%	4.84	4.42	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	27	22	115	517	130	42	19	81%	4.3	21.4%	7.4%	14.0%	4.0%	4.84	4.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	CLE	20	20	99	436	114	36	16	100%	4.9	26.1%	8.3%	17.9%	3.7%	4.65	3.95	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	CLE	7	2	17	81	16	6	3	29%	2.4	19.8%	7.4%	12.3%	3.7%	5.94	4.40	+0.0
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	CLE	7	2	17	81	16	6	3	29%	2.4	19.8%	7.4%	12.3%	3.7%	5.94	4.40	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB MLE	CLE	2	2	13	55	10	5	2	100%	6.5	18.7%	8.9%	9.8%	3.4%	4.27	4.50	+0.1
ROS	27	MLB CTX	CLE	2	2	13	55	10	5	2	100%	6.5	18.7%	8.9%	9.8%	3.4%	4.27	4.50	+0.1
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	128	572	140	47	21	—	—	24.5%	8.2%	16.3%	3.6%	4.78	4.43	+0.7
FULL	27	MLB A+C	CLE	—	—	30	125	140	47	21	—	—	112.2%	37.5%	74.7%	16.7%	20.72	7.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CLE	26	26	154	648	117	58	23	100%	5.9	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	3.5%	4.90	5.02	-0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	CLE	24	24	147	619	108	57	23	100%	6.1	17.5%	9.2%	8.2%	3.7%	5.07	5.18	-0.5
2029	30	MLB MLE	CLE	23	23	138	582	98	55	22	100%	6.0	16.8%	9.5%	7.2%	3.9%	5.26	5.39	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	CLE	26	26	154	650	117	58	23	100%	5.9	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	3.5%	4.90	5.02	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CLE	24	24	147	621	108	57	23	100%	6.1	17.5%	9.2%	8.2%	3.7%	5.07	5.18	-0.5
2029	30	MLB CTX	CLE	23	23	138	583	98	55	22	100%	6.0	16.8%	9.5%	7.2%	3.9%	5.26	5.39	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		156	150	847	3630	669	331	129	96%	5.4	18.4%	9.1%	9.3%	3.5%	4.81	4.65	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	36	200	857	158	78	30	96%	5.4	18.4%	9.1%	9.3%	3.5%	4.81	4.65	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		164	154	808	3453	754	301	125	94%	4.9	21.8%	8.7%	13.1%	3.6%	4.29	4.35	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		41	38	200	855	187	75	31	94%	4.9	21.8%	8.7%	13.1%	3.6%	4.29	4.35	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Allen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	17.8%	9.2%	3.4%	—	5.19	17.4%	8.2%	438	+0.20	—	—	—
Matthew Boyd L 2018 · 4.30 FIP	27	SP	4.30	22.4%	7.2%	4.0%	.252	4.32	26.2%	19.5%	324	+0.02	2.22	1,440	71
Steven Matz L 2018 · 4.33 FIP	27	SP	4.33	23.2%	8.6%	3.8%	.259	4.21	22.5%	15.9%	342	-0.12	3.19	1,220	63
Eric Lauer L 2022 · 4.36 FIP	27	SP	4.36	23.8%	8.9%	3.9%	.258	4.48	22.3%	14.4%	294	+0.12	3.75	1,097	62
Steven Brault L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	19.8%	10.1%	3.2%	.301	3.81	18.8%	8.2%	70	-0.66	3.12	691	62
David Peterson L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	27	SP-	4.16	24.9%	10.7%	3.3%	.356	3.57	20.1%	10.9%	421	-0.59	2.81	1,061	62
Justin Nicolino L 2019 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP	5.83	14.4%	7.3%	5.5%	.286	5.19	12.8%	4.9%	85	-0.64	4.09	835	60
Joey Lucchesi L 2019 · 3.98 FIP	26	SP	3.98	23.0%	8.2%	3.3%	.269	3.18	26.1%	19.1%	38	-0.80	3.18	817	58
Felix Doubront L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP	3.92	18.0%	8.4%	2.3%	.304	4.12	23.7%	14.7%	42	+0.20	3.44	291	58
Marco Gonzales L 2019 · 3.97 FIP	27	SP	3.97	17.0%	6.4%	2.7%	.292	4.70	16.9%	11.1%	396	+0.73	3.09	1,108	57
Héctor Santiago L 2015 · 4.43 FIP	27	SP	4.43	20.9%	8.5%	3.7%	.245	5.13	19.2%	8.1%	378	+0.70	4.32	713	57
Jonathon Niese L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	28	SP	4.16	14.7%	6.9%	2.6%	.295	5.28	16.1%	8.0%	121	+1.12	4.16	368	56
Roenis Elías L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	27	SP	4.09	18.7%	11.2%	2.1%	.297	4.14	18.2%	10.4%	176	+0.05	3.15	564	56
Martín Pérez L 2018 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	13.1%	8.8%	3.9%	.340	4.46	18.4%	9.9%	341	-0.78	3.11	1,570	55
Tyler Anderson L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.315	4.35	20.7%	12.2%	256	+0.33	3.10	1,288	55
Adam Conley L 2017 · 5.07 FIP	27	SP	5.07	14.6%	8.7%	3.8%	.293	4.43	18.9%	10.6%	151	-0.64	3.55	674	55
Darin Gorski L 2015 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP	4.93	15.2%	11.4%	3.0%	.323	4.50	15.0%	5.2%	69	-0.43	4.50	206	55
Kyle Freeland L 2020 · 4.22 FIP	27	SP	4.22	15.1%	7.6%	2.6%	.301	4.22	16.9%	10.1%	451	+0.00	3.37	1,616	55
Adam Wilk L 2015 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP	4.23	14.2%	6.4%	2.8%	.352	4.50	15.2%	8.6%	310	+0.27	3.29	455	54
David Holmberg L 2018 · 4.78 FIP	27	SP-	4.78	12.0%	6.6%	3.4%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	514	54
Tommy Henry L 2023 · 4.56 FIP	26	SP	4.56	17.4%	8.5%	3.4%	.285	4.83	16.8%	6.9%	285	+0.27	4.40	671	54

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	145	17.5%	9.2%	1.39	4.99
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75