Logan Allen
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 27
LHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108118vR 127
ERA4.78
FIP5.01
K%17.7%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 152 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p1720.6%
K%
p2118.0%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
FB+1.5 (47%)
CT+0.9 (12%)
SI (13%)
SL-3.6 (23%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 19 | 111 | 431 | 143 | 26 | 12 | 90% | 5.3 | 26.3% | 6.8% | 19.5% | 3.8% | 2.26 | 3.82 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 19 | 111 | 431 | 143 | 26 | 12 | 90% | 5.3 | 33.2% | 6.0% | 27.1% | 2.8% | 2.26 | 2.63 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 133 | 562 | 177 | 51 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 26.4% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 3.99 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 133 | 562 | 177 | 51 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 31.5% | 9.1% | 22.4% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 3.25 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 146 | 623 | 145 | 57 | 17 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 2.7% | 3.71 | 3.85 | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 146 | 623 | 145 | 57 | 17 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 3.71 | 3.80 | +2.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 146 | 644 | 127 | 64 | 34 | 93% | 4.9 | 18.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.61 | 5.68 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 146 | 644 | 127 | 64 | 34 | 93% | 4.9 | 19.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 5.61 | 5.70 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 30 | 29 | 157 | 676 | 122 | 61 | 18 | 97% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 30 | 29 | 157 | 676 | 122 | 61 | 18 | 97% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 17 | 16 | 84 | 370 | 102 | 32 | 12 | 94% | 4.9 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 3.8% | 4.18 | 4.33 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 27 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 27 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 152 | 657 | 153 | 59 | 22 | — | — | 23.3% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 3.3% | 4.45 | 4.63 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 72 | 304 | 153 | 59 | 22 | — | — | 50.3% | 19.4% | 30.9% | 7.1% | 9.39 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 26 | 26 | 154 | 648 | 114 | 62 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 4.97 | 5.09 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 24 | 147 | 619 | 105 | 60 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.14 | 5.25 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 26 | 26 | 154 | 650 | 115 | 62 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 4.97 | 5.09 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 24 | 147 | 621 | 106 | 60 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.14 | 5.25 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 138 | 136 | 751 | 3218 | 597 | 300 | 110 | 99% | 5.4 | 18.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.59 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 857 | 159 | 80 | 29 | 99% | 5.4 | 18.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 154 | 148 | 776 | 3306 | 735 | 302 | 119 | 96% | 5.0 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 3.6% | 4.20 | 4.35 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 38 | 200 | 852 | 189 | 78 | 31 | 96% | 5.0 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 3.6% | 4.20 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Allen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.01 | 17.7% | 9.4% | 3.4% | — | 5.17 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 300 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 57 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.54 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% | .245 | 5.12 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 378 | +0.58 | 4.40 | 713 | 56 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.17 | 14.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .295 | 5.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 121 | +1.12 | 4.17 | 368 | 56 |
| Darin Gorski L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.79 | 15.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .323 | 4.39 | 15.0% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.40 | 4.39 | 206 | 56 |
| Adam Wilk L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.26 | 14.2% | 6.4% | 2.8% | .352 | 4.37 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 310 | +0.11 | 3.13 | 455 | 55 |
| Brett Anderson L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.93 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | .308 | 3.94 | 15.0% | 9.0% | 207 | +0.01 | 3.43 | 706 | 54 |
| Miguel Pena L 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .288 | 5.94 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 68 | +1.80 | 2.86 | 282 | 54 |
| John Danks L 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.30 | 16.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | .303 | 5.79 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 22 | +1.49 | 4.30 | 200 | 54 |
| Misael Siverio L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.00 | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .343 | 4.52 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 63 | +0.52 | 4.00 | 185 | 54 |
| Brad Mills L 2029 · 4.98 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.98 | 14.5% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .294 | 6.49 | 14.4% | 2.6% | 44 | +1.51 | 4.98 | 182 | 54 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.29 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 116 | 53 |
| Mike Belfiore L 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.52 | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.3% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 135 | 53 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.63 | 16.0% | 9.4% | 4.9% | .270 | 3.75 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 267 | -1.88 | 2.86 | 455 | 53 |
| Justin Nicolino L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.38 | 14.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | .286 | 4.80 | 12.8% | 4.9% | 85 | -0.58 | 4.11 | 835 | 53 |
| Kyle Hald L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.17 | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 124 | 52 |
| John Michael Bertrand L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.23 | 13.4% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .280 | 4.91 | 12.7% | 0.6% | 67 | +0.68 | 3.72 | 463 | 52 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.50 | 16.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | .306 | 4.56 | 25.4% | 14.8% | 305 | -0.94 | 3.25 | 1,019 | 52 |
| Matt Crouse L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.40 | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 342 | 51 |
| Tommy Henry L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.33 | 20.0% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .333 | 5.27 | 15.0% | 3.9% | 97 | +0.94 | 4.33 | 629 | 51 |
| Yohan Flande L 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.45 | 12.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.24 | 15.1% | 8.4% | 172 | -1.21 | 3.16 | 335 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 134 | 17.4% | 9.6% | 1.35 | 4.98 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |