Brandyn Garcia
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 26
LHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 112 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9099vR 108
ERA3.73
FIP3.89
K%24.7%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP112
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 148 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.3
Whiff%
p4424.5%
K%
p9030.7%
xwOBA vs
p900.218
SL+1.1 (30%)
CT (15%)
SI (52%)
CH (2%)
FB-2.5 (52%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 1.80 | 3.75 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 1.80 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 116 | 496 | 134 | 47 | 4 | 93% | 4.3 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 1.3% | 2.25 | 3.39 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 116 | 496 | 134 | 47 | 4 | 93% | 4.3 | 27.0% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 0.8% | 2.25 | 2.45 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 0 | 59 | 262 | 69 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 3.99 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 0 | 59 | 262 | 69 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 1.9% | 3.99 | 3.49 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 38 | 0 | 36 | 143 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.0% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 0.8% | 2.00 | 2.37 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ARI | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 117 | 59 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 3.73 | 3.89 | +2.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ARI | 107 | 0 | 112 | 473 | 117 | 59 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 3.73 | 3.89 | +2.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 148 | 617 | 162 | 74 | 12 | — | — | 26.3% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 2.0% | 3.31 | 3.52 | +3.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 136 | 574 | 162 | 74 | 12 | — | — | 28.2% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 2.1% | 3.61 | 3.52 | +3.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 128 | 0 | 134 | 566 | 135 | 63 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 4.13 | 4.20 | +1.9 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 124 | 0 | 130 | 549 | 129 | 61 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 4.29 | +1.7 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 121 | 0 | 127 | 536 | 128 | 60 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 4.13 | 4.20 | +1.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 123 | 58 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 4.29 | +1.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 388 | 0 | 401 | 1687 | 409 | 190 | 37 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 3.97 | 3.70 | +8.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 0 | 200 | 841 | 204 | 95 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 3.97 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 126 | 25 | 221 | 940 | 216 | 105 | 17 | 20% | 1.8 | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 1.8% | 2.65 | 3.59 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 23 | 200 | 852 | 196 | 95 | 16 | 20% | 1.8 | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 1.8% | 2.65 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandyn Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 22.0% | 13.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.24 | 23.7% | 12.5% | 264 | -0.49 | — | — | — |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 80 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 76 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 76 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 75 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 74 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 74 |
| Reagan Todd L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 25.6% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 122 | 74 |
| Grant Wolfram L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 2.8% | .265 | 3.11 | 23.4% | 14.3% | 144 | -0.69 | 1.87 | 399 | 74 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 73 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 73 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.71 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .246 | 4.16 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.45 | 3.20 | 194 | 73 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .257 | 4.79 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 127 | +0.83 | 2.69 | 703 | 72 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 72 |
| Joey Marciano L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 24.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .301 | 4.73 | 20.6% | 4.5% | 102 | +0.95 | 3.78 | 330 | 72 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 72 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 72 |
| Williams Jerez L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.07 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .337 | 4.52 | 21.7% | 13.4% | 77 | +0.45 | 3.54 | 364 | 72 |
| Locke St. John L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 26.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .296 | 4.16 | 21.5% | 10.4% | 108 | +0.20 | 3.02 | 389 | 72 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 72 |
| Erik Rivera L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 133 | 23.1% | 11.8% | 0.98 | 4.31 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |