Jack Sellinger — OGILVIE

Jack Sellinger P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 26 LHP 6'1" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%25.4%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2525

CMD5050

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	4	0	3	11	3	1	0	0%	0.7	27.3%	9.1%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.95	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	4	0	3	11	3	1	0	0%	0.7	27.3%	9.1%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.95	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	4	0	3	11	3	1	0	0%	0.7	27.3%	9.1%	18.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.98	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	43	186	63	19	1	0%	1.4	26.4%	9.7%	16.7%	1.0%	2.70	2.65	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	43	186	63	19	1	0%	1.4	26.4%	9.7%	16.7%	1.0%	2.70	2.65	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	43	186	63	19	1	0%	1.4	33.9%	10.2%	23.7%	0.5%	2.70	1.81	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	67	278	89	39	1	0%	1.7	24.6%	17.0%	7.6%	0.5%	2.29	3.45	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	67	278	89	39	1	0%	1.7	24.6%	17.0%	7.6%	0.5%	2.29	3.45	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	67	278	89	39	1	0%	1.7	32.0%	14.0%	18.0%	0.4%	2.29	2.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	34	0	56	242	70	28	1	0%	1.6	23.4%	12.7%	10.7%	0.5%	3.23	3.01	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	34	0	56	242	70	28	1	0%	1.6	23.4%	12.7%	10.7%	0.5%	3.23	3.01	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	MIA	34	0	56	242	70	28	1	0%	1.6	28.9%	11.6%	17.4%	0.4%	3.23	2.35	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	MIA	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	25.4%	15.8%	9.6%	2.5%	4.72	4.72	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	62	267	76	32	2	—	—	28.6%	12.0%	16.6%	0.6%	3.37	3.17	+1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIA	66	0	69	291	73	44	8	0%	1.0	25.2%	15.3%	9.9%	2.6%	4.71	4.72	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIA	64	0	67	282	70	42	8	0%	1.0	24.9%	15.0%	10.0%	2.7%	4.74	4.78	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIA	61	0	64	270	66	40	8	0%	1.0	24.6%	14.9%	9.7%	2.9%	4.82	4.88	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIA	25	0	26	110	28	17	3	0%	1.0	25.2%	15.3%	9.9%	2.6%	4.71	4.72	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIA	38	0	40	169	42	25	5	0%	1.1	24.9%	15.0%	10.0%	2.7%	4.74	4.78	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIA	43	0	45	190	47	28	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	14.9%	9.7%	2.9%	4.82	4.88	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	469	117	70	13	0%	1.0	24.9%	15.0%	9.9%	2.8%	4.77	4.43	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	126	23	0%	1.1	24.9%	15.0%	9.9%	2.8%	4.77	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		110	0	168	717	177	97	4	0%	1.5	24.7%	13.5%	11.2%	0.6%	2.67	3.07	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		131	0	200	852	210	115	5	0%	1.5	24.7%	13.5%	11.2%	0.6%	2.67	3.07	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Sellinger (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	25.4%	15.8%	2.5%	—	4.79	24.9%	9.9%	200	+0.07	—	—	—
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	88
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	84
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	83
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	82
Christian Chamberlain L 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	26.3%	17.5%	2.2%	.238	3.91	20.7%	0.5%	43	-0.42	3.91	148	82
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	82
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	80
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	80
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	79
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	79
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	79
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	79
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	79
Zac Curtis L 2018 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	24.3%	15.6%	2.3%	.245	7.10	22.4%	6.3%	30	+2.84	2.48	236	78
Caleb Wurster L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	25.0%	16.1%	2.1%	.241	10.33	13.9%	-5.0%	11	+6.17	3.42	100	78
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	78
Chazz Martinez L 2023 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	22.2%	12.7%	1.7%	.361	3.43	20.5%	7.7%	135	-0.33	3.09	199	78
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.39	18.9%	8.4%	53	+0.12	3.45	165	78
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	77
Thomas Burrows L 2021 · 4.06 FIP	26	SU	4.06	28.9%	17.5%	2.2%	.253	3.75	23.1%	15.0%	34	-0.31	2.67	271	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	25.0%	15.3%	1.04	4.75
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84