Jack Sellinger
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 26
LHP
6'1" / 230 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106116vR 125
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
K%25.4%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.95 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.98 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 43 | 186 | 63 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.4% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 1.1% | 2.70 | 2.73 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 43 | 186 | 63 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 33.9% | 10.2% | 23.7% | 0.5% | 2.70 | 1.81 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 67 | 278 | 89 | 39 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 24.6% | 17.0% | 7.6% | 0.5% | 2.29 | 3.45 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 67 | 278 | 89 | 39 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 32.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 0.4% | 2.29 | 2.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 20 | 0 | 33 | 145 | 43 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 0.8% | 4.68 | 3.06 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 75 | 46 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 4.67 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 103 | 441 | 118 | 62 | 8 | — | — | 26.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 1.9% | 4.67 | 4.16 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 25.4% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 4.67 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 73 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 70 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 42 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 71 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 4.33 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 125 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 0 | 145 | 620 | 155 | 84 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 0.8% | 2.91 | 3.12 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 132 | 0 | 200 | 853 | 214 | 115 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 0.8% | 2.91 | 3.12 | +5.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Sellinger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 25.4% | 15.4% | 2.5% | — | 4.70 | 25.1% | 10.3% | 136 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Andy Oliver L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 87 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 84 |
| Brendan Cellucci L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 26.3% | 16.6% | 1.8% | .288 | 4.80 | 21.7% | 6.7% | 56 | +0.84 | 3.96 | 265 | 83 |
| Erik Rivera L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 81 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 81 |
| Riley Martin L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.90 | 28.8% | 16.6% | 2.1% | .336 | 3.35 | 27.0% | 12.9% | 64 | -0.55 | 3.35 | 266 | 80 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 80 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 80 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 18.1% | 1.3% | .305 | 5.11 | 19.2% | 3.1% | 103 | +0.98 | 3.29 | 199 | 80 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 21.5% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.23 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 52 | +0.02 | 3.14 | 167 | 79 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 79 |
| Zac Curtis L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.29 | 24.3% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .245 | 7.10 | 22.4% | 6.3% | 30 | +2.81 | 2.61 | 236 | 78 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 78 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 78 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.68 | 24.4% | 15.9% | 1.1% | .278 | 3.56 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 55 | -0.12 | 2.50 | 185 | 78 |
| Conor Lillis-White L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 26.8% | 11.1% | 2.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.80 | 182 | 78 |
| Andrew Magno L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.87 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .341 | 3.26 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 101 | -1.61 | 3.21 | 309 | 78 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 4.0% | .254 | 5.12 | 24.8% | 13.6% | 23 | -0.62 | 3.14 | 167 | 78 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 77 |
| Brandon Neeck L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 28.8% | 19.7% | 1.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 171 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 25.2% | 15.0% | 1.02 | 4.67 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |