Sean Newcomb
P
Chicago White Sox
+1.1
WAR
Age 33
LHP
6'5" / 255 lbs
MLB
Svc 6.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 1.1 · 2026
ERA3.30
FIP3.66
xFIP3.60
SIERA3.49
K%23.5%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%15.3%
IP73
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2026
K†5555
FB Velo
p4594.2
Whiff%
p1019.7%
K%
p2518.6%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
FB (55%)
SL (35%)
SI (31%)
CU (37%)
CT (3%)
CH-1.0 (6%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 27 | 136 | 575 | 168 | 76 | 5 | 22.5% | 15.1% | 1.0% | 2.38 | 3.68 | +2.5 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 27 | 27 | 140 | 595 | 152 | 71 | 4 | 20.7% | 13.1% | 0.8% | 3.86 | 3.43 | +3.0 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 30 | 30 | 158 | 705 | 182 | 84 | 13 | 24.6% | 12.1% | 2.0% | 3.82 | 3.64 | +3.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 31 | 30 | 164 | 696 | 160 | 80 | 18 | 23.0% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 4.18 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 59 | 7 | 89 | 373 | 85 | 33 | 9 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 2.93 | 3.66 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 4 | 14 | 70 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 11.20 | 5.99 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 47 | 0 | 49 | 214 | 71 | 30 | 2 | 31.6% | 14.1% | 1.0% | 3.67 | 2.76 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 32 | 2 | 52 | 235 | 59 | 37 | 9 | 23.5% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 6.27 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 27 | 4 | 49 | 204 | 62 | 29 | 3 | 27.2% | 15.6% | 1.6% | 3.10 | 3.67 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 1 | 16 | 71 | 13 | 11 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.06 | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Athletics | 48 | 5 | 92 | 391 | 91 | 29 | 5 | 23.3% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 2.73 | 2.82 | +2.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 9 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 24.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 4.38 | 1.98 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | ATL | 11 | 11 | 61 | 257 | 59 | 21 | 5 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 2.75 | 3.21 | +1.2 |
| 2026 Total | 33 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 73 | 310 | 72 | 25 | 5 | 23.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 3.02 | 3.00 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 70 | 293 | 66 | 24 | 6 | 22.4% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 3.48 | 3.72 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 60 | 24 | 6 | 21.7% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 3.72 | 3.87 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 54 | 23 | 6 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 3.91 | 4.04 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 57 | — | 57 | 240 | 48 | 22 | 6 | 20.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 4.09 | 4.21 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 38 | MLB | ATL | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 19.3% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.28 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 39 | MLB | ATL | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 18.4% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.46 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 352 | 137 | 971 | 4182 | 974 | 514 | 79 | 23.3% | 12.3% | 1.9% | 3.67 | 3.73 | +17.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 28 | 200 | 861 | 201 | 106 | 16 | 23.3% | 12.3% | 1.9% | 3.67 | 3.73 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Newcomb (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.74 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% | — | 3.87 | 21.7% | 13.2% | 196 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.27 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 2.6% | .286 | 3.59 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.68 | 3.59 | 190 | 79 |
| Colt Hynes L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 152 | 75 |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.12 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% | .316 | 6.64 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 21 | +2.52 | 3.14 | 564 | 73 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 72 |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 71 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 71 |
| Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.67 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 202 | 71 |
| Carlos Hernandez L 2025 · 2.83 FIP | 32 | SW | 2.83 | 17.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 331 | 70 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.97 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.0% | .352 | 3.57 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 89 | +0.60 | 2.97 | 117 | 70 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.14 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .325 | 4.83 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.69 | 3.78 | 127 | 70 |
| Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 69 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.27 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 68 |
| Franklin Morales L 2024 · 4.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.03 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 101 | 68 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2027 · 2.57 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.57 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 0.6% | .307 | 3.31 | 22.6% | 14.3% | 71 | +0.74 | 2.57 | 109 | 68 |
| David Huff L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.07 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 158 | 68 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 67 |
| Nick Ramirez L 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 33 | SW | 2.93 | 18.1% | 5.5% | 1.2% | .283 | 3.60 | 14.5% | 8.3% | 50 | +0.67 | 2.93 | 478 | 67 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.79 | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.5% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 137 | 66 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.19 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | .304 | 3.80 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.39 | 1.81 | 421 | 66 |
| Manny Parra L 2025 · 2.90 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.90 | 17.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | .300 | 3.33 | 18.4% | 8.1% | 55 | +0.43 | 2.43 | 114 | 64 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2017
Service 6.238 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.1 | $9M | +$4M |
| Totals | $4M | $9M | +$4M | ||