Sean Newcomb
P
Chicago White Sox
Age 33
LHP
6'5" / 255 lbs
MLB
Svc 6.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7281vR 91
ERA2.91
FIP2.95
K%23.6%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%15.8%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p4925.1%
K%
p6024.1%
xwOBA vs
p640.298
FB (60%)
SL (33%)
SI (24%)
CU (35%)
CT (2%)
CH-1.0 (3%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 136 | 575 | 168 | 76 | 5 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.5% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 2.38 | 3.70 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 136 | 575 | 168 | 76 | 5 | 100% | 5.0 | 29.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 0.9% | 2.38 | 2.78 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 27 | 27 | 140 | 595 | 152 | 71 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 20.7% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 0.7% | 3.86 | 3.39 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 27 | 27 | 140 | 595 | 152 | 71 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 25.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 0.7% | 3.86 | 2.82 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 158 | 705 | 182 | 84 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 3.62 | +3.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 158 | 705 | 182 | 84 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 1.8% | 3.82 | 3.46 | +3.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 31 | 30 | 164 | 696 | 160 | 80 | 18 | 97% | 5.3 | 23.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 3.90 | 4.03 | +2.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 31 | 30 | 164 | 696 | 160 | 80 | 18 | 97% | 5.3 | 23.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 3.90 | 4.04 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 7 | 89 | 373 | 85 | 33 | 9 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 2.5% | 2.93 | 3.74 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 7 | 89 | 373 | 85 | 33 | 9 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 2.4% | 2.93 | 3.62 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 4 | 14 | 70 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 100% | 3.4 | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 11.20 | 6.12 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 4 | 14 | 70 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 100% | 3.4 | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 11.20 | 6.76 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 49 | 214 | 71 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.6% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 1.0% | 3.67 | 2.76 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 49 | 214 | 71 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.2% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 0.9% | 3.67 | 2.57 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 2 | 52 | 235 | 59 | 37 | 9 | 6% | 1.6 | 23.5% | 16.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 6.27 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 2 | 52 | 235 | 59 | 37 | 9 | 6% | 1.6 | 25.1% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 6.27 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 4 | 49 | 204 | 62 | 29 | 3 | 15% | 1.8 | 27.2% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 1.6% | 3.10 | 3.65 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 4 | 49 | 204 | 62 | 29 | 3 | 15% | 1.8 | 30.4% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 1.5% | 3.10 | 3.14 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 1 | 16 | 71 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 9% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 15.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 1 | 16 | 71 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 9% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 15.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Athletics | 48 | 5 | 92 | 391 | 91 | 29 | 5 | 10% | 1.9 | 23.3% | 7.4% | 15.9% | 1.3% | 2.73 | 2.81 | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Athletics | 48 | 5 | 92 | 391 | 91 | 29 | 5 | 10% | 1.9 | 23.3% | 7.4% | 15.9% | 1.3% | 2.73 | 2.78 | +2.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 35 | 1 | 54 | 216 | 52 | 16 | 1 | 3% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 16.7% | 0.5% | 2.52 | 2.26 | +1.4 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | CWS | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 38 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 1.6% | 2.91 | 2.95 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | CWS | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 1.6% | 2.93 | 2.97 | +0.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 92 | 379 | 90 | 29 | 4 | — | — | 23.9% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 0.9% | 2.68 | 2.55 | +2.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 92 | 389 | 90 | 29 | 4 | — | — | 23.2% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 0.9% | 2.69 | 2.58 | +2.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 80 | 0 | 84 | 354 | 80 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 1.9% | 3.52 | 3.66 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 72 | 0 | 75 | 318 | 75 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 2.2% | 3.64 | 3.72 | +1.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 80 | 0 | 84 | 355 | 80 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 1.9% | 3.54 | 3.68 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 71 | 0 | 75 | 317 | 75 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | 3.66 | 3.74 | +1.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 446 | 66 | 775 | 3347 | 774 | 339 | 75 | 15% | 1.7 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 2.2% | 3.89 | 3.65 | +15.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 17 | 200 | 864 | 200 | 88 | 19 | 15% | 1.7 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 2.2% | 3.89 | 3.65 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 378 | 138 | 1012 | 4345 | 1013 | 526 | 78 | 37% | 2.7 | 23.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 1.8% | 3.60 | 3.64 | +20.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 27 | 200 | 858 | 200 | 104 | 15 | 37% | 2.7 | 23.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 1.8% | 3.60 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Newcomb (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.69 | 23.0% | 8.0% | 2.1% | — | 3.69 | 23.0% | 14.9% | 159 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| David Huff L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.00 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 158 | 68 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 67 |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.89 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .316 | 6.84 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 21 | +2.95 | 3.19 | 564 | 66 |
| Rich Hill L 2028 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 66 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.51 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .286 | 3.60 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.91 | 3.60 | 190 | 65 |
| Colt Hynes L 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 65 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.18 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 5.42 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.24 | 2.97 | 294 | 64 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.23 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .322 | 4.77 | 19.5% | 7.4% | 204 | +0.54 | 3.07 | 650 | 64 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 63 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 62 |
| Jaime García L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.76 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 540 | 61 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2027 · 2.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.56 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 0.6% | .307 | 3.34 | 22.6% | 14.3% | 71 | +0.78 | 2.56 | 109 | 61 |
| Jeff Francis L 2027 · 2.85 FIP | 34 | SW | 2.85 | 19.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 114 | 59 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 2.59 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.59 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | .292 | 4.30 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 113 | +1.71 | 2.59 | 198 | 59 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.25 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .304 | 3.85 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.40 | 1.67 | 421 | 57 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 56 |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 56 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 56 |
| Matt Moore L 2026 · 2.82 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.82 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 1.0% | .253 | 4.56 | 23.7% | 15.3% | 101 | +1.74 | 2.82 | 845 | 56 |
| Josh Edgin L 2024 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 84 | 23.0% | 8.1% | 0.79 | 3.60 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Roenis Elías ('19) | 3 | 72 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 1.08 | 3.74 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Adam Warren ('19) | 5 | 67 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 1.08 | 3.55 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |