Kyle Ayers
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.6%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 3 | 31 | 126 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 17% | 1.7 | 15.6% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 2.93 | 3.11 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 3 | 31 | 126 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 17% | 1.7 | 24.6% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 2.93 | 2.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 14 | 5 | 60 | 262 | 52 | 20 | 9 | 36% | 4.3 | 15.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.18 | 5.28 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 72 | 316 | 64 | 25 | 11 | — | — | 20.3% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 5.86 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 69 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 32 | 8 | 90 | 388 | 60 | 36 | 11 | 25% | 2.8 | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 4.57 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 18 | 200 | 859 | 132 | 80 | 25 | 25% | 2.8 | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Ayers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.21 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 85 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 82 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 81 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 80 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 79 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 78 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 77 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 77 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 77 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 76 |
| Rico Garcia R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 75 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 75 |
| Connor Schultz R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 75 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 75 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 75 |
| Hunter Stanley R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 18.9% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .270 | 5.46 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 148 | +1.73 | 3.73 | 184 | 75 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 75 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 75 |
| Julian Garcia R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.15 | 22.2% | 9.4% | 1.3% | .314 | 5.03 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 177 | +1.88 | 1.61 | 328 | 74 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 74 |