Anson Aroz

C Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 195 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	A+LAD	63	.170/.302/.283	1	1	25	—	.127/.238/.218
2026	23	ALAD	104	.312/.461/.462	3	1	103	—	.244/.363/.337
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBLAD	217	.206/.281/.312	4	3	69	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBLAD	59	.205/.281/.315	1	1	72	0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBLAD	125	.207/.283/.321	3	2	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%60

Speed51

Chase%46

ISO30

wOBA16

wRC+16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsPatrick Bailey (age 24) · Jan Vázquez (age 24) · James Free (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 123 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .279 / .309

PA123

HR2

K%31

BB%8

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	63	53	9	3	0	1	8	20	2	1	0	170	302	283	585	113	250	32	13	278	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	104	80	25	3	0	3	18	29	4	1	2	312	461	463	923	150	440	28	17	411	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	118	211	118	328		200	37	5	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	63	55	7	2	0	1	6	25	2	1	0	127	238	218	456	91	216	40	10	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	104	86	21	2	0	2	12	39	4	1	2	244	363	337	700	93	386	38	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	186	157	31	5	0	3	20	72	7	2	2	197	315	287	602	89	333	39	11	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	186	150	36	6	0	4	27	56	7	2	2	240	380	360	740	120	348	30	15	342	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	186	157	31	5	0	3	20	72	7	2	2	197	315	287	602	89	322	39	11	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	186	157	31	5	0	3	20	72	7	2	2	197	315	287	602	89	322	39	11	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	217	195	40	7	1	4	17	68	3	3	1	206	281	312	593	106	290	31	8	270	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	30%	197	176	37	6	1	4	16	61	3	3	1	208	284	320	604	111	291	31	8	274	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	284	255	53	9	1	6	23	86	4	4	1	211	286	326	612	115	290	30	8	277	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	49%	331	296	63	11	2	7	27	100	5	4	1	211	287	327	614	116	290	30	8	278	75	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	362	325	68	12	2	7	29	108	5	4	1	211	287	327	613	115	289	30	8	278	74	-11	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	374	336	71	13	2	7	30	111	5	3	1	210	285	324	610	114	287	30	8	276	73	-12	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	380	341	71	12	2	7	31	115	5	1	1	207	282	316	598	109	285	30	8	272	70	-14	-0	-2	+7	+8	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	30%	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	205	281	315	596	110	284	31	8	271	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	125	112	24	4	1	3	10	38	2	2	1	207	283	321	604	114	284	30	8	274	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	49%	162	146	30	5	1	3	13	49	2	2	1	208	284	323	607	115	283	30	8	275	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	186	166	35	6	1	4	15	56	3	2	1	208	283	322	606	115	283	30	8	275	74	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	193	172	36	6	1	4	16	58	3	1	1	207	282	320	602	113	281	30	8	274	73	-6	-0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	196	176	36	6	1	4	16	59	2	1	1	204	279	312	591	108	279	30	8	269	70	-7	-0	-1	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	921	825	172	29	5	19	75	278	13	9	5	208	285	325	610	116	287	30	8	273	73	-30	-0	-2	+16	+20	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	121	20	4	13	53	196	9	6	4	208	284	323	607	115	286	30	8	273	73	-21	-0	-2	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2237	1996	417	72	11	43	186	691	36	23	9	209	288	321	609	112	293	31	8	276	73	-67	+1	-4	+37	+44	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	121	21	3	12	54	201	10	7	3	209	287	317	605	109	294	31	8	276	73	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Paul Richards'32-'46 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	15	15	218*	296*	337*	+29	+0	2.3	2.5
/162	664	6	6	+11.9	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.6	1,044	20	10	210	282	323	+19	+16	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	7	+11.9	+10.2	0.9	pk7: 1
#5Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anson Aroz (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	204/279/309	105	290	2	2	31%	8%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	40→49	46→45	47→45	47	200/279/329	129	274	13	5	31%	9%	73	-0.6	227/289/345	118	302	12	5	27%	8%	80	-0.2	231/291/343	112	305	11	4	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Jan Vázquez 2015 · AA	24	42	43→40	45	39	207/264/310	103	288	12	9	31%	6%	63	-1.4	216/286/306	90	294	7	8	27%	7%	70	-0.8	217/296/305	87	288	7	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3
✕James Free 2022 · A	24	41→45	40→45	48→30	43	195/265/289	94	297	7	6	35%	8%	58	-1.7	221/276/343	122	294	14	3	28%	6%	74	-0.5	226/281/358	133	288	16	1	27%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Marcus Littlewood 2016 · AA	24	39	45	46→45	47	200/265/319	119	254	12	5	26%	8%	65	-1.2	211/267/316	105	279	10	5	26%	7%	64	-1.3	200/256/292	92	266	8	2	27%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→47	46→45	49→50	43	195/275/324	129	258	13	9	29%	7%	71	-0.8	216/290/343	127	275	12	9	25%	7%	80	-0.1	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	44	40	47→40	51	210/290/306	96	280	8	5	26%	10%	72	-0.7	223/296/316	93	296	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	220/296/301	80	288	8	3	24%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Devin Thomas 2009 · A	24	40	42→45	48→40	42	191/269/289	99	297	9	11	37%	8%	60	-1.6	208/268/308	100	345	7	7	39%	7%	63	-1.3	204/260/306	102	349	6	3	41%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2024 · A	24	37	45	48→55	36	189/243/315	125	281	13	14	36%	6%	56	-1.9	201/256/297	96	281	8	18	30%	6%	56	-1.9	174/228/216	41	236	4	37	27%	6%	24	-0.9
✕Shane Muntz 2023 · A	24	39	43→45	48→45	43	191/272/299	108	276	10	5	33%	8%	64	-1.3	201/273/311	110	301	11	7	34%	7%	67	-1.1	174/253/281	107	263	11	5	36%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Zach Morgan 2024 · A	24	43	41→45	50	48	209/279/310	101	279	8	7	27%	9%	68	-1.0	202/272/291	89	258	8	8	23%	8%	61	-1.5	192/265/268	76	237	8	7	21%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	41→46	45	48→40	41	205/269/325	120	285	13	6	32%	7%	68	-1.0	226/281/343	117	304	11	5	28%	6%	76	-0.4	230/288/345	115	310	11	3	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A	24	41→38	43→45	51→45	45	200/271/312	111	286	10	6	32%	8%	65	-1.2	191/255/309	118	277	11	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	167/232/288	121	238	11	3	33%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→45	47→30	47	205/283/307	102	276	7	6	27%	8%	70	-0.9	218/285/307	89	309	7	4	29%	8%	70	-0.9	217/287/303	86	307	8	1	30%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	41	45	55	46	204/286/328	124	274	13	16	29%	8%	76	-0.4	199/283/311	112	277	10	18	30%	9%	71	-0.8	172/267/273	101	245	8	23	30%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	38	44→50	45→30	41	189/257/310	121	293	11	6	37%	8%	60	-1.6	204/277/337	133	332	13	3	39%	9%	74	-0.5	194/271/327	133	315	13	1	40%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Skye Bolt 2018 · A	24	39→40	43→50	45→50	40	194/252/307	113	283	9	8	34%	7%	57	-1.8	208/271/344	136	298	14	12	33%	7%	73	-0.6	238/305/370	132	313	14	12	27%	8%	89	+0.2

Anson Aroz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps