Anson Aroz

C Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 195 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1851ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202623A+/A/INTL2 orgs194.236/.375/.3504264—.200/.316/.292
2027PROJMLE24MLBLAD217.206/.281/.31243690.1
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBLAD37.205/.281/.31511720.0
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBLAD78.207/.283/.32121740.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
BB%60
Speed51
Chase%46
ISO30
wOBA16
wRC+16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsPatrick Bailey (age 24) · Jan Vázquez (age 24) · James Free (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .279 / .309
PA76
HR1
K%31
BB%8
ISO106
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.10.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202623 A+Great Lakes Loons — 6353 9301 8202 10 170302283585 113250 3213 278 25 — — — — — —
202623 AOntario Tower Buzzers — 10480 25303 18294 12 312461463923 150440 2817 411 103 — — — — — —
202623 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 2724 3000 2121 00 125222125347 250 447 179 8 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202623 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 6355 7201 6252 10 127238218456 91216 4010 205 25 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 10486 21202 12394 12 244363337700 93386 3812 320 103 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE3 teams — 194164 32503 21757 22 195312280593 85330 3911 277 73 — — — — — —
202623 A RAW3 teams — 194157 37604 28617 22 236375350725 115351 3114 336 73 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE3 teams — 194164 32503 21757 22 195312280593 85322 3911 277 73 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202623 A MLE3 teams — 194164 32503 21757 22 195312280593 85322 3911 277 73 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAD 0% 217195 40714 17683 31 206281312593 106290 318 270 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAD 30% 122109 23412 10382 21 208284320604 111291 318 274 72 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202926 MLB MLELAD 44% 177158 34614 14543 21 211286326612 115290 318 277 74 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203027 MLB MLELAD 49% 220197 41714 18663 31 211287327614 116290 308 278 75 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.2
203128 MLB MLELAD 51% 251226 47815 20753 31 211287327613 115289 308 278 74 -8 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.2
203229 MLB MLELAD 51% 265239 50915 21793 21 210285324610 114287 308 276 73 -8 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.1
203330 MLB MLELAD 51% 272245 50915 22823 11 207282316598 109285 308 272 70 -10 -0 -2 +5 +6 -0.1
202825 MLB CTXLAD 30% 3733 7101 3111 10 205281315596 110284 308 271 72 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202926 MLB CTXLAD 44% 7871 14202 6241 10 207283321604 114284 318 274 74 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203027 MLB CTXLAD 49% 10896 19302 9322 10 208284323607 115283 308 275 75 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
203128 MLB CTXLAD 51% 129116 24403 10392 11 208283322606 115283 308 275 74 -4 -0 -0 +2 +3 0.1
203229 MLB CTXLAD 51% 136122 25403 11412 10 207282320602 113281 308 274 73 -4 +0 -1 +2 +3 0.1
203330 MLB CTXLAD 51% 140126 25403 11422 00 204279312591 108279 308 269 70 -5 +0 -1 +3 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 628564 11418014 5018910 51 202279309587 106274 308 273 73 -20 +1 -2 +11 +14 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 11819014 5219610 51 202279307585 104275 308 273 73 -21 +1 -2 +12 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 15771407 29050629 13249325 168 206286312598 106292 318 276 73 -45 +0 -4 +25 +30 0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 11921212 5420310 73 205284310594 105291 318 276 73 -21 +0 -2 +12 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 104 PAwOBA .410 → .320 (−89)K% 27.9% → 37.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.88%÷1.000×1.360——37.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.31%÷1.000×0.690—×0.98011.70%
HBP% /PA3.85%—×0.780—×0.9802.94%
Singles /BIP37.25%÷1.000×0.920—×0.98033.59%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9804.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9804.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .410 → .320; ISO .150 → .115; BABIP .440 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 63 PAwOBA .271 → .205 (−67)K% 31.7% → 40.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.75%÷1.000×1.270——40.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.70%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9888.91%
HBP% /PA3.17%—×0.790—×0.9882.48%
Singles /BIP15.15%÷1.000×0.920—×0.98813.77%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.810—×0.9887.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9882.40%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .271 → .205; ISO .113 → .083; BABIP .250 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .