Slate Alford — OGILVIE

Slate Alford3B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 212 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .287 / .329

PA136

HR3

K%29

BB%10

BABIP273

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	125	103	23	4	1	2	15	41	5	0	0	223	350	340	689	117	344	33	12	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	125	97	28	6	1	2	21	31	5	0	0	289	439	433	872	144	400	25	17	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	LAA	—	205	184	37	6	1	4	19	62	1	2	1	201	279	310	589	109	277	30	9	263	59	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
YTD	23	A	LAA	—	205	176	44	8	1	5	27	46	1	2	1	250	353	392	745	142	310	22	13	337	116	+4	+0	+0	+1	+6	1.0
ROS	23	A	LAA	0%	136	121	25	4	1	3	13	39	1	2	1	205	287	329	616	123	279	29	10	279	72	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB	LAA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	270	65	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	LAA	—	205	185	37	6	1	4	19	62	1	2	1	200	279	308	588	108	275	30	9	263	59	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
TOT	23	A	LAA	—	341	305	62	10	2	7	32	101	2	4	2	203	283	317	600	115	275	30	9	269	64	-14	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	LAA	30%	292	260	56	10	2	6	27	82	3	4	1	215	297	338	635	123	282	28	9	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2028	25	MLB	LAA	44%	357	318	68	12	2	8	33	98	3	6	2	214	294	340	633	126	283	27	9	290	80	-8	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.4
2029	26	MLB	LAA	51%	398	354	77	14	2	9	37	108	4	6	2	218	299	345	643	127	283	27	9	292	81	-8	+0	+0	+1	+11	0.5
2030	27	MLB	LAA	52%	414	368	80	14	2	10	39	113	4	7	2	217	299	348	647	130	283	27	9	293	82	-8	+1	+0	+1	+12	0.6
2031	28	MLB	LAA	53%	421	374	82	15	2	10	40	115	4	7	2	219	301	350	652	131	283	27	10	291	81	-9	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.5
2032	29	MLB	LAA	53%	418	371	80	14	2	10	40	115	4	7	2	216	299	345	644	129	282	28	10	289	80	-10	+1	-1	+1	+12	0.3
2033	30	MLB	LAA	52%	413	367	78	14	2	9	39	115	4	6	2	213	295	335	630	123	280	28	9	287	77	-11	+0	-2	+1	+12	0.1
2027	24	MLB	LAA	30%	88	79	16	3	0	2	8	25	1	1	0	203	284	316	601	114	281	28	9	277	70	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
2028	25	MLB	LAA	44%	158	140	31	5	1	4	15	43	2	2	1	221	306	357	663	136	282	27	9	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	26	MLB	LAA	51%	202	179	39	7	1	5	19	55	2	3	1	218	300	352	652	134	282	27	9	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2030	27	MLB	LAA	52%	217	193	41	7	1	5	20	59	2	4	1	212	293	337	630	124	282	27	9	284	75	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2031	28	MLB	LAA	53%	224	199	43	8	1	5	21	61	2	4	1	216	297	342	639	126	282	27	9	283	75	-6	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.1
2032	29	MLB	LAA	53%	220	195	41	7	1	5	21	61	2	4	1	210	294	333	627	123	281	28	10	281	73	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
2033	30	MLB	LAA	52%	215	191	41	7	1	5	20	60	2	3	1	215	296	340	636	126	279	28	9	278	71	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1324	1177	252	44	6	31	124	364	13	21	6	214	296	341	637	127	280	27	9	281	73	-40	+2	-2	+5	+38	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	124	22	3	15	61	179	6	10	3	215	296	341	637	126	282	28	9	281	73	-19	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2974	2636	569	101	16	67	283	826	32	45	14	216	299	342	642	127	285	28	10	290	80	-68	+3	-4	+11	+84	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	124	22	3	15	62	180	7	10	3	215	299	342	641	127	284	28	10	290	80	-15	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	125	97	28	6	1	2	21	31	5	0	0	289	439	433	872	144	400	25	17	392	158	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,502	34	24	216	295	343	+5	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	15	11	216	295	343	+2.4	+0.9	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Slate Alford (OGILVIE)	23	34→39	40→45	42→47	62	203/283/317	115	275	7	4	30%	9%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→38	46→50	48→45	53	208/301/343	135	264	13	11	25%	11%	82	+0.5	198/289/339	141	285	14	8	33%	10%	77	+0.1	175/277/324	148	244	17	6	34%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Tyler Saladino 2012 · A	23	42→47	46→45	44→55	42	209/274/345	136	286	12	7	30%	7%	71	-0.3	217/286/316	99	287	8	20	25%	8%	68	-0.5	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jabari Henry 2014 · A	23	41→40	45→55	45	49	207/280/335	127	262	12	7	25%	9%	71	-0.3	196/277/354	158	273	19	6	33%	9%	76	+0.0	178/262/342	164	247	21	5	36%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Michael Paez 2018 · A	23	43→42	43→45	41→40	47	210/291/327	118	275	10	7	26%	8%	74	-0.1	207/277/306	99	264	8	4	24%	7%	63	-0.9	198/268/287	89	249	8	2	22%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→39	47→50	43→30	48	212/291/346	133	289	14	4	30%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/349	145	281	18	3	32%	10%	79	+0.3	185/276/320	135	253	18	0	33%	10%	64	-0.4
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Travis Jones 2009 · A	23	41→47	48→45	46→50	48	212/289/356	144	267	16	11	27%	9%	81	+0.4	213/284/325	112	291	11	15	29%	8%	70	-0.3	207/279/304	98	286	9	19	29%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2021 · A	23	44→43	44→45	43→50	44	215/283/335	119	288	10	7	28%	7%	72	-0.2	192/266/285	93	277	8	10	31%	8%	53	-1.5	183/261/270	88	257	8	12	30%	8%	44	-1.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→40	44→50	46→30	45	208/280/323	115	292	11	4	31%	8%	68	-0.5	218/291/365	147	292	17	3	30%	8%	84	+0.6	217/295/377	160	283	19	1	29%	9%	86	+0.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2013 · A	23	48→41	44→50	47→50	49	234/313/351	116	303	11	11	25%	9%	89	+1.0	212/279/341	129	275	14	13	27%	7%	72	-0.2	198/264/333	135	254	15	13	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Jackson Brennan 2007 · A	24	46→42	42→45	46→50	47	219/308/327	108	299	9	10	28%	9%	82	+0.5	209/301/306	97	289	8	10	28%	9%	74	-0.1	195/297/282	87	272	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/348	122	288	12	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/284/369	152	276	20	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	213/284/361	148	267	20	2	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Alsander Womack 2023 · A	24	48→43	43→40	44→45	47	238/297/340	103	293	12	7	23%	7%	79	+0.3	217/281/301	84	281	9	9	24%	7%	63	-0.9	205/273/275	71	264	8	8	24%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	41	44→45	47→40	42	201/283/317	116	296	12	5	34%	8%	69	-0.4	206/259/296	90	269	8	6	25%	5%	51	-1.7	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0