Jarold Rosado — OGILVIE

Jarold Rosado P Birmingham Barons

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%19.6%

BB%14.5%

K-BB%5.1%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	4	4	10	45	5	6	0	100%	2.5	11.1%	13.3%	-2.2%	0.0%	2.70	3.85	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	4	4	10	45	5	6	0	100%	2.5	11.1%	13.3%	-2.2%	0.0%	2.70	3.90	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	15	1	26	138	35	23	1	7%	1.7	17.2%	20.8%	-3.6%	1.0%	10.38	4.84	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	15	1	26	138	35	23	1	7%	1.7	17.2%	20.8%	-3.6%	1.0%	10.38	4.84	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	15	1	26	138	35	23	1	7%	1.7	25.4%	16.7%	8.7%	0.7%	10.38	3.56	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	55	218	68	15	2	0%	1.5	23.4%	8.1%	15.3%	1.3%	2.11	2.85	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	55	218	68	15	2	0%	1.5	23.4%	8.1%	15.3%	1.3%	2.11	2.85	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	55	218	68	15	2	0%	1.5	31.2%	6.9%	24.3%	0.9%	2.11	1.93	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	32	153	32	27	1	0%	1.2	16.5%	19.8%	-3.3%	1.0%	4.45	4.76	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	32	153	32	27	1	0%	1.2	16.5%	19.8%	-3.3%	1.0%	4.45	4.76	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	32	153	32	27	1	0%	1.2	20.9%	17.6%	3.3%	0.7%	4.45	4.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	39	0	43	216	48	36	4	0%	1.1	16.6%	18.8%	-2.3%	2.7%	6.85	5.54	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	39	0	43	216	48	36	4	0%	1.1	16.6%	18.8%	-2.3%	2.7%	6.85	5.54	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	CWS	7	0	8	35	11	5	0	0%	1.2	31.4%	14.3%	17.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2026	24	AA RAW	CWS	32	0	35	181	37	31	4	0%	1.1	20.4%	17.1%	3.3%	2.2%	8.49	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	48	0	50	213	44	27	6	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.8%	7.6%	2.7%	4.93	4.85	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	48	0	50	213	45	27	6	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.4%	2.7%	4.82	4.78	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	21	0	22	93	19	12	2	0%	1.0	20.5%	12.8%	7.6%	2.7%	4.93	4.85	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	32	0	34	144	30	18	4	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.4%	2.7%	4.82	4.78	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	49	30	6	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	2.7%	4.86	4.43	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	108	22	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	2.7%	4.86	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		123	5	167	770	141	123	11	4%	1.4	18.3%	16.0%	2.3%	1.5%	5.12	4.40	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	6	200	922	169	148	14	4%	1.4	18.3%	16.0%	2.3%	1.5%	5.12	4.40	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jarold Rosado (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	19.6%	14.5%	2.7%	—	4.81	20.7%	8.0%	101	-0.32	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	92
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	88
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	87
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	87
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	87
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	86
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.36	16.0%	6.0%	107	-0.80	3.20	213	86
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	86
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	86
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	86
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	86
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	20.5%	13.0%	1.04	4.92
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91