Jadon Bercovich — OGILVIE

Jadon Bercovich P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 94

ERA4.08

FIP4.08

K%23.9%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%15.6%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	26	107	36	11	0	5%	1.3	24.7%	7.9%	16.8%	0.0%	2.45	2.01	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	26	107	36	11	0	5%	1.3	24.7%	7.9%	16.8%	0.0%	2.45	2.01	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	1	26	107	36	11	0	5%	1.3	33.6%	10.3%	23.4%	0.0%	2.45	1.58	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	24	1	35	158	44	14	7	4%	1.5	21.4%	8.4%	13.0%	6.4%	4.11	5.87	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	24	1	35	158	44	14	7	4%	1.5	21.4%	8.4%	13.0%	6.4%	4.11	5.87	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	TB	4	0	5	21	6	4	0	0%	1.2	28.6%	19.0%	9.5%	0.0%	5.79	3.10	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	TB	20	1	30	137	38	10	7	5%	1.5	27.7%	7.3%	20.4%	5.1%	3.86	4.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	33	0	35	147	36	12	4	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.3%	16.0%	2.9%	4.07	4.05	+0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	TB	14	0	15	63	15	5	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.3%	16.0%	2.9%	4.07	4.05	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	15	5	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.3%	16.0%	2.9%	4.07	3.67	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	67	27	0%	1.1	24.2%	8.3%	16.0%	2.9%	4.07	3.67	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		44	2	61	265	60	22	10	5%	1.4	22.7%	8.2%	14.5%	3.8%	3.41	4.31	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	7	200	874	198	71	33	5%	1.4	22.7%	8.2%	14.5%	3.8%	3.41	4.31	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jadon Bercovich (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.08	23.9%	8.3%	2.9%	—	4.05	24.2%	16.0%	35	-0.03	—	—	—
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	90
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	88
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	86
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	85
Jarod Bayless R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.7%	8.1%	3.5%	.250	4.55	20.7%	13.1%	100	+0.66	1.29	260	85
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	85
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	84
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	84
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	83
Eli Villalobos R 2021 · 3.75 FIP	24	SU	3.75	28.1%	9.6%	3.3%	.337	4.88	22.7%	9.7%	153	+1.13	3.75	214	83
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	83
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	83
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	83
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	82
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	82
Tyler Schoff R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	25.2%	8.7%	3.0%	.315	4.26	16.1%	6.4%	75	+0.57	3.69	190	82