Jarod Bayless
P
Altoona Curve
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%19.9%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 8 | 0 | 16 | 58 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 24.6% | 2.2% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 0.57 | 1.29 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 8 | 0 | 16 | 58 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 36.2% | 1.7% | 34.5% | 0.0% | 0.57 | 0.61 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 20 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.7% | 8.1% | 17.5% | 3.3% | 4.18 | 3.76 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 20 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.3% | 7.1% | 26.3% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 2.85 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 38 | 177 | 48 | 18 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.65 | 6.04 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 38 | 177 | 48 | 18 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.1% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 6.8% | 7.65 | 6.13 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 49 | 190 | 62 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 3.0% | 22.0% | 1.6% | 3.14 | 2.24 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 49 | 190 | 62 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.6% | 3.7% | 28.9% | 2.1% | 3.14 | 2.05 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 19 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 11.7% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.76 | 6.03 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 19 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 4.76 | 4.60 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 12 | 77 | 325 | 77 | 16 | 11 | 32% | 2.1 | 19.1% | 5.4% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 3.97 | 4.64 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 12 | 77 | 325 | 77 | 16 | 11 | 32% | 2.1 | 23.7% | 4.9% | 18.8% | 3.4% | 3.97 | 3.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 15 | 1 | 31 | 135 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 7% | 2.1 | 16.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PIT | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 33 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 70 | 301 | 60 | 21 | 10 | — | — | 19.9% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 4.90 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 65 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 168 | 13 | 256 | 1095 | 222 | 73 | 41 | 8% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 3.8% | 4.39 | 4.31 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 131 | 10 | 200 | 854 | 174 | 57 | 32 | 8% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 3.8% | 4.39 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jarod Bayless (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | — | 4.79 | 19.9% | 12.0% | 37 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 86 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 83 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 83 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 83 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 83 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 82 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 81 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 81 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 81 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 80 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 80 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.02 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | .272 | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 62 | -0.45 | 3.57 | 224 | 79 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | .295 | 3.16 | 21.2% | 15.9% | 172 | -0.46 | 2.82 | 316 | 79 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 79 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.70 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .351 | 5.58 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.88 | 4.03 | 229 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 19.9% | 7.6% | 1.38 | 4.68 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |