Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 53 | 211 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 2.1% | 3.25 | 3.31 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 53 | 211 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.8% | 7.1% | 23.7% | 2.4% | 3.25 | 2.72 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 57 | 233 | 65 | 14 | 11 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 6.5% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 3.79 | 5.68 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 57 | 233 | 65 | 14 | 11 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.9% | 6.0% | 21.9% | 4.7% | 3.79 | 4.06 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 35 | 0 | 45 | 202 | 55 | 21 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.40 | 6.31 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 35 | 0 | 45 | 202 | 55 | 21 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.2% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 5.9% | 5.40 | 5.52 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 39 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.61 | 6.65 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 39 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 3.61 | 4.75 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 30 | 142 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6% | 1.6 | 12.0% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.67 | 5.44 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 30 | 142 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6% | 1.6 | 15.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 6.67 | 4.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 17 | 0 | 18 | 74 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.14 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 4.76 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 96 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 159 | 1 | 227 | 970 | 192 | 91 | 50 | 1% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 4.33 | 5.44 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 140 | 1 | 200 | 856 | 170 | 80 | 44 | 1% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 4.33 | 5.44 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.03 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% | — | 5.14 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 20 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 87 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 81 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 81 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 81 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 80 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 80 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 80 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 79 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.70 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .351 | 5.58 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.88 | 4.03 | 229 | 79 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 79 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 78 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 78 |
| Nick Merkel R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 78 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 78 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.54 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 187 | 77 |
| Jacob Barnes R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.05 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% | .303 | 3.55 | 23.1% | 15.1% | 101 | -1.50 | 1.88 | 551 | 77 |