Kemp Alderman — OGILVIE

Kemp AldermanOF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 235 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION421 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP285

ISO131

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	117	24	8	1	1	7	39	7	4	0	205	290	316	606	111	291	29	5	276	73	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	23	23	4	1	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	174	174	348	522	174	231	39	0	225	38	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	138	125	30	5	1	2	13	32	0	2	0	240	312	344	656	104	308	23	9	298	88	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	140	126	34	8	1	5	10	32	1	2	3	270	328	468	797	198	315	23	7	344	119	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	19	15	2	1	0	0	4	5	0	1	0	133	316	200	516	67	200	26	21	262	64	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	40	36	11	1	0	6	4	13	0	1	1	306	375	833	1.208	528	294	32	10	504	228	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	82	76	23	7	0	7	5	22	0	2	1	303	346	671	1.017	368	333	27	6	429	177	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	454	412	116	13	5	15	34	102	3	20	9	282	341	447	787	165	337	22	7	346	120	+11	+0	—	—	+10	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	119	21	7	1	1	5	53	7	4	0	176	252	277	529	101	281	40	4	229	41	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	21	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	23	23	4	1	0	1	0	11	0	0	0	174	174	348	522	174	207	48	0	162	-4	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	138	129	26	4	1	2	9	43	0	2	0	202	254	295	548	93	281	31	7	236	46	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	140	128	29	7	1	5	8	44	1	2	3	227	277	414	691	188	274	31	6	283	78	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	19	16	2	1	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	125	263	188	451	62	154	37	16	171	2	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	22	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	82	78	18	5	0	5	3	27	0	2	1	231	259	487	746	256	271	33	4	321	103	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	454	424	106	12	5	10	22	125	3	20	9	250	292	373	664	123	322	28	5	291	83	-9	+0	—	—	+10	0.1
2023	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	119	21	7	1	1	5	53	7	4	0	176	252	277	529	101	299	40	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	117	24	8	1	1	7	39	7	4	0	205	290	316	606	111	291	29	5	276	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	5 teams	—	360	334	66	14	2	8	22	118	1	6	4	198	249	323	573	126	275	33	6	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	5 teams	—	360	325	81	16	2	14	31	91	1	6	4	249	317	440	757	191	300	25	9	332	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	536	501	125	18	5	16	26	152	3	22	10	250	291	401	692	152	322	28	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	536	488	139	20	5	22	39	124	3	22	10	285	342	482	823	197	336	23	7	359	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	120	21	7	1	1	5	53	7	4	0	175	252	275	527	100	281	40	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	5 teams	—	360	334	66	14	2	8	22	118	1	6	4	198	249	323	573	126	265	33	6	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	536	502	125	18	5	16	26	152	3	22	10	249	291	400	691	151	314	28	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	120	21	7	1	1	5	53	7	4	0	175	252	275	527	100	281	40	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	5 teams	—	360	334	66	14	2	8	22	118	1	6	4	198	249	323	573	126	265	33	6	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	536	502	125	18	5	16	26	152	3	22	10	249	291	400	691	151	314	28	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	MIA	—	421	386	79	9	1	12	23	165	10	10	1	205	267	326	594	122	318	39	5	261	63	-19	+2	+0	-3	+9	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA RAW	MIA	—	421	373	94	11	1	18	36	138	10	10	1	252	334	432	766	180	347	33	9	341	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AAA MLE	MIA	10%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		292	33	0	261	63	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	23	MLB CTX	MIA	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						285	0	0	242	63	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	MIA	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	242	63	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	MIA	—	430	395	80	9	1	12	23	168	10	10	1	203	264	322	586	119	313	39	5	261	63	-19	+2	-0	-3	+9	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIA	35%	495	456	95	13	2	16	28	174	8	11	3	208	266	351	617	143	293	35	6	276	73	-16	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	523	478	103	14	2	19	32	178	8	12	3	215	276	372	648	157	293	34	6	286	80	-13	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	538	491	107	15	2	20	34	180	8	12	3	218	280	379	658	161	293	33	6	292	84	-11	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	543	495	108	15	2	20	35	180	8	12	3	218	281	378	658	160	293	33	6	293	84	-10	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	542	494	107	15	2	20	35	181	8	11	3	217	279	377	656	160	293	33	6	292	83	-11	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	534	486	104	14	2	19	35	179	8	10	2	214	278	368	646	154	292	34	7	290	82	-11	+1	-2	-3	+12	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	525	478	103	14	2	19	34	177	8	9	2	215	279	372	651	157	290	34	6	287	80	-12	+1	-3	-3	+11	-0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIA	35%	172	157	32	4	1	5	10	60	3	4	1	204	265	338	602	134	285	35	6	257	73	-6	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	242	221	46	6	1	8	15	82	4	5	1	208	271	353	624	145	285	34	6	266	80	-6	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	278	255	54	7	1	10	17	93	4	6	1	212	272	365	636	153	285	33	6	272	84	-5	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	287	263	55	7	1	10	18	95	4	6	1	209	270	357	628	148	285	33	6	273	84	-5	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	290	265	55	7	1	10	19	97	4	6	1	208	271	355	626	147	285	33	7	272	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	281	257	54	7	1	10	18	94	4	6	1	210	272	362	634	152	284	33	6	270	82	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	274	250	52	7	1	9	18	93	4	5	1	208	272	352	624	144	282	34	7	268	80	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1825	1669	348	45	7	62	115	614	27	38	7	209	271	355	626	147	286	34	6	269	78	-40	+5	-4	-11	+40	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	123	16	2	22	41	219	10	14	2	207	269	352	621	145	285	34	6	269	78	-14	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4738	4341	940	139	22	158	286	1575	67	109	33	217	275	368	643	151	296	33	6	284	78	-84	+8	-8	-22	+80	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	129	19	3	22	39	216	9	15	5	216	275	369	644	153	296	33	6	284	78	-15	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.8	1,858	67	39	216	275	372	-11	-8	0.2	0.3
/162	664	24	14	-4.0	-2.9	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kemp Alderman (OGILVIE)	23	43	60	45	45	198/254/323	125	292	9	8	37%	5%	63	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	36→46	48→60	52→50	39	190/252/328	138	270	16	15	35%	6%	63	-1.4	210/267/353	143	279	14	14	29%	7%	74	-0.6	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2014 · AAA	23	41→46	47→50	48→50	36	213/252/349	136	284	15	14	31%	4%	67	-1.1	222/272/366	144	281	17	13	27%	5%	78	-0.3	219/272/356	137	273	17	13	26%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→55	48→55	42	197/259/341	144	266	16	12	32%	7%	68	-1.0	215/261/367	152	281	19	15	30%	5%	75	-0.5	224/265/381	157	284	20	15	28%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Wladimir Balentien 2007 · AA	23	40→45	52→55	48→50	39	208/267/373	165	294	20	10	35%	7%	78	-0.3	220/280/385	165	277	20	9	27%	7%	86	+0.3	220/282/388	168	265	20	8	25%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	44→50	52→55	42	198/271/320	122	284	10	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	206/272/329	123	293	11	18	32%	7%	70	-0.8	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Travis Demeritte 2018 · AA	23	37→44	48→55	47→50	39	191/251/332	141	291	15	9	38%	7%	63	-1.4	204/270/356	152	296	17	7	35%	8%	76	-0.4	205/271/367	162	301	19	9	36%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Clint Frazier 2018 · MLB	23	45→46	48→55	52→50	43	223/278/371	148	292	14	11	28%	7%	82	-0.0	233/295/397	164	301	17	8	27%	7%	95	+0.9	235/306/410	175	299	20	6	27%	8%	98	+0.6
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	38→46	48→60	54→50	38	198/249/337	139	281	15	16	35%	6%	63	-1.3	226/295/422	196	298	25	12	32%	8%	101	+1.4	225/303/429	204	283	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Yu Chang 2019 · AAA	23	40→44	47→50	47→45	39	203/263/339	136	284	14	7	33%	6%	69	-0.9	216/272/354	138	293	14	7	30%	6%	76	-0.4	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Joel Guzman 2008 · MLB	23	45→50	46→50	49→45	38	225/263/350	126	297	14	10	29%	4%	71	-0.8	224/262/360	136	281	16	5	26%	4%	73	-0.6	236/279/368	132	287	17	2	24%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	42→38	49→60	53→50	33	211/255/358	146	324	18	13	39%	5%	70	-0.8	209/271/388	179	289	24	14	35%	7%	84	+0.1	201/271/385	185	259	25	12	32%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Christian Villanueva 2014 · AA	23	44→46	47→55	43→50	39	221/270/360	139	281	14	9	27%	4%	76	-0.4	207/253/339	132	254	14	4	24%	5%	65	-1.2	223/280/397	174	256	23	3	23%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Will Middlebrooks 2012 · AAA	23	44→45	46→55	48→45	35	220/261/348	128	318	14	8	35%	5%	70	-0.9	235/277/397	162	294	22	7	27%	5%	88	+0.4	229/275/389	159	278	22	5	26%	5%	82	-0.0
✕Brennen Davis 2023 · AAA	23	40→41	47→50	43→45	41	199/281/332	133	295	15	7	36%	8%	75	-0.5	186/273/311	125	255	15	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	183/283/356	173	231	23	4	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Buddy Kennedy 2022 · AA	23	43→51	48→45	50	44	220/286/355	135	294	17	12	30%	8%	81	-0.1	223/304/336	113	290	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	227/314/338	111	280	9	4	21%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2022 · MLB	23	38→41	52→55	45→50	37	209/253/371	163	268	21	8	31%	5%	73	-0.6	213/276/359	146	284	18	8	30%	7%	79	-0.2	203/272/345	142	266	17	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Aristides Aquino 2018 · AA	24	37→41	46→60	50	36	193/234/327	135	262	14	8	32%	4%	55	-2.0	213/263/400	187	267	26	9	31%	5%	84	+0.1	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Brett Carroll 2007 · AA	24	37→45	48→55	46→50	37	197/249/341	144	253	16	9	29%	4%	65	-1.2	218/271/381	163	274	18	5	27%	5%	82	-0.0	220/274/392	172	270	20	1	26%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Michael Hermosillo 2019 · MLB	24	45→47	45→50	50→55	42	222/293/348	126	301	12	19	29%	7%	82	+0.0	210/292/363	153	299	18	15	34%	7%	86	+0.3	187/275/349	162	250	21	16	33%	7%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps