Kemp Alderman — OGILVIE

Kemp AldermanOF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 235 lbs AAA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION246 act + 164 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .270 / .379

PA164

HR6

K%34

BB%5

BABIP304

ISO157

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	119	21	7	1	1	5	51	7	4	0	176	252	277	529	101	290	38	4	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	117	24	8	1	1	7	39	7	4	0	205	290	316	606	111	291	29	5	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	5 teams	—	360	334	65	14	2	9	22	116	1	6	4	195	246	329	576	135	264	32	6	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	5 teams	—	360	325	81	16	2	14	31	91	1	6	4	249	317	440	757	191	300	25	9	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	536	502	124	18	5	18	25	161	3	22	10	247	287	410	697	163	322	30	5	298	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	536	488	139	20	5	22	39	124	3	22	10	285	342	482	823	197	336	23	7	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	MIA	—	246	227	56	5	1	10	13	91	6	6	1	247	305	410	715	163	365	37	5	314	98	-0	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.6
YTD	23	AAA	MIA	—	246	219	65	6	1	13	21	76	6	6	1	297	374	511	885	215	400	31	9	391	157	+16	+1	+0	-1	+7	2.3
ROS	23	AAA	MIA	10%	164	153	34	4	1	6	8	56	2	4	1	222	270	379	649	157	300	34	5	285	77	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	10%	16	15	3	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	200	250	400	650	200	295	31	6	270	65	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AAA	MIA	—	262	242	59	5	1	11	14	96	6	6	1	244	302	409	711	165	356	37	5	311	96	-1	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.6
TOT	23	AAA	MIA	—	410	380	90	9	2	16	21	147	8	10	2	237	291	397	688	161	339	36	5	303	90	-5	+1	-0	-2	+12	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	35%	495	459	104	13	3	19	26	164	7	12	4	227	278	392	671	166	302	33	5	293	83	-10	+1	-1	-3	+14	0.2
2028	25	MLB	MIA	46%	545	502	115	15	3	21	31	175	7	13	4	229	283	396	680	167	301	32	6	300	88	-7	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.5
2029	26	MLB	MIA	52%	550	506	117	16	3	22	32	174	7	13	4	231	286	405	691	174	301	32	6	304	91	-6	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.7
2030	27	MLB	MIA	53%	549	504	117	16	3	22	33	173	7	13	4	232	289	407	695	175	301	32	6	305	91	-5	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.7
2027	24	MLB	MIA	35%	172	159	35	4	1	6	9	57	2	4	1	220	271	371	642	151	296	33	5	278	71	-6	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	MIA	46%	252	233	52	7	1	10	14	81	3	6	2	223	276	391	667	167	296	32	6	285	77	-7	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	MIA	52%	285	262	59	8	1	11	17	90	4	7	2	225	283	389	672	164	296	32	6	289	80	-7	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.0
2030	27	MLB	MIA	53%	291	267	60	8	1	11	18	91	4	7	2	225	284	386	670	161	295	31	6	290	80	-7	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1016	936	209	27	4	39	59	324	13	24	7	223	279	386	664	162	295	32	6	286	77	-26	+2	-1	-6	+29	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	134	17	3	25	38	207	8	15	4	224	280	387	667	164	295	32	6	286	77	-17	+1	-1	-4	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3332	3079	697	103	21	118	182	1070	41	87	31	226	279	388	667	162	303	32	5	291	81	-71	+5	-2	-20	+94	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	136	20	4	23	36	209	8	17	6	226	279	388	667	161	303	32	6	291	81	-14	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	133	117	24	8	1	1	7	39	7	4	0	205	290	316	606	111	291	29	5	276	69	-5	+1	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	23	23	4	1	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	174	174	348	522	174	231	39	0	225	30	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	138	125	30	5	1	2	13	32	0	2	0	240	312	344	656	104	308	23	9	298	87	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	140	126	34	8	1	5	10	32	1	2	3	270	328	468	797	198	315	23	7	344	121	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	19	15	2	1	0	0	4	5	0	1	0	133	316	200	516	67	200	26	21	262	59	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	40	36	11	1	0	6	4	13	0	1	1	306	375	833	1.208	528	294	32	10	504	244	+7	-0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	82	76	23	7	0	7	5	22	0	2	1	303	346	671	1.017	368	333	27	6	429	187	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	454	412	116	13	5	15	34	102	3	20	9	282	341	447	787	165	337	22	7	346	123	+12	+0	—	—	+13	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Marquis Grissomlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,850 PA	6	2,850	96	47	262	299	424	-4	-29	4.8	4.8
	/162	664	22	11	262	299	424	-0.9	-6.8	1.1	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Craig Monroelast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,898 PA	8	2,898	114	19	253	302	443	-28	-32	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	26	4	253	302	443	-6.5	-7.4	0.9	pk7: 5
#6Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,032	40	24	229	281	398	-6	-4	1.1	1.2
	/162	664	26	16	229	281	398	-4.0	-2.6	0.7	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kemp Alderman (OGILVIE)	23	43	60	45	45	237/291/397	161	339	16	10	36%	5%	90	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2014 · AAA	23	42→45	51→55	48→50	36	219/257/374	155	285	19	14	30%	4%	72	-0.2	226/273/380	154	281	19	13	27%	5%	80	+0.4	223/273/371	148	274	19	13	26%	5%	75	+0.0
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	35→45	48→65	51→50	38	185/248/327	142	271	17	15	37%	6%	56	-1.3	209/265/356	147	285	15	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Wladimir Balentien 2007 · AA	23	40→45	53→55	48→50	39	208/267/380	172	297	21	10	36%	7%	78	+0.2	220/280/387	167	278	20	9	28%	7%	85	+0.7	219/280/398	179	263	21	7	25%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Buddy Kennedy 2022 · AA	23	41→51	47→50	50	43	211/277/342	131	291	16	12	32%	8%	72	-0.2	221/301/335	114	288	11	8	25%	9%	79	+0.3	233/314/376	143	270	15	6	19%	8%	93	+0.8
✕Christian Villanueva 2014 · AA	23	44→47	48→55	43→50	38	223/272/368	145	286	15	9	28%	4%	76	+0.1	208/254/348	140	253	16	4	25%	5%	63	-0.8	226/284/408	182	256	25	3	23%	6%	91	+0.9
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	37→46	48→60	54→50	36	196/246/338	142	285	17	16	37%	6%	57	-1.2	225/294/422	197	299	25	12	32%	8%	100	+1.7	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Clint Frazier 2018 · MLB	23	45	48→55	52→50	42	224/278/377	153	293	15	11	28%	6%	81	+0.4	233/294/402	169	300	18	8	27%	7%	95	+1.4	234/305/413	179	297	20	6	27%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
●Randal Grichuk 2015 · MLB	23	41→50	54→70	46→45	37	223/257/402	179	265	22	8	26%	4%	79	+0.3	240/285/462	222	301	27	7	29%	5%	107	+2.2	245/293/492	247	305	31	6	30%	6%	115	+2.2
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2022 · AA	23	35→44	51→55	45	40	196/249/350	154	246	20	7	30%	6%	62	-0.9	224/284/402	178	274	23	8	27%	8%	91	+1.1	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Lane Thomas 2019 · AAA	23	41→51	47→55	48→55	39	209/265/346	138	299	15	13	34%	7%	67	-0.5	221/287/380	159	301	17	14	31%	8%	85	+0.7	248/309/423	176	306	20	21	25%	7%	104	+2.0
✕Javier Herrera 2008 · AAA	23	45→51	48→50	48→50	39	226/282/365	139	298	16	14	29%	6%	80	+0.4	230/279/367	137	317	15	12	31%	6%	79	+0.3	236/292/383	146	327	16	14	31%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Joel Guzman 2008 · MLB	23	45→49	48→55	49→45	37	228/265/366	138	298	16	10	29%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/375	148	284	19	5	27%	4%	74	-0.1	236/279/373	138	292	18	2	25%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	46→52	50→55	52→50	39	234/277/394	160	299	18	15	28%	5%	85	+0.7	213/265/357	144	280	16	12	29%	5%	70	-0.3	233/275/409	176	307	23	8	31%	5%	85	+0.3
✕Michael Chavis 2019 · AAA	23	42→46	53→60	48→45	36	222/271/393	171	295	22	5	32%	5%	83	+0.6	232/287/410	178	314	24	6	33%	6%	94	+1.3	227/283/408	181	303	25	5	33%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Rodolfo Castro 2022 · MLB	23	38→40	53→55	45→50	37	208/252/380	172	269	22	8	32%	5%	72	-0.2	212/274/364	152	283	19	8	31%	7%	76	+0.1	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Ryan Rua 2014 · AA	24	37→47	53→50	52→50	41	202/263/378	176	252	21	10	29%	6%	76	+0.1	232/287/373	141	299	16	8	27%	6%	84	+0.6	241/298/373	132	311	15	9	26%	6%	84	+0.4
✕Brett Carroll 2007 · AA	24	37→45	49→55	46→50	36	197/250/344	147	255	17	9	30%	4%	61	-1.0	219/272/383	164	276	19	5	27%	5%	80	+0.4	220/274/393	174	271	20	1	26%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Michael Choice 2013 · AA	23	45→53	49→50	46→40	40	227/284/371	143	308	17	7	31%	6%	82	+0.5	224/290/344	120	296	13	4	28%	7%	78	+0.2	217/268/367	151	304	20	4	34%	5%	74	-0.0