Kemp Alderman — OGILVIE

Kemp AldermanOF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 235 lbs AAA HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.3 · 2029

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .276 / .382

PA320

HR11

K%31

BB%6

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗44

PWR

50↗60

SPD

50↘44

FLD

40↗45

EYE

41↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.4peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.3	$11M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.3	$12M	+$11M
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+1.2	$11M	+$9M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.0	$10M	+$6M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$3M	-$0.0M
Totals		$12M		$56M	+$44M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	133	119	21	7	1	1	5	54	7	4	0	.176	.252	.277	.529	.101	.303	41	4	.228	33	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
2024	21	A	5 teams	360	334	66	14	2	8	22	115	1	6	4	.198	.249	.323	.573	.126	.271	32	6	.252	51	-20	-0	+0	-2	+10	-1.3
2025	22	AA	2 teams	536	501	125	18	5	19	26	160	3	22	10	.250	.291	.419	.710	.170	.323	30	5	.301	89	-7	+0	+0	-3	+15	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	83	74	14	2	1	2	7	36	2	0	1	.189	.277	.324	.601	.135	.333	43	8	.262	59	-4	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	237	218	49	8	2	8	15	78	2	4	2	.225	.281	.390	.671	.165	.302	33	6	.291	81	-5	+0	-0	-1	+7	-0.0
TOT	23	MLB	MIA	320	292	63	10	3	10	22	114	4	4	3	.216	.280	.373	.653	.158	.314	36	7	.283	75	-9	-0	-0	-2	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 25%	MIA	477	435	101	17	3	17	34	125	5	9	5	.232	.295	.402	.698	.170	.284	26	7	.307	93	-4	-0	-1	-3	+14	0.6
2028	25	MLB 43%	MIA	504	456	109	18	4	19	38	130	5	9	5	.239	.305	.421	.726	.182	.286	26	8	.316	100	-0	-0	-1	-3	+14	1.0
2029	26	MLB 58%	MIA	519	469	113	19	4	20	40	133	5	9	4	.241	.307	.426	.734	.186	.287	26	8	.320	103	+2	+0	-1	-3	+15	1.3
2030	27	MLB 76%	MIA	524	473	114	19	4	20	41	134	5	9	4	.241	.308	.425	.733	.184	.287	26	8	.320	103	+2	+0	-1	-3	+15	1.3
2031	28	MLB 83%	MIA	523	471	112	19	3	20	42	135	5	8	4	.238	.307	.418	.725	.180	.287	26	8	.319	102	+1	+0	-2	-3	+15	1.2
2032	29	MLB 90%	MIA	515	464	109	18	3	19	41	135	5	7	4	.235	.304	.409	.713	.175	.286	26	8	.317	101	+1	-0	-2	-3	+15	1.0
2033	30	MLB	MIA	505	455	107	18	3	19	40	134	5	6	3	.235	.304	.413	.717	.178	.285	27	8	.314	98	-1	+0	-3	-3	+14	0.7
2034	31	MLB	MIA	492	445	103	17	3	18	39	132	5	5	3	.231	.301	.404	.705	.173	.283	27	8	.310	96	-2	-0	-4	-3	+14	0.5
2035	32	MLB	MIA	474	429	98	16	3	17	38	130	4	4	3	.228	.297	.399	.696	.170	.282	27	8	.305	92	-4	-0	-4	-3	+13	0.1
2036	33	MLB	MIA	445	403	89	14	3	15	35	125	4	3	4	.221	.290	.382	.672	.161	.280	28	8	.300	88	-6	-1	-5	-3	+13	-0.2
2037	34	MLB	MIA	399	361	78	12	2	13	31	115	4	3	6	.216	.285	.368	.654	.152	.278	29	8	.293	82	-8	-2	-6	-2	+11	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6643	6033	1394	234	45	233	487	1835	65	108	61	.231	.296	.401	.696	.170	.290	28	7	.305	92	-62	-3	-31	-40	+188	5.4
/ 162G	—			650	590	136	23	4	23	48	180	6	11	6	.231	.295	.400	.695	.169	.289	28	7	.305	92	-6	-0	-3	-4	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	133	117	24	8	1	1	7	39	7	4	0	.205	.290	.316	.606	.111	.291	29	5	.276	69	-5	+1	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	23	23	4	1	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	.174	.174	.348	.522	.174	.231	39	0	.225	30	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	138	125	30	5	1	2	13	32	0	2	0	.240	.312	.344	.656	.104	.308	23	9	.298	87	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	140	126	34	8	1	5	10	32	1	2	3	.270	.328	.468	.797	.198	.315	23	7	.344	121	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	19	15	2	1	0	0	4	5	0	1	0	.133	.316	.200	.516	.067	.200	26	21	.262	59	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	40	36	11	1	0	6	4	13	0	1	1	.306	.375	.833	1.208	.528	.294	32	10	.504	244	+7	-0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	82	76	23	7	0	7	5	22	0	2	1	.303	.346	.671	1.017	.368	.333	27	6	.429	187	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	454	412	116	13	5	15	34	102	3	20	9	.282	.341	.447	.787	.165	.337	22	7	.346	123	+12	+0	—	—	+13	2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kemp Alderman (OGILVIE)	23	40→44	50→60	50→44	45	.225/.276/.382	.157	.297	11	7	31%	6%	82	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jo Adell 2022 · MLB	23	42→44	52→65	49→50	36	.219/.267/.387	.168	.307	21	10	35%	5%	79	+0.3	.212/.270/.401	.189	.290	25	12	35%	6%	85	+0.7	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	41→46	54→60	49→50	41	.216/.279/.394	.178	.298	22	15	34%	7%	86	+0.8	.225/.298/.429	.204	.290	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	.219/.298/.421	.202	.276	27	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
●Harrison Bader 2017 · AAA	23	46→55	49→55	47→55	38	.230/.283/.375	.145	.309	17	14	30%	5%	83	+0.6	.232/.295/.383	.151	.311	18	16	30%	6%	90	+1.0	.235/.328/.418	.183	.312	21	18	29%	9%	108	+1.3
●Lane Thomas 2020 · MLB	24	42→51	50→55	48→55	40	.216/.275/.369	.153	.296	18	14	32%	7%	78	+0.2	.227/.296/.389	.162	.298	18	13	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.248/.312/.427	.179	.308	21	13	25%	7%	107	+2.0
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	53→55	49→50	44	.234/.298/.405	.171	.295	21	12	28%	7%	97	+1.5	.242/.300/.407	.165	.317	19	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	.245/.303/.409	.164	.323	19	11	29%	7%	97	+1.4
✕Wladimir Balentien 2008 · AAA	24	42→45	52→55	49→50	41	.218/.275/.386	.167	.290	21	12	32%	7%	82	+0.5	.221/.281/.392	.171	.271	21	9	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.219/.279/.399	.180	.260	22	7	25%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA	23	45→50	52→60	51→50	41	.226/.298/.400	.174	.315	18	16	33%	7%	96	+1.5	.220/.286/.381	.161	.306	17	14	32%	7%	86	+0.8	.202/.268/.342	.140	.286	13	14	32%	7%	66	-0.4
●Hunter Renfroe 2015 · AA	23	43→46	52→70	48→45	39	.222/.275/.388	.167	.299	20	8	32%	6%	83	+0.6	.229/.269/.405	.176	.296	22	6	30%	5%	85	+0.7	.236/.296/.489	.253	.271	36	4	28%	7%	115	+2.4
✕Jason Martin 2019 · AAA	23	44→50	49→60	47→50	41	.225/.273/.375	.150	.299	16	13	30%	6%	78	+0.2	.224/.273/.360	.136	.284	14	12	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.218/.285/.408	.191	.271	26	8	29%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	46→53	51→55	51→50	39	.236/.280/.398	.161	.306	18	15	29%	5%	87	+0.8	.218/.269/.368	.150	.284	17	13	29%	5%	75	-0.0	.225/.267/.399	.174	.293	23	8	31%	5%	79	+0.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	44→49	50→60	47→50	44	.224/.296/.380	.156	.288	18	12	28%	7%	90	+1.0	.234/.304/.421	.187	.295	22	11	28%	7%	104	+2.0	.238/.311/.439	.201	.293	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Oswaldo Cabrera 2022 · AAA	23	42→41	52→55	49→50	38	.222/.264/.386	.165	.290	19	14	31%	5%	78	+0.2	.228/.282/.383	.155	.289	18	15	27%	7%	85	+0.7	.226/.286/.355	.128	.279	15	14	24%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2014 · AAA	23	42→46	49→55	48→50	36	.218/.255/.365	.148	.286	18	14	31%	4%	68	-0.5	.227/.275/.386	.159	.284	20	13	27%	5%	82	+0.5	.224/.277/.379	.154	.275	20	13	26%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Clint Frazier 2018 · MLB	23	45→46	49→55	51→50	42	.227/.282/.381	.154	.297	15	11	29%	7%	83	+0.6	.235/.297/.407	.172	.303	18	9	28%	7%	97	+1.5	.237/.308/.417	.181	.301	20	6	27%	8%	101	+0.9
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	50→55	48→55	41	.200/.261/.356	.156	.274	18	12	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.264/.378	.162	.287	21	15	32%	6%	76	+0.0	.228/.269/.395	.167	.290	22	15	29%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Michael Chavis 2019 · AAA	23	42→47	53→60	48→45	37	.224/.274/.396	.171	.292	22	5	31%	5%	85	+0.7	.238/.294/.423	.185	.320	25	6	32%	6%	100	+1.7	.232/.288/.419	.186	.309	26	5	33%	6%	93	+0.7
●Michael Choice 2013 · AA	23	45→52	49→55	46→40	40	.229/.287/.374	.145	.309	17	7	31%	6%	84	+0.6	.226/.291/.347	.121	.300	14	4	28%	7%	79	+0.3	.224/.275/.388	.164	.306	22	4	33%	5%	82	+0.2
●Spencer Steer 2022 · AA	24	40→50	51→55	48→50	46	.213/.285/.373	.160	.262	19	8	27%	8%	84	+0.6	.231/.309/.401	.170	.278	19	10	23%	9%	101	+1.8	.237/.324/.405	.168	.281	18	15	21%	10%	104	+2.1
●Heliot Ramos 2022 · AAA	22	44→52	48→55	47→50	38	.220/.273/.361	.140	.320	16	12	35%	6%	75	-0.0	.219/.276/.358	.139	.300	16	10	31%	6%	76	+0.0	.256/.322/.432	.177	.319	22	8	26%	7%	112	+2.4
●Paul DeJong 2017 · AA	23	45→50	49→65	47→45	39	.226/.278/.373	.148	.301	17	7	30%	6%	80	+0.4	.247/.302/.452	.205	.305	27	4	28%	6%	111	+2.5	.251/.316/.479	.228	.293	31	4	26%	7%	122	+3.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)