D'Andre Smith — OGILVIE

D'Andre SmithSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 231 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .262 / .313

PA231

HR3

SB10

K%29

BB%5

BABIP288

ISO103

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	49	44	8	2	1	2	2	20	2	1	1	182	250	409	659	227	261	41	4	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	49	43	11	3	1	2	3	13	2	1	1	256	333	512	845	256	310	27	6	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	308	282	52	12	1	2	18	120	8	8	2	184	253	255	509	71	312	39	6	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	308	275	65	18	1	4	24	89	8	8	2	236	315	353	668	116	335	29	8	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	175	166	31	6	0	1	4	43	4	9	2	187	224	241	465	54	244	25	2	204	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	175	164	39	8	0	2	6	31	4	9	2	238	282	323	605	85	280	18	3	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	440	407	106	18	5	8	20	104	12	37	3	260	314	388	703	128	331	24	5	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	440	396	109	21	4	8	31	84	12	37	3	275	346	409	755	134	331	19	7	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	NYM	—	89	80	13	3	2	1	6	28	2	5	2	163	239	287	526	125	231	31	7	223	29	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
YTD	25	AA	NYM	—	89	78	15	4	2	1	8	22	2	5	2	192	284	333	617	141	250	25	9	278	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	25	AA	NYM	2%	231	214	45	9	2	3	11	66	4	10	2	210	262	313	575	103	286	29	5	262	59	-11	+1	+0	+2	+7	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	NYM	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		285	20	0	248	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	NYM	—	94	85	14	3	2	1	6	29	2	5	2	165	237	282	519	118	232	31	6	224	30	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
TOT	25	AA	NYM	—	320	294	58	12	4	4	17	94	6	15	4	197	256	306	562	109	273	29	5	251	50	-18	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	NYM	31%	357	329	71	14	3	6	19	100	6	14	3	216	271	331	602	116	285	28	5	269	64	-15	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2028	27	MLB	NYM	42%	383	352	76	15	3	7	21	106	7	15	3	216	274	335	609	119	286	28	5	273	67	-14	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2027	26	MLB	NYM	31%	111	102	22	4	1	2	6	31	2	4	1	216	273	333	606	118	285	28	5	255	54	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	NYM	42%	161	148	32	6	1	3	9	44	3	6	1	216	275	331	606	115	286	27	6	260	57	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	277	255	55	10	2	5	15	76	5	10	2	216	273	329	602	114	284	27	5	258	56	-14	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	129	23	5	12	35	178	12	23	5	216	273	331	604	115	283	27	5	258	56	-33	+3	+0	+7	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1943	1794	389	76	15	29	95	559	43	94	16	217	273	324	597	108	297	29	5	265	61	-86	+12	+0	+21	+55	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	130	25	5	10	32	187	14	31	5	217	272	325	597	108	296	29	5	265	61	-29	+4	+0	+7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	49	43	11	3	1	2	3	13	2	1	1	256	333	512	845	256	310	27	6	362	135	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	253	224	53	15	1	3	21	76	7	8	1	237	320	353	673	116	345	30	8	307	93	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.7
2023	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	55	51	12	3	0	1	3	13	1	0	1	235	291	353	644	118	297	24	5	291	81	-1	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	139	130	32	6	0	2	5	24	3	6	2	246	290	338	628	92	286	17	4	283	74	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2024	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	18	17	3	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	231	22	0	213	21	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	ROK	FCL Mets	—	18	17	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	0	235	278	294	572	59	286	17	6	261	58	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	353	326	91	14	4	7	18	69	9	24	3	279	334	411	745	132	336	20	5	334	114	+5	+4	—	—	+10	1.9
2025	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	53	43	13	4	0	1	9	7	0	7	0	302	423	465	888	163	333	13	17	391	158	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	34	27	5	3	0	0	4	8	3	6	0	185	353	296	649	111	263	24	12	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	278	5	11	217	270	333	+3	+3	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	11	27	217	270	333	+7.1	+7.2	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
D'Andre Smith (OGILVIE)	25	55	40	60	25	197/256/306	109	273	4	15	29%	5%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darren Ford 2011 · AA	25	45→53	41→45	59→65	42	218/274/323	105	299	8	31	29%	6%	65	-0.7	225/272/320	95	307	8	37	28%	6%	63	-0.9	224/271/302	78	307	6	49	27%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Hunter Jones 2017 · AA	25	45→55	39→45	55	41	216/271/302	87	294	6	22	28%	6%	58	-1.2	217/273/315	98	285	8	14	25%	6%	62	-0.9	209/267/307	97	273	8	12	25%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	46→50	43→45	58→60	40	224/279/336	112	299	10	29	28%	5%	70	-0.3	217/266/319	102	288	8	20	26%	5%	59	-1.1	203/230/287	84	267	3	25	25%	2%	32	-0.6
✕Kenny Wilson 2016 · AAA	26	48→51	40	58→60	41	230/280/327	97	315	6	27	28%	6%	68	-0.5	219/282/306	87	309	6	25	29%	7%	64	-0.8	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Michael Russell 2018 · AA	25	46→51	42→45	53→55	43	222/276/334	112	279	8	19	23%	6%	69	-0.4	219/263/317	98	288	7	14	25%	5%	58	-1.2	215/251/296	80	284	5	13	25%	4%	43	-1.2
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40	55→65	42	206/260/293	87	287	7	26	30%	7%	50	-1.7	231/298/315	84	322	6	36	27%	8%	72	-0.2	239/310/313	74	330	4	49	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Kristopher Negrón 2011 · AAA	25	48→51	42→45	56→55	44	232/294/336	104	296	9	22	24%	6%	77	+0.1	201/251/301	100	272	9	18	29%	5%	50	-1.8	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Orlando Calixte 2017 · AAA	25	45→51	42→45	51→55	39	222/257/326	103	285	9	18	25%	4%	57	-1.2	225/261/345	120	289	13	18	26%	5%	65	-0.7	233/273/324	91	306	9	20	26%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Cade Gotta 2017 · AA	25	45→51	41→45	56→55	42	220/264/324	103	281	8	21	24%	5%	60	-1.0	235/287/337	102	301	7	29	23%	7%	73	-0.1	241/300/343	102	307	6	36	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Jecksson Flores 2019 · AA	25	49→53	40	52→55	41	235/273/328	93	288	7	18	21%	4%	65	-0.7	217/270/304	87	268	7	15	21%	6%	58	-1.2	205/268/282	77	253	6	10	20%	6%	49	-1.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2020 · AAA	25	40→46	43→50	57→65	34	200/238/321	121	288	9	24	34%	4%	49	-1.8	215/257/343	128	297	11	25	30%	4%	63	-0.9	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Daniel Carroll 2014 · AA	25	46→44	43→45	56→60	40	217/283/324	107	321	10	27	34%	7%	69	-0.4	196/275/276	80	301	5	22	34%	6%	55	-1.4	160/257/215	55	260	3	30	35%	6%	32	-1.7
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48	39→40	56→55	38	228/263/311	83	304	6	18	26%	4%	56	-1.3	234/267/321	87	288	6	17	20%	3%	60	-1.0	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Pedro Ciriaco 2011 · AAA	25	49→58	39→40	56→55	37	235/252/318	83	282	6	24	20%	2%	53	-1.5	237/257/321	84	289	5	24	19%	2%	56	-1.3	252/276/340	87	309	4	26	20%	3%	63	-0.5
✕Noel Cuevas 2018 · AAA	26	49	40→45	54→55	36	236/267/331	96	307	7	16	26%	3%	63	-0.8	228/274/333	105	290	9	10	23%	5%	66	-0.6	223/274/324	102	275	8	7	21%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2019 · AA	24	47→52	41→45	53→60	43	225/279/327	102	290	7	17	24%	6%	68	-0.5	218/273/323	105	287	9	17	26%	6%	64	-0.8	212/273/311	98	282	6	29	26%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2019 · AA	24	47→57	41→45	55→50	39	226/266/322	96	307	8	14	28%	5%	60	-1.0	225/274/328	103	308	10	12	29%	6%	66	-0.6	226/279/327	101	301	10	9	27%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Mike McBryde 2010 · AAA	25	52→56	40	51→55	40	251/290/341	90	317	7	21	23%	4%	76	+0.0	229/270/327	98	308	8	15	27%	4%	63	-0.8	182/225/242	60	278	4	16	35%	3%	20	-0.7
●Levi Michael 2016 · AA	25	49→59	40→45	57→55	47	230/297/327	97	299	6	21	24%	8%	75	-0.0	222/285/319	97	314	7	12	30%	6%	69	-0.4	226/293/341	115	319	10	11	30%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Abiatal Avelino 2021 · AAA	26	48→54	45	55	39	237/266/358	120	291	12	18	23%	4%	69	-0.4	229/280/341	112	278	11	17	21%	6%	72	-0.2	227/282/331	104	272	10	18	20%	6%	66	-0.3