Tre Richardson III

SS Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+STL	345	.241/.331/.330	3	16	46	—	.194/.265/.264
2026	24	AASTL	241	.269/.357/.429	8	22	78	—	.223/.290/.341
2026	24	A+STL	122	.346/.438/.731	11	12	139	—	.266/.339/.541
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBSTL	6	.213/.282/.331	0	0	75	0.0
2028PROJ39% MLB	26	MLBSTL	135	.214/.284/.335	3	6	76	0.1
2029PROJ53% MLB	27	MLBSTL	199	.215/.285/.336	4	8	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed82

wOBA66

wRC+59

BB%58

ISO57

K%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsJosé Caballero (age 25) · Chad Hinshaw (age 25) · Daniel Carroll (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .282 / .331

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP285

ISO128

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	96	79	19	5	1	0	14	18	2	7	1	241	368	329	698	89	306	19	15	323	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	249	216	52	10	3	1	24	59	6	14	5	241	333	329	662	88	327	24	10	302	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	81	65	7	1	2	0	11	25	3	2	2	108	266	185	450	77	171	31	14	222	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	345	303	73	18	0	3	33	60	8	16	9	241	331	330	661	89	290	17	10	305	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	241	212	57	10	0	8	27	61	2	22	2	269	357	429	786	160	343	25	11	353	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	122	104	36	5	1	11	15	35	2	12	1	346	438	731	1.169	385	424	29	12	492	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	96	83	17	4	1	0	10	26	2	7	1	205	305	277	582	72	288	27	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	249	223	46	8	2	1	17	74	6	14	5	206	280	274	554	67	297	30	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	81	68	6	1	2	0	8	35	3	2	2	88	215	162	377	74	147	43	10	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	345	314	61	13	0	3	22	80	8	16	9	194	265	264	529	70	247	23	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	241	220	49	8	0	6	19	74	2	22	2	223	290	341	631	118	313	31	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	122	109	29	4	1	8	10	44	2	12	1	266	339	541	880	275	360	36	8	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	96	83	17	4	1	0	10	26	2	7	1	205	305	277	582	72	293	27	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	96	79	19	5	1	0	14	18	2	7	1	241	368	329	698	89	306	19	15	323	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	330	291	52	9	4	1	25	110	9	16	7	179	265	247	512	69	282	33	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	330	281	59	11	5	1	35	84	9	16	7	210	317	295	612	85	294	25	11	283	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	345	314	61	13	0	3	22	80	8	16	9	194	265	264	529	70	250	23	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	345	303	73	18	0	3	33	60	8	16	9	241	331	330	661	89	290	17	10	305	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	363	329	79	12	1	14	29	119	4	34	3	240	309	410	720	170	330	33	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	363	316	93	15	1	19	42	96	4	34	3	294	384	528	912	234	366	26	12	400	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	96	84	17	4	1	0	10	26	2	7	1	202	305	274	579	71	288	27	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	330	293	52	9	4	1	25	110	9	16	7	177	265	246	510	68	260	33	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	345	312	61	13	0	3	22	80	8	16	9	196	265	266	531	71	247	23	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	363	327	79	12	1	14	29	119	4	34	3	242	309	413	722	171	329	33	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	330	293	52	9	4	1	25	110	9	16	7	177	265	246	510	68	260	33	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	345	312	61	13	0	3	22	80	8	16	9	196	265	266	531	71	247	23	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	363	327	79	12	1	14	29	119	4	34	3	242	309	413	722	171	329	33	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	2%	380	344	73	13	1	9	28	111	5	17	4	213	282	335	617	123	283	29	7	278	75	-11	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	213	282	331	613	119	285	33	0	277	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	39%	349	315	67	12	1	8	26	101	5	15	3	214	284	339	623	125	283	29	7	281	76	-10	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	53%	378	341	73	13	1	9	29	108	5	16	4	215	285	340	625	125	283	29	8	281	77	-11	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	60%	394	356	76	14	1	9	30	112	5	15	3	215	285	339	624	124	283	28	8	281	76	-11	+2	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	62%	396	358	76	14	1	9	30	113	5	13	3	214	284	336	620	122	282	29	8	280	75	-12	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	63%	395	357	76	14	1	9	30	113	5	11	3	213	282	333	615	120	281	29	8	278	74	-12	+1	-2	+4	+9	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	39%	135	122	26	5	0	3	10	39	2	6	1	214	284	335	619	121	285	29	7	279	76	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	53%	199	179	38	7	1	4	15	57	3	8	2	215	285	336	621	121	285	29	8	280	77	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	60%	236	213	46	9	1	5	18	67	3	9	2	215	285	335	620	120	285	28	8	280	76	-7	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	62%	244	220	47	9	1	5	19	70	3	8	2	214	284	333	617	119	284	29	8	278	75	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	63%	248	224	48	9	1	5	19	71	3	7	2	213	282	329	612	116	283	29	8	276	74	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1062	958	205	39	4	22	81	304	14	38	9	214	285	332	617	118	287	29	8	279	71	-31	+4	-3	+11	+23	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	125	24	2	13	50	186	9	23	6	213	285	328	613	114	287	29	8	279	71	-19	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3366	3033	639	116	12	70	255	975	52	157	39	211	283	326	609	115	284	29	8	273	71	-65	+9	-4	+24	+48	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	123	22	2	14	49	188	10	30	8	210	282	326	608	116	282	29	8	273	71	-19	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,069	25	38	215	282	339	+11	+9	1.4	1.4
/162	664	16	24	+7.1	+5.6	0.9	pk7: 1
#6Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tre Richardson III (OGILVIE)	25	45	30	55	40	211/280/332	122	283	8	14	29%	7%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	44→45	55→70	47	217/293/337	119	284	11	29	27%	8%	80	-0.2	222/326/336	114	285	11	41	24%	11%	93	+0.8	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Chad Hinshaw 2016 · AA	25	48→42	42→45	57→55	43	228/304/339	111	319	9	28	29%	7%	84	+0.2	200/268/298	98	296	8	19	33%	6%	61	-1.5	168/236/258	91	253	8	18	35%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Daniel Carroll 2014 · AA	25	47→49	43→45	57→60	41	222/289/332	109	326	10	27	33%	7%	77	-0.3	197/273/277	80	297	6	22	33%	6%	59	-1.6	162/255/220	58	256	4	30	34%	6%	40	-1.7
✕Justin Dean 2022 · AA	25	45→47	43→45	58→65	39	213/286/324	111	323	10	27	35%	7%	74	-0.5	199/277/288	89	314	8	33	36%	8%	63	-1.4	212/289/296	84	320	7	47	33%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Kristopher Negrón 2011 · AAA	25	48→49	41→45	56→55	44	233/295/335	102	295	8	22	23%	6%	80	-0.2	207/259/308	101	276	9	18	27%	5%	60	-1.6	217/277/337	120	309	13	14	32%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Travis Witherspoon 2014 · AA	25	42→47	44→45	55	43	212/266/329	117	277	12	24	28%	7%	68	-1.0	199/254/310	111	270	12	20	30%	7%	59	-1.7	181/239/287	105	244	12	22	30%	7%	44	-1.6
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA	25	47→51	40	52→55	40	221/298/310	88	319	8	21	31%	6%	76	-0.4	211/297/316	105	310	10	12	32%	9%	76	-0.4	180/287/270	90	268	10	10	33%	11%	60	-0.6
✕Juan Zabala 2024 · AA	25	43	41→40	50	43	211/273/309	98	286	9	16	29%	7%	65	-1.2	207/260/302	95	297	9	10	31%	6%	59	-1.7	186/233/256	70	271	7	4	32%	5%	35	-1.2
✕Rowdey Jordan 2024 · AA	25	42	43→45	54→55	46	205/281/318	113	276	10	20	28%	8%	71	-0.8	207/267/318	111	293	11	18	31%	7%	65	-1.2	196/251/297	102	279	11	20	33%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Dalton Shuffield 2024 · AAA	25	47	44→45	57→55	45	220/291/338	118	333	12	20	35%	9%	79	-0.2	205/264/318	113	310	11	17	35%	7%	64	-1.3	176/235/291	115	260	12	20	36%	6%	45	-1.2
✕Freddy Zamora 2024 · AA	25	48→52	40	52→50	46	226/294/319	93	304	7	15	27%	8%	76	-0.4	209/283/289	80	277	6	14	25%	8%	65	-1.2	195/275/263	67	256	5	13	24%	8%	54	-1.0
✕Corey Joyce 2024 · AAA	25	42	43→40	50	48	204/305/319	115	291	11	13	31%	10%	81	-0.1	217/305/313	96	303	8	15	29%	9%	79	-0.2	219/295/310	91	293	10	16	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	48→54	43→45	58→60	40	233/287/346	113	307	10	29	27%	5%	79	-0.2	223/272/325	102	292	8	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	220/248/307	87	284	3	25	23%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Corey Toups 2018 · AAA	25	45→50	43→45	55→50	41	217/278/335	118	306	10	16	31%	6%	74	-0.6	210/274/315	105	326	10	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	184/254/264	80	303	8	19	39%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Ryan Klosterman 2007 · AA	25	43→45	46→45	55	42	214/280/347	133	282	13	18	28%	7%	78	-0.3	208/270/308	100	270	8	17	25%	7%	64	-1.3	205/270/304	99	269	9	14	26%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	45	55	45	206/291/337	132	285	12	21	30%	8%	80	-0.2	224/302/339	115	292	10	19	25%	8%	84	+0.1	226/306/338	113	291	10	20	24%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Alerick Soularie 2024 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	46	198/284/317	119	288	13	23	34%	10%	72	-0.7	207/283/318	111	293	11	24	31%	8%	72	-0.7	172/252/257	85	238	9	42	30%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	45	38→40	58→55	41	210/273/282	72	311	6	26	32%	7%	59	-1.6	238/282/325	87	315	5	20	25%	5%	72	-0.7	252/292/334	82	326	4	20	23%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	42→46	46→45	52→55	44	210/289/340	130	299	14	17	33%	8%	80	-0.2	189/271/308	119	275	13	20	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/264/299	117	260	11	19	32%	9%	59	-1.0

Tre Richardson III

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps