Francisco Garcia

3B Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	ROKCOL	206	.266/.368/.399	3	1	39	—	.177/.259/.260
2025	22	ACOL	149	.152/.199/.232	2	4	-19	—	.121/.151/.191
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBCOL	200	.199/.259/.302	3	5	58	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBCOL	39	.214/.274/.340	1	1	62	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A

Speed79

ISO44

Whiff%34

Z-Con%30

K%19

BB%4

CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24) · Ismael Alcantara (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .257 / .300

PA76

HR1

K%32

BB%6

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	207	180	48	12	0	6	15	54	11	7	2	267	359	433	793	167	347	26	7	356	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	145	128	24	4	1	1	13	43	3	0	3	188	276	258	534	70	274	30	9	251	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	34	30	7	4	0	2	1	13	3	0	0	233	324	567	890	333	333	38	3	385	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	206	173	46	14	0	3	19	50	9	1	0	266	368	399	767	133	344	24	9	341	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	138	21	3	1	2	7	46	1	4	1	152	199	232	431	80	209	31	5	193	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	207	186	28	6	0	2	9	65	11	7	2	151	233	215	448	65	214	31	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	145	134	16	2	1	1	8	63	3	0	3	119	186	172	358	52	209	43	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	34	30	4	2	0	1	1	19	3	0	0	133	235	300	535	167	235	56	3	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	206	181	32	9	0	2	11	73	9	1	0	177	259	260	518	83	248	35	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	141	17	2	1	2	4	66	1	4	1	121	151	191	342	71	187	44	3	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	207	186	28	6	0	2	9	65	11	7	2	151	233	215	448	65	217	31	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	207	180	48	12	0	6	15	54	11	7	2	267	359	433	793	167	347	26	7	356	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	145	134	16	2	1	1	8	63	3	0	3	119	186	172	358	52	214	43	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	145	128	24	4	1	1	13	43	3	0	3	188	276	258	534	70	274	30	9	251	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	34	30	4	2	0	1	1	19	3	0	0	133	235	300	535	167	300	56	3	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	34	30	7	4	0	2	1	13	3	0	0	233	324	567	890	333	333	38	3	385	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	206	181	32	9	0	2	11	73	9	1	0	177	259	260	518	83	270	35	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	206	173	46	14	0	3	19	50	9	1	0	266	368	399	767	133	344	24	9	341	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	141	17	2	1	2	4	66	1	4	1	121	151	191	342	71	203	44	3	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	138	21	3	1	2	7	46	1	4	1	152	199	232	431	80	209	31	5	193	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	207	185	28	6	0	2	9	65	11	7	2	151	233	216	449	65	214	31	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	145	133	16	2	1	1	8	63	3	0	3	120	186	173	359	53	209	43	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	34	30	4	2	0	1	1	19	3	0	0	133	235	300	535	167	235	56	3	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	206	184	32	9	0	2	11	73	9	1	0	174	259	255	514	82	248	35	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	143	17	2	1	2	4	66	1	4	1	119	151	189	339	70	187	44	3	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	206	184	32	9	0	2	11	73	9	1	0	174	259	255	514	82	248	35	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	149	143	17	2	1	2	4	66	1	4	1	119	151	189	339	70	187	44	3	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	0%	200	183	36	7	1	3	13	64	2	5	1	199	259	302	561	103	283	32	6	254	58	-10	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	30%	131	120	24	4	1	2	8	42	2	3	1	203	264	314	578	111	284	32	6	260	62	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	214	274	340	614	126	298	31	8	275	62	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	261	31	8	275	25	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	117	17	0	17	50	200	0	17	0	195	257	308	565	113	261	31	8	275	25	-29	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	948	862	135	28	3	11	46	352	30	17	8	157	225	234	459	78	245	37	5	204	25	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	93	19	2	8	32	241	21	12	5	157	227	237	464	80	245	37	5	204	25	-30	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Garcia (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	197/257/300	103	283	1	2	32%	6%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→33	43→50	46→50	34	191/235/306	115	287	11	11	36%	4%	51	-2.3	195/243/333	138	293	16	12	38%	5%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Ben Cowles 2024 · A	24	41→40	43→45	52→50	39	198/267/307	109	311	11	16	37%	7%	63	-1.4	210/271/322	112	295	9	16	30%	6%	68	-1.0	206/265/314	109	283	9	17	29%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	39→41	41→45	48→50	39	193/250/295	101	280	8	15	32%	6%	53	-2.1	197/251/297	100	295	9	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	194/248/291	96	283	9	9	33%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Jhonny Santos 2021 · A	24	43→41	43→45	50	42	210/270/318	108	286	10	16	29%	7%	66	-1.1	210/262/347	137	276	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	190/240/333	143	236	20	1	29%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	40→41	43→50	47→45	37	200/251/306	107	303	12	10	37%	6%	57	-1.8	210/259/350	140	290	17	5	32%	6%	70	-0.9	196/242/331	135	260	17	2	31%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Brandon Downes 2017 · A	24	37→34	44→50	49→50	32	186/234/307	121	293	11	13	39%	5%	51	-2.3	190/246/329	139	290	16	9	39%	6%	61	-1.5	174/233/328	154	247	20	6	38%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	41	42→45	49→50	42	201/261/303	102	277	9	11	30%	7%	59	-1.6	185/246/294	109	258	11	11	32%	6%	53	-2.1	154/229/257	103	218	14	11	35%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	32→40	43→45	47→45	44	169/250/274	105	239	11	6	33%	8%	50	-2.3	190/273/295	105	264	10	5	30%	9%	63	-1.3	177/267/274	97	242	10	3	29%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	189/265/291	102	263	10	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	193/262/310	117	276	12	11	32%	8%	62	-1.4	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Jose Acosta 2024 · A	24	37	45	48→55	36	189/243/315	125	281	13	14	36%	6%	56	-1.9	201/256/297	96	281	8	18	30%	6%	56	-1.9	174/228/216	41	236	4	37	27%	6%	24	-0.9