Christopher Vasquez (P, St. Lucie Mets) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Christopher Vasquez P St. Lucie Mets

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%20.6%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP39

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	16	2	23	111	25	16	4	12%	1.4	15.3%	18.0%	-2.7%	5.3%	7.15	6.98	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	16	2	23	111	25	16	4	12%	1.4	22.5%	14.4%	8.1%	3.6%	7.15	5.31	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	13	0	19	77	21	6	0	0%	1.5	18.5%	9.7%	8.8%	0.0%	1.42	2.77	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	13	0	19	77	21	6	0	0%	1.5	27.3%	7.8%	19.5%	0.0%	1.42	1.84	—
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	25	3	56	274	48	44	3	12%	2.3	13.0%	18.9%	-6.0%	1.1%	6.39	5.02	—
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	25	3	56	274	48	44	3	12%	2.3	13.0%	18.9%	-6.0%	1.1%	6.39	5.02	—
2023	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	25	3	56	274	48	44	3	12%	2.3	17.5%	16.1%	1.5%	1.1%	6.39	4.43	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.6%	14.0%	6.6%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	38	0	39	166	35	22	5	0%	1.0	21.1%	13.5%	7.7%	3.0%	5.03	5.02	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	16	0	17	72	15	10	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.5%	7.7%	3.0%	5.03	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	71	15	10	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.5%	7.7%	3.0%	5.03	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	119	24	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.5%	7.7%	3.0%	5.03	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		54	5	98	462	67	79	9	9%	1.8	14.5%	17.2%	-2.7%	1.9%	5.60	5.11	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	10	200	943	136	162	18	9%	1.8	14.5%	17.2%	-2.7%	1.9%	5.60	5.11	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christopher Vasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	20.6%	14.0%	3.0%	—	5.02	21.1%	7.7%	39	-0.11	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	89
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	88
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	88
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	87
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	87
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	86
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	85
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.49	14.0%	6.3%	162	+0.26	3.81	291	85
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	85
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	84
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	84
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	84
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.54	19.0%	8.4%	155	-0.01	3.33	268	84
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	20.9%	13.7%	1.14	5.08
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57