Elison Joseph

P Columbus Clingstones

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	39	53	2.04	2.31	34.1%	12.6%	—	K 26.8% · BB 14.1% · FIP 3.32
2025	24	AAATL	37	40	4.31	3.33	30.5%	21.9%	—	K 24.7% · BB 24.1% · FIP 4.07
2026	25	MIX2 levels	20	24	3.80	5.93	20.7%	29.3%	—	K 16.8% · BB 32.9% · FIP 6.61
2027PROJ	26	MLBATL	15	16	5.53	5.53	22.1%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBATL	12	13	5.43	5.45	22.2%	19.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsZane Russell (age 24) · Haden Erbe (age 25) · Cody Scroggins (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.53

FIP5.53

K%22.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.1%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	16	0	26	117	30	18	2	0%	1.6	17.4%	19.2%	-1.8%	2.3%	2.73	5.31	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	16	0	26	117	30	18	2	0%	1.6	25.6%	15.4%	10.3%	1.7%	2.73	3.86	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	34	160	44	27	2	0%	1.2	19.6%	20.3%	-0.7%	1.6%	4.46	4.91	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	34	160	44	27	2	0%	1.2	27.5%	16.9%	10.6%	1.2%	4.46	3.65	—
2023	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	38	0	46	215	66	31	7	0%	1.2	22.7%	17.0%	5.7%	4.3%	5.72	5.72	—
2023	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	38	0	46	215	66	31	7	0%	1.2	30.7%	14.4%	16.3%	3.3%	5.72	4.24	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	53	223	76	28	2	0%	1.4	26.8%	14.1%	12.7%	1.3%	2.04	3.32	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	53	223	76	28	2	0%	1.4	26.8%	14.1%	12.7%	1.3%	2.04	3.32	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	53	223	76	28	2	0%	1.4	34.1%	12.6%	21.5%	0.9%	2.04	2.31	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	37	0	40	187	57	41	0	0%	1.1	24.7%	24.1%	0.6%	0.0%	4.31	4.07	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	37	0	40	187	57	41	0	0%	1.1	24.7%	24.1%	0.6%	0.0%	4.31	4.07	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	37	0	40	187	57	41	0	0%	1.1	30.5%	21.9%	8.6%	0.0%	4.31	3.33	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	24	116	24	34	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	32.9%	-16.1%	1.4%	3.80	6.61	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	24	116	24	34	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	32.9%	-16.1%	1.4%	3.80	6.61	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	24	116	24	34	1	0%	1.2	20.7%	29.3%	-8.6%	0.9%	3.80	5.93	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	ATL	15	0	16	68	15	14	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	20.0%	2.1%	2.5%	5.53	5.53	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	ATL	34	0	35	149	33	28	4	0%	1.0	22.2%	19.0%	3.2%	2.6%	5.43	5.45	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	ATL	12	0	13	55	12	10	1	0%	1.1	22.2%	19.0%	3.2%	2.6%	5.43	5.45	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	12	11	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	19.0%	3.2%	2.6%	5.43	5.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	166	15	0%	1.1	22.2%	19.0%	3.2%	2.6%	5.43	5.07	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		178	0	223	1018	226	206	19	0%	1.3	22.2%	20.3%	1.9%	1.9%	3.84	4.82	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	0	200	914	203	185	17	0%	1.3	22.2%	20.3%	1.9%	1.9%	3.84	4.82	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elison Joseph (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.53	22.1%	20.0%	2.5%	—	5.45	22.2%	3.2%	35	-0.08	—	—	—
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	87
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	84
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	83
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	82
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	82
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	81
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	81
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	81
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	81
Manuel Alvarez R 2022 · 5.02 FIP	26	SU	5.02	20.3%	17.1%	2.7%	.330	6.63	11.8%	-14.8%	12	+1.61	4.58	154	81
Andrew Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	26	SU	4.87	18.9%	18.1%	1.9%	.311	3.86	23.3%	7.7%	84	-1.01	3.56	176	79
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	79
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	79
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	79
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	79
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	78
Holt Jones R 2024 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	19.0%	15.0%	1.8%	.326	4.32	22.4%	8.3%	123	-0.04	4.21	254	78
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	78
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	78
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.2%	19.3%	1.00	5.46
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*