Jose Contreras (P, ACL Guardians) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose Contreras P ACL Guardians

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.43

FIP5.43

K%22.8%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Blue	11	11	23	129	16	41	0	100%	2.1	8.4%	39.7%	-31.3%	0.0%	15.09	7.42	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Blue	11	11	23	129	16	41	0	100%	2.1	12.4%	31.8%	-19.4%	0.0%	15.09	7.11	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	12	12	34	183	31	33	0	100%	2.8	11.5%	22.5%	-11.0%	0.0%	10.85	4.98	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	12	12	34	183	31	33	0	100%	2.8	16.9%	18.0%	-1.1%	0.0%	10.85	4.19	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	21	119	26	36	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	37.8%	-23.0%	0.0%	10.89	6.64	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	21	119	26	36	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	37.8%	-23.0%	0.0%	10.89	6.64	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	15	0	21	119	26	36	0	0%	1.4	21.8%	30.3%	-8.4%	0.0%	10.89	5.81	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	CLE	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	17.6%	5.2%	3.0%	5.43	5.43	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CLE	3	3	20	84	20	13	3	100%	6.7	23.2%	15.2%	8.1%	3.0%	5.17	5.07	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	CLE	2	2	9	38	9	6	1	100%	4.5	23.2%	15.2%	8.1%	3.0%	5.17	5.07	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	9	36	8	5	1	100%	8.6	23.2%	15.2%	8.1%	3.0%	5.17	4.69	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	187	117	23	100%	5.9	23.2%	15.2%	8.1%	3.0%	5.17	4.69	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		38	23	77	431	50	138	0	61%	2.0	11.5%	31.9%	-20.4%	0.0%	12.10	6.17	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	59	200	1115	128	356	0	61%	2.0	11.5%	31.9%	-20.4%	0.0%	12.10	6.17	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Contreras (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	22.8%	17.6%	3.0%	—	5.07	23.2%	8.1%	20	-0.36	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	84
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	77
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	76
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	74
Nick Gallagher R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	23	SP-	4.56	22.0%	17.9%	1.9%	.274	5.02	21.0%	7.0%	73	+0.46	4.10	196	72
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	71
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	24	SP-	5.73	24.2%	19.2%	4.1%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	163	71
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	70
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.33	21.4%	7.0%	173	-0.73	4.21	254	69
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	69
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.36	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.25	2.10	351	69
Matt Merrill R 2022 · 6.06 FIP	24	SW	6.06	20.4%	22.4%	3.4%	.314	3.92	25.4%	7.0%	108	-2.14	3.14	205	68
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	68
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.88	14.6%	5.6%	271	-0.78	4.28	282	68
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	68
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.6%	11.6%	249	-0.34	4.54	318	68
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	67
Logan Boyer R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	17.0%	12.7%	4.2%	.306	3.71	25.0%	12.7%	27	-1.89	3.71	121	67
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	67
Danny Cody R 2021 · 6.32 FIP	24	SW	6.32	20.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.369	6.32	11.4%	-6.9%	37	+0.00	6.32	106	66