Darlin Pinales

P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 240 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	MIX2 levels	32	39	5.35	3.59	32.3%	22.6%	—	K 22.9% · BB 27.3% · FIP 4.97
2025	22	AARI	35	40	5.90	3.35	30.6%	17.5%	—	K 22.6% · BB 20.6% · FIP 4.41
2026	23	A+OAK	29	39	6.00	3.07	25.3%	12.1%	—	K 19.5% · BB 13.9% · FIP 3.94
2027PROJ	24	MLBOAK	22	23	5.21	5.21	21.1%	16.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBOAK	15	16	4.99	4.91	21.7%	14.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGrayson Thurman (age 24) · Kevin Kopps (age 25) · Craig Schlitter (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%21.1%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%4.9%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	12	8	29	136	24	20	1	67%	2.4	12.0%	18.4%	-6.4%	0.8%	5.28	4.88	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	12	8	29	136	24	20	1	67%	2.4	17.6%	14.7%	2.9%	0.7%	5.28	3.96	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	5	41	166	42	18	0	38%	3.2	18.0%	16.0%	2.0%	0.0%	2.63	3.61	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	5	41	166	42	18	0	38%	3.2	25.3%	10.8%	14.5%	0.0%	2.63	2.37	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	38	196	47	45	4	20%	1.9	17.0%	27.6%	-10.6%	2.8%	9.16	6.68	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	4	38	196	47	45	4	20%	1.9	24.0%	23.0%	1.0%	2.0%	9.16	5.53	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	39	186	60	42	1	0%	1.2	22.9%	27.3%	-4.4%	0.6%	5.35	4.97	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	39	186	60	42	1	0%	1.2	22.9%	27.3%	-4.4%	0.6%	5.35	4.97	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	39	186	60	42	1	0%	1.2	32.3%	22.6%	9.7%	0.5%	5.35	3.59	—
2025	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	35	0	40	183	56	32	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	20.6%	2.0%	1.1%	5.90	4.41	—
2025	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	35	0	40	183	56	32	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	20.6%	2.0%	1.1%	5.90	4.41	—
2025	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	35	0	40	183	56	32	2	0%	1.1	30.6%	17.5%	13.1%	1.1%	5.90	3.35	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	29	0	39	190	48	23	2	0%	1.3	19.5%	13.9%	5.5%	1.3%	6.00	3.94	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	29	0	39	190	48	23	2	0%	1.3	19.5%	13.9%	5.5%	1.3%	6.00	3.94	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	29	0	39	190	48	23	2	0%	1.3	25.3%	12.1%	13.2%	1.1%	6.00	3.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	OAK	22	0	23	97	20	16	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	16.2%	4.9%	2.7%	5.21	5.21	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	34	0	36	152	33	21	4	0%	1.1	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.7%	4.99	4.91	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	15	0	16	68	15	10	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.7%	4.99	4.91	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	14	9	2	0%	1.0	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.7%	4.99	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	116	26	0%	1.1	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.7%	4.99	4.53	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		141	17	226	1057	201	221	12	12%	1.6	19.0%	20.9%	-1.9%	1.2%	5.70	4.78	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	15	200	937	178	196	11	12%	1.6	19.0%	20.9%	-1.9%	1.2%	5.70	4.78	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Darlin Pinales (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	21.1%	16.2%	2.7%	—	4.91	21.7%	7.6%	36	-0.30	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	87
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	87
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	87
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	86
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	85
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	85
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	85
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	85
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.54	19.0%	8.4%	155	-0.01	3.33	268	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	84
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	84
Tyler Schimpf R 2019 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.63	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.59	3.37	126	84
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	84
Antonio Knowles R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.28	20.9%	11.7%	66	-1.30	3.24	223	84
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	84
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	83
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	83
Alejandro Torres R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SU	4.38	20.5%	14.5%	2.1%	.221	6.08	17.6%	-0.9%	82	+1.70	4.38	123	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	21.5%	14.9%	1.04	5.08
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51