Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Astros | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 6.75 | 6.62 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Astros | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 6.75 | 6.85 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 53 | 216 | 61 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.91 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 53 | 216 | 61 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.2% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 1.9% | 2.91 | 3.14 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 1 | 34 | 158 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 5% | 1.8 | 16.8% | 14.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.56 | 4.88 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 1 | 34 | 158 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 5% | 1.8 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 5.56 | 4.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 26 | 0 | 34 | 164 | 37 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.3% | 20.1% | -1.8% | 4.4% | 3.71 | 6.52 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | HOU | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.68 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 53 | 245 | 54 | 39 | 8 | — | — | 22.2% | 16.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.06 | 5.85 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.24 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 87 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 86 | 1 | 123 | 550 | 104 | 88 | 17 | 1% | 1.4 | 18.9% | 15.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.94 | 5.22 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 2 | 200 | 892 | 168 | 142 | 28 | 1% | 1.4 | 18.9% | 15.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.94 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alejandro Torres (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.68 | 21.4% | 11.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.62 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 20 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 89 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 85 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 85 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 85 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 85 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.0% | .323 | 4.34 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 142 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 84 |
| Will Latcham R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 134 | 84 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 84 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 83 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 83 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .273 | 3.78 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.57 | 2.30 | 208 | 83 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 83 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 83 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 83 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 83 |
| Jay Driver R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |