Carter Baumler
P
Texas Rangers
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.27
FIP4.27
xFIP6.43
SIERA5.87
K%23.3%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.4%
IP22
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
OFP—40
STUF4550
CTRL—50
CMD3545
K†5555
SL (12%)
SI (7%)
CU (48%)
FB-1.7 (40%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 4 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.54 | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 7 | 5 | 17 | 71 | 21 | 9 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.18 | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 10 | 1 | 20 | 85 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 15.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 5.75 | 4.79 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 28 | 0 | 40 | 158 | 46 | 18 | 0 | 25.0% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 2.04 | 2.61 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.18 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 5 | — | 5 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23.6% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 11 | 49 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 22.8% | 16.9% | 3.3% | 3.71 | 2.04 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 22 | — | 22 | 93 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 53 | 10 | 94 | 389 | 100 | 50 | 4 | 25.7% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 3.05 | 3.11 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 21 | 200 | 825 | 212 | 106 | 8 | 25.7% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 3.05 | 3.11 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carter Baumler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 23.6% | 10.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.34 | 23.8% | 13.3% | 22 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Bobby Wahl R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.68 | 24.5% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .250 | 2.67 | 36.7% | 26.0% | 58 | -1.01 | 2.03 | 148 | 86 |
| Taylor Rashi R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.54 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 2.5% | .312 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 17.1% | 82 | +0.22 | 2.35 | 227 | 81 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .261 | 3.88 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 114 | -0.55 | 3.82 | 142 | 80 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.48 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .245 | 4.81 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.33 | 3.04 | 230 | 79 |
| Will Vest R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.71 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .282 | 3.66 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 124 | -0.05 | 2.53 | 421 | 79 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.72 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.2% | .282 | 5.28 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.56 | 3.72 | 105 | 78 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.48 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.6% | .316 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +0.92 | 3.48 | 142 | 78 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.85 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.19 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.34 | 3.85 | 100 | 78 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.60 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 2.0% | .304 | 4.61 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.01 | 3.60 | 246 | 78 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.46 | 3.49 | 140 | 78 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 3.9% | .296 | 3.50 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.14 | 2.78 | 181 | 78 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2028 · 3.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.10 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .289 | 4.77 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.67 | 3.10 | 220 | 78 |
| Jay Flaa R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.69 | 18.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .306 | 4.31 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 191 | -0.38 | 3.62 | 273 | 78 |
| James Sherfy R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.98 | 28.7% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .225 | 3.13 | 27.2% | 18.1% | 164 | -0.85 | 2.64 | 271 | 77 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .340 | 4.39 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.65 | 3.74 | 223 | 77 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.71 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .239 | 5.62 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.91 | 3.71 | 325 | 77 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.62 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .233 | 3.64 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.98 | 3.54 | 156 | 77 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.53 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.08 | 3.01 | 214 | 77 |
| José Cisnero R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 77 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.