Carter Baumler
P
Texas Rangers
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION9 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%23.6%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL (12%)
SI (7%)
CU (48%)
FB-1.7 (40%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 4 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 2.9 | 41.7% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 0.0% | 1.54 | 1.43 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 4 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 2.9 | 41.7% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 0.0% | 1.54 | 1.47 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 5 | 17 | 71 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 71% | 2.4 | 29.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 2.21 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 5 | 17 | 71 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 71% | 2.4 | 29.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 2.22 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 1 | 20 | 85 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 10% | 2.0 | 15.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 5.75 | 4.75 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 1 | 20 | 85 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 10% | 2.0 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 5.75 | 4.23 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 40 | 158 | 46 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 2.04 | 2.61 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 40 | 158 | 46 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.1% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 2.04 | 2.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 7 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 41 | 180 | 41 | 23 | 5 | — | — | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 3.53 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 38 | 162 | 41 | 23 | 5 | — | — | 25.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 58 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 58 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 55 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 56 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 191 | 0 | 202 | 857 | 204 | 100 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 202 | 99 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 56 | 10 | 97 | 404 | 102 | 51 | 4 | 18% | 1.7 | 25.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 0.9% | 3.05 | 3.09 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 21 | 200 | 830 | 210 | 105 | 8 | 18% | 1.7 | 25.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 0.9% | 3.05 | 3.09 | +5.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carter Baumler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 23.6% | 11.6% | 2.7% | — | 4.44 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 172 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Bobby Wahl R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.68 | 24.5% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .250 | 2.84 | 36.7% | 26.0% | 58 | -0.84 | 2.02 | 148 | 86 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 82 |
| R.J. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.84 | 23.1% | 11.3% | 4.1% | .348 | 3.35 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 112 | -1.49 | 3.02 | 302 | 82 |
| Jay Flaa R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 18.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .306 | 4.33 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 191 | -0.48 | 3.52 | 273 | 81 |
| Matt Barnes R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.49 | 20.3% | 10.3% | 3.3% | .333 | 3.08 | 29.8% | 19.3% | 198 | -1.41 | 2.50 | 495 | 81 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 79 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Emilio Pagán R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.42 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .280 | 3.81 | 26.0% | 18.4% | 209 | +0.39 | 2.70 | 698 | 79 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 79 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 78 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 78 |
| Héctor Neris R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .298 | 3.09 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -1.00 | 1.97 | 682 | 78 |
| Will Vest R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .282 | 3.67 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 124 | +0.13 | 2.58 | 448 | 78 |
| José Fermin R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.43 | 25.9% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 142 | 78 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 78 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.95 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 105 | +1.22 | 2.65 | 304 | 78 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.45 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.10 | 3.45 | 289 | 78 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.33 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.36 | 2.87 | 223 | 78 |
| Zach Franklin R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 53 | 23.9% | 11.3% | 1.09 | 4.46 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |