Kyle Finnegan P Detroit Tigers
Age 34 RHP 6'2" / 198 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA4.03
FIP4.00
K%21.2%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP11
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
K: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -2.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: +1.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+1CONTACTSTAM: +2.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.04 (53 IP)+0.0WAR
0.4-0.1-0.22628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p5025.2%
K%
p2218.1%
xwOBA vs
p450.317
FB+1.9 (53%)
SL (15%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201523A+Stockton Ports282412755496401986%4.513.3%8.3%5.0%1.8%5.443.99
201523A+Stockton Ports282412755496401986%4.517.3%7.2%10.1%3.4%5.444.47
201624MIX2 levels43064267693040%1.520.5%12.6%7.9%1.8%2.543.93
201624MIX2 levels43064267693040%1.525.8%11.2%14.6%1.5%2.543.16
201725MIX2 levels46060261572480%1.318.3%9.8%8.5%4.8%3.885.45
201725MIX2 levels46060261572480%1.321.8%9.2%12.6%3.1%3.884.13
201826MIX3 levels36245196481826%1.220.3%9.9%10.4%1.2%4.843.31
201826MIX3 levels36245196481826%1.224.5%9.2%15.3%1.0%4.842.74
201927MIX2 levels42051206721830%1.229.5%9.3%20.2%1.3%2.312.50
201927MIX2 levels42051206721830%1.235.0%8.7%26.2%1.5%2.312.09
202028MLBWashington Nationals2502510727920%1.025.2%8.4%16.8%1.9%2.923.06+0.4
202028MLBWashington Nationals2502510727920%1.025.2%8.4%16.8%1.9%2.923.06+0.4
202129MLBWashington Nationals68066294683090%1.023.1%10.2%12.9%3.1%3.554.12+0.4
202129MLBWashington Nationals68066294683090%1.023.1%10.2%12.9%3.1%3.554.18+0.4
202230MLBWashington Nationals66067268702090%1.026.1%7.5%18.7%3.4%3.513.68+0.8
202230MLBWashington Nationals66067268702090%1.026.1%7.5%18.7%3.4%3.513.66+0.8
202331MLBWashington Nationals670692886323110%1.021.9%8.0%13.9%3.8%3.764.36+0.3
202331MLBWashington Nationals670692886323110%1.021.9%8.0%13.9%3.8%3.764.34+0.3
202432MLBWashington Nationals65064271602190%1.022.1%7.7%14.4%3.3%3.684.03+0.4
202432MLBWashington Nationals65064271602190%1.022.1%7.7%14.4%3.3%3.684.04+0.4
202533MIX2 levels57158232561742%1.024.0%7.0%17.0%1.9%3.433.00+1.0
202533MIX2 levels57158232561742%1.024.1%7.3%16.8%1.7%3.432.94+1.1
▸ 2026 Season
202634MLBDetroit Tigers40042177322540%1.118.1%14.1%4.0%2.3%2.134.60-0.0
ROS34MLBDET100114610510%1.121.2%9.7%11.5%2.7%4.034.00+0.1
ROS34MLBDET100114610510%1.121.2%9.7%11.5%2.7%4.034.00+0.1
2026 TOT34MLBDET532234230518.7%13.2%5.5%2.3%2.524.48+0.0
2026 FULL34MLBDET532254230518.6%13.1%5.5%2.3%2.524.47+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735MLBDET46048202422160%1.020.8%10.2%10.6%3.0%4.544.66-0.1
202836MLBDET40042179351960%1.119.8%10.8%9.0%3.4%4.835.03-0.2
202735MLBDET46048203422160%1.020.8%10.2%10.6%3.0%4.544.66-0.1
202836MLBDET40042177351960%1.119.8%10.8%9.0%3.4%4.835.03-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career48304912061462189610%1.022.4%9.2%13.3%3.0%3.644.00+8.1
/ 200 IP197020084018877250%1.022.4%9.2%13.3%3.0%3.644.00+3.3
Career583277373121653288815%1.320.9%9.2%11.7%2.6%3.723.92+12.8
/ 200 IP158720084717778225%1.320.9%9.2%11.7%2.6%3.723.92+3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kyle Finnegan (OGILVIE) 3.93 24.0%7.5%2.8% 4.83 20.4%9.8%90 +0.90
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 34 SU 3.99 18.1%11.3%1.8%.270 3.99 104 75
Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 34 SU 3.83 22.6%9.3%2.6%.230 4.59 19.4%12.7%78 +0.76 3.83 208 70
Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 70
Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 2.82 FIP 34 SU 2.82 23.2%10.4%0.7%.296 2.96 25.0%17.3%56 +0.14 2.82 284 69
Jake Petricka R 2026 · 3.31 FIP 34 SU 3.31 18.3%7.9%1.4%.307 3.04 252 68
Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.08 FIP 34 SU 3.08 23.5%11.5%0.9%.259 3.58 22.5%12.8%122 +0.50 3.08 349 68
Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 68
Jared Hughes R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 34 SU 5.05 18.7%9.0%4.3%.224 4.39 19.3%8.3%22 -0.66 3.02 358 67
Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP 35 SU 3.51 25.4%8.6%2.7%.290 3.93 22.4%12.7%161 +0.42 3.51 219 67
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 34 SU 3.89 23.8%8.6%3.1%.309 4.58 16.8%9.0%63 +0.69 2.51 251 67
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 34 SU 4.82 18.6%9.4%3.8%.232 2.22 187 67
Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 34 SU 3.49 18.4%6.0%2.2%.262 3.63 14.0%8.2%40 +0.14 2.35 140 67
Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 34 SU 4.22 18.3%6.6%3.3%.282 3.92 18.6%12.0%67 -0.30 3.92 186 67
Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 67
Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 33 SU 4.99 23.4%10.7%4.6%.254 3.26 122 66
Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP 33 SU 3.41 20.2%5.9%2.3%.312 4.36 17.6%4.0%57 +0.95 3.41 144 66
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 34 SU 4.67 17.4%9.9%3.2%.304 3.59 19.8%11.6%113 -1.08 2.78 326 66
Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 34 SU 3.93 27.5%10.7%3.3%.260 2.48 277 66
Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 34 SU 3.77 15.4%6.0%2.2%.294 3.35 17.4%8.8%116 -0.42 3.17 225 65
Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION34821.7%9.4%1.174.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77