Kyle Finnegan — OGILVIE

Kyle Finnegan P Detroit Tigers

Age 34 RHP 6'2" / 198 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.22

FIP4.18

K%20.5%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7596.3

Whiff%

p5225.6%

p1917.7%

xwOBA vs

p170.351

FB+1.9 (51%)

SL (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	28	24	127	554	96	40	19	86%	4.5	13.3%	8.3%	5.0%	2.5%	5.44	4.40	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	Stockton Ports	28	24	127	554	96	40	19	86%	4.5	17.3%	7.2%	10.1%	3.4%	5.44	4.47	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	64	267	69	30	4	0%	1.5	20.5%	12.6%	7.9%	1.8%	2.54	3.94	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	64	267	69	30	4	0%	1.5	25.8%	11.2%	14.6%	1.5%	2.54	3.16	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	60	261	57	24	8	0%	1.3	18.3%	9.8%	8.5%	4.1%	3.88	5.04	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	60	261	57	24	8	0%	1.3	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	3.1%	3.88	4.13	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	2	45	196	48	18	2	6%	1.2	20.3%	9.9%	10.4%	1.2%	4.84	3.30	—
2018	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	2	45	196	48	18	2	6%	1.2	24.5%	9.2%	15.3%	1.0%	4.84	2.74	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	51	206	72	18	3	0%	1.2	29.5%	9.3%	20.2%	1.4%	2.31	2.57	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	51	206	72	18	3	0%	1.2	35.0%	8.7%	26.2%	1.5%	2.31	2.09	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	25	0	25	107	27	9	2	0%	1.0	25.2%	8.4%	16.8%	1.9%	2.92	3.06	+0.4
2020	28	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	25	0	25	107	27	9	2	0%	1.0	25.2%	8.4%	16.8%	1.9%	2.92	3.06	+0.4
2021	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	68	0	66	294	68	30	9	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.2%	12.9%	3.1%	3.55	4.12	+0.3
2021	29	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	68	0	66	294	68	30	9	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.2%	12.9%	3.1%	3.55	4.18	+0.3
2022	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	66	0	67	268	70	20	9	0%	1.0	26.1%	7.5%	18.7%	3.4%	3.51	3.68	+0.7
2022	30	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	66	0	67	268	70	20	9	0%	1.0	26.1%	7.5%	18.7%	3.4%	3.51	3.66	+0.7
2023	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	67	0	69	288	63	23	11	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.0%	13.9%	3.8%	3.76	4.36	+0.2
2023	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	67	0	69	288	63	23	11	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.0%	13.9%	3.8%	3.76	4.36	+0.2
2023	31	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	67	0	69	288	63	23	11	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.0%	13.9%	3.8%	3.76	4.34	+0.2
2024	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	65	0	64	271	60	21	9	0%	1.0	22.1%	7.7%	14.4%	3.3%	3.68	4.03	+0.4
2024	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	65	0	64	271	60	21	9	0%	1.0	22.1%	7.7%	14.4%	3.3%	3.68	4.03	+0.4
2024	32	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	65	0	64	271	60	21	9	0%	1.0	22.1%	7.7%	14.4%	3.3%	3.68	4.04	+0.4
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	1	58	232	56	17	4	2%	1.0	24.0%	7.0%	17.0%	1.8%	3.43	2.96	+1.1
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	1	58	232	56	17	4	2%	1.0	24.0%	7.0%	17.0%	1.8%	3.43	2.96	+1.1
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	1	58	232	56	17	4	2%	1.0	24.1%	7.3%	16.8%	1.7%	3.43	2.94	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			408	0	407	1717	389	153	53	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.9%	13.7%	3.1%	3.59	4.01	+2.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	61	0	59	260	46	34	9	0%	1.0	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.6%	3.79	5.25	-0.5
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	61	0	59	260	46	34	9	0%	1.0	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.6%	3.79	5.25	-0.5
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	MLB RAW	DET	61	0	59	260	46	34	9	0%	1.0	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.5%	3.79	5.16	-0.4
SO FAR	34	MLB RAW	DET	61	0	59	260	46	34	9	0%	1.0	17.7%	13.1%	4.6%	3.5%	3.79	5.16	-0.4
ROS	34	MLB MLE	DET	5	0	5	20	4	2	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.8%	10.7%	2.9%	4.22	4.18	+0.0
ROS	34	MLB CTX	DET	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.8%	10.7%	2.9%	4.22	4.18	+0.0
2026 TOT	34	MLB MLE	DET	—	—	64	280	50	36	10	—	—	17.9%	12.8%	5.1%	3.4%	3.82	5.17	-0.4
FULL	34	MLB A+C	DET	—	—	64	271	50	36	10	—	—	18.5%	13.3%	5.2%	3.5%	3.82	5.16	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	DET	46	0	48	202	41	21	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.4%	9.7%	3.3%	4.81	4.93	-0.2
2028	36	MLB MLE	DET	40	0	42	179	34	20	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	3.7%	5.10	5.30	-0.4
2027	35	MLB CTX	DET	46	0	48	203	41	21	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.4%	9.7%	3.3%	4.81	4.93	-0.2
2028	36	MLB CTX	DET	40	0	42	177	34	20	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	3.7%	5.10	5.30	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		498	0	502	2118	468	196	67	0%	1.0	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	3.2%	3.84	4.14	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		199	0	200	844	187	78	27	0%	1.0	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	3.2%	3.84	4.14	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		604	27	754	3204	667	297	88	4%	1.2	20.8%	9.3%	11.5%	2.8%	3.82	4.03	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	7	200	850	177	79	23	4%	1.2	20.8%	9.3%	11.5%	2.8%	3.82	4.03	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Finnegan (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.91	24.0%	7.5%	2.8%	—	5.10	19.6%	8.9%	90	+1.19	—	—	—
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	79
Jared Hughes R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	34	SU	4.96	18.7%	9.0%	4.2%	.224	4.38	19.3%	8.3%	22	-0.58	3.00	358	77
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	74
Carlos Torres R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	34	SU	4.51	17.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	3.66	19.8%	11.6%	113	-0.85	2.89	326	73
Jumbo Diaz R 2018 · 2.80 FIP	34	SU	2.80	23.2%	10.4%	0.6%	.296	2.98	25.0%	17.3%	56	+0.18	2.80	284	72
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	72
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	71
Pedro Strop R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	34	SU	4.05	27.5%	10.7%	3.5%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	277	71
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	70
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	70
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	69
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	68
Rafael Dolis R 2022 · 3.61 FIP	34	SU	3.61	19.9%	11.9%	1.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	162	68
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	68
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	68
Arquimedes Caminero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	32	SU	4.62	18.6%	11.1%	3.1%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	173	67
Jake Petricka R 2022 · 3.21 FIP	34	SU	3.21	18.3%	7.9%	1.2%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	252	67
Ramon E Ramirez R 2016 · 3.60 FIP	34	SU	3.60	18.4%	6.0%	2.4%	.262	3.49	14.0%	8.2%	40	-0.11	2.37	140	67
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	66
Junior Guerra R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	34	SU	4.13	22.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.212	4.12	20.0%	5.9%	89	-0.01	3.18	646	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	21.3%	9.5%	1.25	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58