JD Hammer
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 202 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128118vR 109
ERA4.85
FIP4.80
K%21.1%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%9.5%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p4424.4%
K%
p5723.4%
xwOBA vs
p610.301
FB-1.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 27 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.5% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 3.92 | 3.25 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 27 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.2% | 5.8% | 21.5% | 1.0% | 3.92 | 2.07 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 58 | 222 | 85 | 16 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.8% | 8.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 1.87 | 1.72 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 58 | 222 | 85 | 16 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 38.3% | 7.2% | 31.1% | 0.0% | 1.87 | 0.98 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 14 | 56 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 8% | 1.1 | 30.4% | 7.1% | 23.2% | 0.0% | 2.63 | 1.44 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 14 | 56 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 8% | 1.1 | 30.4% | 7.1% | 23.2% | 0.0% | 2.63 | 1.49 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 55 | 243 | 55 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 5.56 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 55 | 243 | 55 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 5.56 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 199 | 58 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 44 | 199 | 58 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.81 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 53 | 0 | 47 | 217 | 47 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.1% | 14.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.94 | 5.50 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 53 | 0 | 47 | 217 | 47 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.7% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 5.94 | 5.44 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 8 | 7 | 38 | 180 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 88% | 4.8 | 9.3% | 12.2% | -3.0% | 3.0% | 6.63 | 5.53 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 8 | 7 | 38 | 180 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 88% | 4.8 | 10.6% | 11.7% | -1.1% | 2.8% | 6.63 | 5.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 49 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.85 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 43 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.94 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.37 | 5.57 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.94 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 5.28 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.37 | 5.57 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 82 | 0 | 83 | 362 | 72 | 45 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 4.72 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 197 | 0 | 200 | 869 | 173 | 108 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 238 | 8 | 299 | 1308 | 276 | 144 | 32 | 3% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.49 | 4.07 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 5 | 200 | 876 | 185 | 96 | 22 | 3% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.49 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| JD Hammer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.80 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.28 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 136 | +0.48 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 80 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 78 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 76 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 76 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.5% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.40 | 231 | 76 |
| Brandon Workman R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.92 | 18.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.04 | 269 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 74 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 74 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 73 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 72 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.49 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 4.9% | .273 | 2.50 | 25.7% | 19.8% | 112 | -2.99 | 2.40 | 617 | 72 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 72 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.59 | 2.82 | 284 | 72 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 71 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.48 | 17.6% | 3.6% | 14 | +0.42 | 3.03 | 256 | 71 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 71 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.92 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .269 | 4.27 | 24.6% | 13.3% | 100 | +0.35 | 2.28 | 279 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 20.2% | 12.0% | 1.30 | 5.05 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |