Blair Calvo — OGILVIE

Blair Calvo P Erie SeaWolves

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.88

FIP4.88

K%21.3%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB+1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	25	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	33	0	71	298	75	23	6	0%	2.2	18.6%	9.1%	9.5%	2.1%	4.54	3.86	—
2021	25	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	33	0	71	298	75	23	6	0%	2.2	25.2%	7.7%	17.4%	2.0%	4.54	3.06	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	37	155	49	11	2	0%	1.2	26.1%	8.3%	17.8%	1.7%	2.92	2.86	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	37	155	49	11	2	0%	1.2	31.6%	7.1%	24.5%	1.3%	2.92	2.05	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	58	280	68	44	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.3%	6.1%	3.1%	7.02	4.88	-0.2
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	58	280	68	44	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.3%	6.1%	3.1%	7.02	4.88	-0.2
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	58	280	68	44	7	0%	1.1	24.3%	15.7%	8.6%	2.5%	7.02	4.61	-0.0
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	3	0	2	14	3	2	0	0%	0.7	21.4%	14.3%	7.1%	0.0%	9.00	3.10	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	3	0	2	14	3	2	0	0%	0.7	21.4%	14.3%	7.1%	0.0%	9.00	3.10	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	3	0	2	14	3	2	0	0%	0.7	21.4%	14.3%	7.1%	0.0%	9.00	3.10	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	5 levels	30	2	40	177	48	18	6	7%	1.3	20.7%	10.7%	10.0%	5.5%	5.40	5.75	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	5 levels	30	2	40	177	48	18	6	7%	1.3	20.7%	10.7%	10.0%	5.5%	5.40	5.75	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	5 levels	30	2	40	177	48	18	6	7%	1.3	27.1%	10.2%	16.9%	3.4%	5.40	4.00	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	+0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	DET	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	21.3%	11.2%	10.1%	3.2%	4.88	4.88	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	DET	19	0	20	84	18	10	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.4%	9.7%	3.4%	4.94	5.02	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	DET	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.4%	9.7%	3.4%	4.94	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	29	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.26	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	0	200	811	165	83	28	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.26	4.49	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		151	2	208	924	193	101	27	1%	1.4	20.9%	10.9%	9.9%	3.0%	5.15	4.35	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	2	200	888	185	97	26	1%	1.4	20.9%	10.9%	9.9%	3.0%	5.15	4.35	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blair Calvo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	21.3%	11.2%	3.2%	—	5.02	21.1%	9.7%	20	+0.14	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	80
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	77
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	76
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	75
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	74
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	73
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	73
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	73
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	72
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	72
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	71
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	70
Taylor Williams R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	30	SU	5.96	19.9%	14.1%	5.0%	.261	3.81	18.7%	8.9%	101	-2.15	2.51	309	70
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	70
Louis Coleman R 2016 · 3.87 FIP	30	SU	3.87	21.3%	10.4%	2.3%	.288	3.63	22.0%	10.9%	144	-0.24	3.10	256	70
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	70