Blair Calvo
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 30
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.69
FIP4.69
K%22.7%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+1.0
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 33 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 75 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 2.2 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 4.54 | 3.68 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 33 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 75 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 2.2 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 17.4% | 2.0% | 4.54 | 3.06 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.1% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 1.7% | 2.92 | 2.86 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.6% | 7.1% | 24.5% | 1.3% | 2.92 | 2.05 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 58 | 280 | 68 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 16.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 7.02 | 5.29 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 58 | 280 | 68 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 7.02 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 21.4% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 21.4% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 5 levels | 30 | 2 | 40 | 177 | 48 | 18 | 6 | 7% | 1.3 | 20.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 5.40 | 5.59 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 5 levels | 30 | 2 | 40 | 177 | 48 | 18 | 6 | 7% | 1.3 | 27.1% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 5.40 | 4.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | DET | 13 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | DET | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | DET | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.11 | 4.33 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 811 | 165 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.11 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 151 | 2 | 208 | 924 | 196 | 108 | 27 | 1% | 1.4 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 4.39 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 2 | 200 | 888 | 189 | 104 | 26 | 1% | 1.4 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blair Calvo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 22.7% | 10.6% | 3.2% | — | 4.85 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 83 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 79 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 78 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 75 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 74 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 74 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 74 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 74 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 73 |
| Oliver Drake R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.54 | 24.7% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .356 | 3.18 | 30.1% | 22.1% | 127 | -0.36 | 2.25 | 317 | 73 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 72 |
| Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 72 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 72 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 72 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 72 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 71 |