Jack O'Dowd — OGILVIE

Jack O'Dowd2B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 210 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION462 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP316

ISO158

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	25	AA MLE	COL	—	462	414	103	23	2	19	33	135	6	4	1	249	313	452	765	203	312	29	7	327	107	+4	+0	+0	+2	+10	1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A RAW	COL	—	96	84	29	7	1	7	8	17	0	0	0	345	402	702	1.105	357	344	18	8	452	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	A+ RAW	COL	—	153	128	46	10	1	9	21	27	2	1	1	359	457	664	1.121	305	394	18	14	476	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA RAW	COL	—	213	185	48	13	0	7	20	61	4	3	0	259	343	443	786	184	342	29	9	345	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	COL	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		297	30	10	312	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	COL	—	472	423	104	23	2	19	34	138	6	4	1	246	311	444	755	199	309	29	7	326	107	+4	+0	+0	+2	+10	1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	39%	499	454	105	22	2	18	36	147	6	7	2	231	296	407	704	176	295	29	7	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	53%	536	485	112	23	2	19	40	155	6	8	2	231	298	404	702	173	295	29	7	312	98	-2	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	60%	541	489	112	23	2	19	41	155	6	8	2	229	297	401	697	172	294	29	8	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	62%	540	487	112	23	2	19	42	155	6	8	2	230	299	402	702	172	293	29	8	310	96	-2	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	63%	536	484	111	23	2	19	41	155	6	8	2	229	298	403	700	174	292	29	8	308	94	-4	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.9
2032	31	MLB MLE	COL	63%	529	477	108	22	2	18	41	155	6	7	2	226	296	394	690	168	289	29	8	303	92	-5	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.6
2033	32	MLB MLE	COL	69%	490	444	97	20	1	16	38	146	5	7	2	218	287	376	664	158	286	30	8	298	88	-7	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.2
2034	33	MLB MLE	COL	73%	461	418	90	18	1	15	35	139	5	6	1	215	284	371	655	156	281	30	8	290	83	-9	+1	-4	+2	+10	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	39%	193	175	43	9	1	8	14	57	2	3	1	246	309	446	755	200	313	30	7	323	97	-1	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	53%	282	256	63	13	1	12	21	82	3	4	1	246	311	445	756	199	313	29	7	324	98	-1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.7
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	60%	324	292	72	15	2	13	25	93	4	5	1	247	315	445	760	199	312	29	8	324	97	-1	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.7
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	62%	333	300	74	16	2	13	26	96	4	5	1	247	315	443	758	197	311	29	8	322	96	-2	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	63%	337	304	74	16	1	13	26	98	4	5	1	243	311	431	742	187	309	29	8	319	94	-2	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2032	31	MLB CTX	COL	63%	336	303	72	15	1	13	26	98	4	5	1	238	306	422	729	185	307	29	8	314	92	-3	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.4
2033	32	MLB CTX	COL	69%	339	306	72	15	1	13	26	101	4	5	1	235	304	418	722	183	303	30	8	308	88	-5	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.2
2034	33	MLB CTX	COL	73%	338	306	69	14	1	12	26	102	3	4	1	225	293	395	688	170	297	30	8	301	83	-7	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2482	2242	539	113	10	97	190	727	28	36	8	240	308	430	737	189	309	29	8	316	93	-22	+4	-10	+9	+54	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	142	30	3	25	50	190	7	9	2	242	309	431	740	189	311	29	8	316	93	-6	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4142	3747	848	174	14	143	315	1210	46	59	15	226	294	395	689	168	292	29	8	306	93	-33	+6	-15	+15	+90	6.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	132	27	2	22	49	190	7	9	2	224	291	389	681	165	290	29	8	306	93	-5	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Jedd Gyorkolast yr '20 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,983 PA	4.5	2,983	121	14	245	310	424	+8	+22	13.4	13.5
/162	664	27	3	+1.7	+5.0	3.0	pk7: 14
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.7	2,488	86	34	227	292	396	+9	+5	5.5	5.4
/162	664	23	9	+2.4	+1.3	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack O'Dowd (OGILVIE)	25	36	56	45	46	229/294/406	177	297	12	4	30%	7%	97	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	39→41	51→60	48→45	44	205/278/370	165	273	18	7	31%	8%	82	-0.0	193/270/361	168	248	20	4	30%	8%	78	-0.3	202/284/418	216	238	27	2	28%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Travis Scott 2010 · A	25	44	51→55	47→40	43	227/281/393	166	287	19	4	28%	7%	88	+0.4	215/268/348	133	278	14	6	27%	6%	72	-0.7	206/261/334	129	240	17	3	22%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jared Greenwood 2007 · A	24	40	50→55	43→45	42	206/271/353	147	291	19	7	35%	8%	76	-0.4	205/267/331	126	322	14	6	38%	7%	69	-0.9	171/235/285	114	284	13	0	42%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Adam Witter 2008 · A	25	42→39	52→50	46→30	43	221/281/389	168	286	20	4	30%	7%	87	+0.4	203/266/347	144	256	17	3	27%	7%	72	-0.7	185/251/323	138	225	18	1	26%	8%	60	-1.0
✕Alex Frazier 2006 · A	25	42→39	52→55	44→45	44	220/295/384	164	279	20	6	28%	8%	92	+0.7	209/262/332	123	281	14	5	30%	5%	67	-1.1	188/226/290	102	254	12	1	30%	3%	42	-1.7
✕Justin Nelson 2008 · A	25	43→41	53→55	43→45	44	218/290/395	176	307	20	7	34%	8%	92	+0.7	222/291/388	166	317	19	5	34%	8%	91	+0.7	205/278/385	180	283	22	1	34%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Brandon Powell 2006 · A	25	45	52→50	45→50	38	232/273/398	166	303	19	7	30%	5%	86	+0.3	227/271/366	139	325	15	16	33%	5%	78	-0.3	222/268/356	133	323	14	20	34%	4%	72	-0.4
✕Keegan McGovern 2021 · A	25	40	52→60	47→30	37	204/277/368	163	310	20	4	39%	7%	82	-0.0	203/280/317	114	359	12	11	43%	8%	71	-0.8	158/251/251	93	305	12	13	47%	9%	42	-0.8
✕Tyler Horan 2016 · A	25	39→43	51→55	44→45	42	206/265/366	160	273	19	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	215/268/350	135	298	15	7	31%	6%	73	-0.6	230/276/380	150	309	17	6	31%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Jared Keel 2009 · A	24	39→38	52→50	48→45	47	207/289/373	166	249	20	10	26%	8%	88	+0.4	205/291/350	145	262	16	7	27%	9%	82	+0.0	182/282/323	141	228	16	1	27%	11%	72	-0.4
✕Andy Yerzy 2023 · AA	25	35	49→50	49→40	45	189/272/334	145	258	18	5	33%	9%	72	-0.7	198/270/321	123	274	14	7	31%	8%	68	-1.0	141/208/218	76	221	10	2	39%	7%	18	-1.3
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→44	49→50	43→45	44	211/285/364	153	273	17	7	29%	7%	84	+0.1	217/297/364	147	287	15	5	28%	9%	88	+0.4	213/295/355	142	282	15	3	28%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Jakson Reetz 2021 · A	25	42→33	46→55	44→45	42	207/286/332	125	292	14	5	32%	7%	77	-0.3	194/272/347	153	266	18	5	33%	6%	76	-0.4	193/274/380	187	243	23	4	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	40→38	50→65	43→45	41	208/274/365	156	287	18	5	33%	7%	80	-0.2	208/255/373	165	298	19	5	36%	5%	74	-0.5	247/319/462	215	314	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.1
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	220/264/370	149	273	17	5	26%	5%	76	-0.4	205/259/310	105	271	9	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	147/207/208	61	195	3	6	25%	5%	18	-1.2
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2018 · A	25	41→37	47→50	46→50	37	205/267/344	139	294	15	11	34%	6%	72	-0.7	219/294/369	150	305	17	8	32%	8%	88	+0.4	210/308/381	171	273	23	2	30%	11%	98	+0.4
✕Stephen Scott 2022 · A	25	46→45	52→50	47→50	49	234/308/402	167	290	19	5	26%	9%	100	+1.3	210/287/355	145	262	16	9	25%	9%	82	-0.0	199/277/341	142	245	16	10	25%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Tommy Giles 2009 · AA	25	42→41	51→55	43→40	41	221/274/386	165	285	19	6	30%	6%	84	+0.1	219/281/375	156	286	18	5	29%	7%	84	+0.1	207/275/365	158	262	20	2	29%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Grant Witherspoon 2022 · A	25	41→46	50	48→50	40	212/262/358	146	285	18	12	32%	6%	73	-0.6	214/274/352	138	298	16	13	32%	7%	76	-0.4	201/267/330	129	280	14	13	32%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Ben Johnson 2007 · A	25	40→44	52→55	50→45	42	212/271/379	167	257	20	5	27%	6%	82	-0.0	220/270/376	156	255	19	8	22%	4%	81	-0.1	214/263/365	151	242	18	8	21%	4%	74	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps