Jack O'Dowd
2B Hartford Yard Goats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 516 | .313/.391/.588 | 28 | 4 | 116 | — | .243/.308/.430 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBCOL | 3 | .227/.293/.411 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBCOL | 45 | .227/.294/.409 | 2 | 1 | 85 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ40% MLB | 28 | MLBCOL | 83 | .227/.293/.406 | 3 | 1 | 84 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 54
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 217 | 189 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 254 | 336 | 434 | 770 | 180 | 336 | 29 | 9 | 339 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 153 | 128 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 359 | 457 | 664 | 1.121 | 305 | 394 | 18 | 14 | 476 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 96 | 84 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 345 | 402 | 702 | 1.105 | 357 | 344 | 18 | 8 | 452 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 50 | 46 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 370 | 400 | 804 | 1.204 | 435 | 444 | 28 | 4 | 506 | 228 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 217 | 196 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 77 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 204 | 271 | 332 | 603 | 128 | 297 | 35 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 153 | 134 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 364 | 515 | 879 | 231 | 318 | 24 | 10 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 96 | 87 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 304 | 517 | 822 | 253 | 279 | 24 | 5 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 516 | 463 | 114 | 26 | 2 | 20 | 37 | 151 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 312 | 441 | 752 | 194 | 312 | 29 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 516 | 447 | 140 | 35 | 2 | 28 | 51 | 121 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 313 | 391 | 588 | 979 | 275 | 365 | 23 | 10 | 417 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 516 | 467 | 114 | 26 | 2 | 20 | 37 | 151 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 312 | 437 | 748 | 193 | 300 | 29 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 516 | 467 | 114 | 26 | 2 | 20 | 37 | 151 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 312 | 437 | 748 | 193 | 300 | 29 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 2% | 380 | 345 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 122 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 281 | 379 | 660 | 164 | 286 | 32 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 293 | 411 | 703 | 184 | 300 | 33 | 0 | 310 | 84 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 27% | 167 | 151 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 282 | 377 | 660 | 163 | 285 | 32 | 7 | 293 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 40% | 209 | 189 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 66 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 282 | 374 | 656 | 160 | 285 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 27% | 45 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 294 | 409 | 703 | 182 | 300 | 31 | 7 | 310 | 85 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 40% | 83 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 293 | 406 | 699 | 179 | 299 | 31 | 7 | 309 | 84 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 128 | 117 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 281 | 385 | 666 | 171 | 278 | 31 | 7 | 309 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 126 | 25 | 0 | 25 | 46 | 203 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 212 | 280 | 380 | 660 | 168 | 276 | 31 | 7 | 309 | 94 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1047 | 944 | 218 | 46 | 5 | 38 | 76 | 320 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 231 | 297 | 411 | 708 | 180 | 301 | 31 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 136 | 29 | 3 | 24 | 47 | 199 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 298 | 415 | 712 | 183 | 303 | 31 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAHartford Yard Goats · 217 PAwOBA .334 → .271 (−63)K% 29.0% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.84% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 20.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.32% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .334 → .271; ISO .180 → .140; BABIP .336 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Spokane Indians · 153 PAwOBA .469 → .369 (−100)K% 17.6% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 23.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 9.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 21.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 7.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .469 → .369; ISO .305 → .242; BABIP .394 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 96 PAwOBA .458 → .364 (−95)K% 17.7% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 5.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.970 | 17.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×0.970 | 8.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.961 | ×0.970 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 8.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .458 → .364; ISO .357 → .281; BABIP .344 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .