Jack O'Dowd — OGILVIE

Jack O'Dowd2B Spokane Indians

Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION301 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†120

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .317 / .459

PA200

HR9

K%26

BB%8

BABIP298

ISO210

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER63

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$15M	+$14M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$13M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
Totals		$11M		$51M	+$45M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A+	COL	—	301	268	74	18	2	16	23	77	3	1	1	276	340	537	877	261	319	26	8	365	137	+13	-0	+0	+1	+9	2.3
YTD	25	A+	COL	—	301	256	88	23	2	18	35	57	3	1	1	344	429	660	1.089	316	372	19	12	457	208	+37	-0	+0	+1	+9	4.7
ROS	25	A+	COL	0%	200	180	45	9	1	9	16	52	2	2	1	249	317	459	777	210	299	26	8	342	120	+5	+0	+0	+1	+6	1.1
ROS	25	MLB	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						325	0	0	363	136	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	A+	COL	—	302	269	74	18	2	16	23	77	3	1	1	275	339	535	874	260	317	25	8	365	137	+13	-0	+0	+1	+9	2.3
TOT	25	A+	COL	—	501	448	119	27	3	25	39	129	5	3	2	265	331	506	837	241	311	26	8	356	130	+17	-0	+0	+2	+14	3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	COL	42%	532	479	119	24	3	23	43	138	5	7	2	248	317	455	772	207	297	26	8	338	117	+10	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.8
2028	27	MLB	COL	58%	546	491	123	25	3	24	45	141	5	7	2	251	320	460	780	210	296	26	8	337	116	+10	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.9
2029	28	MLB	COL	67%	551	495	123	25	3	23	46	142	5	8	3	248	319	451	769	202	296	26	8	336	115	+9	+0	-1	+2	+16	2.7
2030	29	MLB	COL	69%	550	494	121	24	3	23	46	142	5	8	3	245	316	445	761	200	295	26	8	333	113	+8	+0	-1	+2	+16	2.5
2031	30	MLB	COL	70%	545	489	119	24	3	22	46	142	5	7	2	243	315	440	754	196	293	26	8	331	111	+7	+1	-2	+2	+15	2.3
2032	31	MLB	COL	71%	538	483	116	23	2	22	45	142	5	7	2	240	311	433	744	193	291	26	8	327	108	+5	+1	-3	+2	+15	2.0
2033	32	MLB	COL	71%	530	476	112	22	2	21	44	142	5	7	2	235	307	422	729	187	287	27	8	321	104	+2	+1	-4	+2	+15	1.7
2034	33	MLB	COL	71%	461	416	95	18	2	17	38	126	4	6	2	228	299	404	703	175	283	27	8	313	98	-1	+0	-4	+2	+13	1.0
2035	34	MLB	COL	67%	416	376	83	15	2	15	34	116	3	5	2	221	291	391	682	170	276	28	8	304	91	-4	+0	-5	+1	+12	0.4
2027	26	MLB	COL	42%	226	204	54	11	1	11	18	59	2	3	1	265	330	490	821	225	322	26	8	360	133	+9	+0	+0	+1	+6	1.6
2028	27	MLB	COL	58%	319	287	78	16	2	16	26	82	3	4	1	272	339	509	847	237	321	26	8	358	132	+12	+0	+0	+1	+9	2.3
2029	28	MLB	COL	67%	368	332	89	18	2	18	30	95	3	5	2	268	334	497	831	229	321	26	8	356	131	+13	+0	-0	+1	+10	2.5
2030	29	MLB	COL	69%	379	340	91	19	2	18	32	98	4	5	2	268	338	494	832	226	320	26	8	354	129	+12	+0	-1	+1	+11	2.4
2031	30	MLB	COL	70%	382	343	91	19	2	18	32	100	4	5	2	265	335	490	825	224	318	26	8	351	127	+11	+0	-1	+1	+11	2.3
2032	31	MLB	COL	71%	381	343	90	18	2	18	32	101	3	5	2	262	331	484	815	222	315	27	8	346	123	+10	+0	-2	+1	+11	2.1
2033	32	MLB	COL	71%	378	341	88	18	2	17	31	101	3	5	2	258	325	472	797	214	311	27	8	340	118	+8	+0	-2	+1	+11	1.8
2034	33	MLB	COL	71%	330	297	74	15	1	14	27	90	3	4	1	249	318	448	766	199	306	27	8	332	112	+5	+0	-3	+1	+9	1.3
2035	34	MLB	COL	67%	279	252	61	12	1	12	23	78	2	3	1	242	310	440	751	198	299	28	8	322	104	+1	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3043	2740	716	146	15	142	251	804	27	39	14	261	329	481	810	220	317	26	8	347	124	+81	+2	-14	+11	+86	17.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	152	31	3	30	54	172	6	8	3	260	329	477	806	217	316	26	8	347	124	+17	+0	-3	+2	+18	3.6
Career	—			—	4869	4379	1056	209	24	199	403	1283	44	64	21	241	311	436	748	195	293	26	8	328	109	+51	+4	-20	+17	+138	19.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	141	28	3	27	54	171	6	9	3	241	312	438	749	197	292	26	8	328	109	+7	+1	-3	+2	+18	2.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#4Jedd Gyorkolast yr '20 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,983 PA	8	2,983	121	14	245	310	424	+8	+22	13.4	13.5
	/162	664	27	3	245	310	424	+1.7	+5.0	3.0	pk7: 14
#5Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	7	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
	/162	664	28	5	239	322	441	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,042	123	39	241	308	434	+11	+6	12.1	11.5
	/162	664	27	9	241	308	434	+2.4	+1.3	2.6	pk7: 11
#6Vinny Castillalast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,579 PA	7	3,579	117	11	253	299	421	-2	+14	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	22	2	253	299	421	-0.3	+2.5	2.0	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack O'Dowd (OGILVIE)	25	43	63	43	48	265/331/506	241	311	25	3	26%	8%	130	+3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Wilson 2006 · A	25	45→43	56→60	46→45	48	238/298/430	192	274	25	7	24%	8%	103	+1.9	216/273/342	126	289	14	5	29%	7%	69	-0.4	190/245/280	90	269	9	0	31%	6%	40	-1.5
●David Cook 2006 · A	25	44→50	55→60	45→50	48	230/310/419	189	305	23	7	32%	10%	106	+2.2	220/298/392	172	283	20	10	28%	9%	94	+1.3	234/314/428	195	279	24	10	25%	10%	107	+2.0
●Ryan Ward 2022 · A	24	45→48	58→60	44→50	40	241/293/438	198	309	27	7	31%	6%	104	+2.0	216/270/395	179	285	24	8	32%	6%	83	+0.6	233/290/443	210	282	29	11	28%	7%	100	+1.4
✕Stephen Scott 2022 · A	25	45→44	54→55	47→50	49	237/308/418	181	290	22	5	26%	9%	105	+2.1	212/287/370	158	261	19	9	26%	9%	84	+0.6	200/278/359	159	241	19	10	26%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jake Scheiner 2021 · A	25	45→53	54→60	44→40	40	237/284/416	179	292	23	6	28%	5%	94	+1.3	225/291/412	187	296	24	4	31%	7%	96	+1.5	214/291/400	185	276	24	3	30%	8%	91	+1.0
●Colby Rasmus 2012 · MLB	25	48→55	53→60	47→50	52	245/318/424	180	293	20	8	23%	10%	110	+2.4	239/304/430	191	296	23	5	27%	8%	106	+2.2	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
✕Kevin Cornelius 2017 · A	24	46	58→65	48→40	45	241/310/449	208	322	26	4	33%	9%	114	+2.7	211/263/348	137	341	15	5	40%	6%	67	-0.5	149/180/247	98	270	13	0	49%	4%	2	-1.2
✕Joe Rizzo 2023 · AA	25	46→50	54→55	42→40	42	242/290/414	172	295	22	4	26%	6%	96	+1.5	226/275/372	146	285	17	5	26%	6%	79	+0.3	199/248/328	129	250	15	1	27%	6%	52	-0.9
●Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	47→50	56→50	47→50	47	248/313/435	187	289	24	11	24%	7%	111	+2.5	237/315/368	131	287	14	10	22%	8%	95	+1.4	241/329/366	125	303	13	9	23%	10%	96	+0.9
●Kole Calhoun 2012 · A	24	51→57	52→60	48→50	51	256/330/429	173	315	19	11	24%	10%	116	+2.8	259/323/424	165	312	17	11	22%	8%	111	+2.5	268/330/442	175	312	20	3	20%	8%	117	+3.1
✕James Darnell 2012 · MLB	25	49→53	55	46→40	50	253/318/440	188	288	23	4	21%	8%	115	+2.7	231/290/390	159	279	19	6	24%	7%	90	+1.0	208/285/376	168	235	23	3	23%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Jeff Larish 2008 · AA	25	45→46	55	44→45	50	234/317/423	189	283	23	6	26%	10%	110	+2.4	233/305/408	175	299	21	4	28%	9%	101	+1.8	230/301/404	174	296	21	2	29%	8%	97	+1.2
✕Michael Massey 2022 · A	24	42→51	53→55	51→50	44	223/278/397	173	250	21	11	21%	6%	86	+0.8	242/291/412	170	288	20	10	23%	5%	96	+1.5	249/295/423	175	291	22	9	22%	5%	99	+1.3
●Shea Langeliers 2023 · MLB	25	41→51	57→65	49→45	41	224/280/417	193	283	26	5	31%	7%	93	+1.3	232/291/449	217	275	29	6	27%	7%	106	+2.2	254/315/498	244	279	35	5	23%	7%	126	+2.8
✕Zach Borenstein 2015 · AAA	25	46→55	56→60	45→50	39	240/286/432	193	308	24	8	30%	6%	99	+1.7	219/270/361	142	315	15	10	33%	6%	73	-0.1	203/257/338	135	306	13	9	36%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Luis Urías 2022 · MLB	25	48→58	54→55	47→45	53	248/334/428	180	288	21	7	22%	10%	118	+3.0	228/325/382	154	274	18	5	23%	10%	103	+1.9	211/314/346	136	257	16	4	23%	10%	88	+0.7
●Pedro Álvarez 2013 · MLB	26	45→46	56→60	44→45	47	235/307/425	190	307	24	3	31%	9%	106	+2.2	239/310/452	213	293	30	5	29%	9%	115	+2.7	236/310/454	218	281	32	5	28%	9%	106	+1.8
●Sean Murphy 2020 · MLB	25	43→50	53→60	45→30	45	227/287/403	175	272	20	4	25%	7%	92	+1.2	237/322/431	194	286	23	3	25%	10%	114	+2.7	242/337/441	199	283	23	0	22%	10%	120	+2.6
✕Andrew Young 2019 · AA	25	46→47	53→60	48→40	41	240/310/410	170	288	22	5	25%	5%	104	+2.0	220/301/402	182	285	22	5	30%	6%	98	+1.6	193/278/375	182	272	23	3	36%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/434	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	114	+2.7	222/277/341	119	269	13	6	22%	7%	71	-0.3	197/240/273	76	241	5	5	20%	5%	33	-0.7