Roc Riggio

2B Hartford Yard Goats

Age 25 L/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #233MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP45ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AACOL	277	.259/.343/.486	13	15	85	—	.225/.296/.382
2025	23	A+NYY	94	.264/.436/.597	6	2	114	—	.212/.330/.500
2026	24	AAACOL	103	.297/.366/.527	6	1	98	—	.245/.297/.394
2026	24	AACOL	380	.256/.374/.492	16	20	98	—	.224/.310/.412
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBCOL	6	.222/.301/.409	0	0	87	0.0
2028PROJ39% MLB	26	MLBCOL	141	.224/.302/.410	5	4	88	0.1
2029PROJ53% MLB	27	MLBCOL	204	.225/.303/.409	7	6	88	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Chase%76

Whiff%38

Speed34

BB%32

Z-Con%27

Max EV22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 5, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 80%

CompsDrew Robinson (age 25) · Austin Wells (age 25) · Isan Díaz (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .301 / .409

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP297

ISO172

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	76	57	11	2	0	0	18	18	1	3	1	193	395	228	623	35	282	24	24	316	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	21	16	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	188	381	188	568		300	29	19	297	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	398	88	27	5	11	71	97	8	27	6	221	350	397	747	176	264	20	15	337	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	277	243	63	16	0	13	27	60	4	15	7	259	343	486	829	226	289	22	10	362	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	94	72	19	4	1	6	20	22	2	2	4	264	436	597	1.033	333	295	23	21	446	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	103	91	27	3	0	6	9	31	1	1	0	297	366	527	894	231	375	30	9	385	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	380	317	81	23	2	16	58	101	2	20	8	256	374	492	866	237	320	27	15	379	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	76	63	10	2	0	0	12	25	1	3	1	159	303	190	493	32	263	33	16	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	21	18	2	0	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	111	238	111	349		244	43	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	430	70	19	5	9	39	134	8	27	6	163	245	293	538	130	209	28	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	277	249	56	15	0	8	21	71	4	15	7	225	296	382	677	157	270	26	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	94	80	17	3	1	6	12	29	2	2	4	212	330	500	830	287	233	31	13	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	103	94	23	2	0	4	6	37	1	1	0	245	297	394	691	149	343	36	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	380	335	75	20	2	13	40	123	2	20	8	224	310	412	722	188	304	32	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	97	81	13	2	0	0	14	34	2	3	1	160	299	185	484	25	277	35	14	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	97	73	14	2	0	0	22	24	2	3	1	192	392	219	611	27	286	25	23	312	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	430	70	19	5	9	39	134	8	27	6	163	245	293	538	130	211	28	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	398	88	27	5	11	71	97	8	27	6	221	350	397	747	176	264	20	15	337	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	329	72	18	1	14	33	101	6	17	11	219	302	407	709	188	267	27	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	371	315	82	20	1	19	47	82	6	17	11	260	367	511	878	251	290	22	13	383	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	483	428	99	23	2	17	47	160	3	21	8	231	312	414	725	182	320	33	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	483	408	108	26	2	22	67	132	3	21	8	265	372	500	872	235	332	27	14	381	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	97	81	13	2	0	0	14	34	2	3	1	160	299	185	484	25	259	35	14	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	430	70	19	5	9	39	134	8	27	6	163	245	293	538	130	209	28	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	329	72	18	1	14	33	101	6	17	11	219	302	407	709	188	261	27	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	483	430	99	23	2	17	47	160	3	21	8	230	312	412	723	181	312	33	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	480	430	70	19	5	9	39	134	8	27	6	163	245	293	538	130	209	28	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	371	329	72	18	1	14	33	101	6	17	11	219	302	407	709	188	261	27	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	483	430	99	23	2	17	47	160	3	21	8	230	312	412	723	181	312	33	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	2%	380	339	70	16	1	12	35	122	3	12	5	210	290	377	667	167	283	32	9	297	87	-6	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	301	409	710	186	297	33	17	314	87	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	39%	365	326	69	16	1	12	33	115	3	11	5	212	291	378	670	167	283	32	9	299	88	-5	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	53%	388	347	74	17	1	13	35	121	3	12	5	212	292	377	669	165	283	31	9	298	88	-5	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	60%	401	359	76	17	1	13	36	124	3	11	5	212	291	374	665	162	282	31	9	297	87	-6	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	62%	400	358	75	17	1	12	36	123	3	9	4	212	290	370	659	158	281	31	9	295	86	-7	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	63%	398	357	74	16	1	12	35	122	3	7	4	210	288	364	651	154	280	31	9	291	83	-8	-0	-3	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	39%	141	126	28	6	1	5	13	44	1	4	2	224	302	410	713	186	297	31	9	315	88	-2	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	53%	204	181	40	9	1	7	19	64	2	6	3	225	303	409	711	184	297	31	9	315	88	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	60%	240	214	49	11	1	9	22	74	2	6	3	224	302	405	707	181	296	31	9	313	87	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	62%	247	221	50	11	1	9	22	76	2	5	3	223	300	400	700	176	295	31	9	310	86	-4	-0	-2	+1	+5	0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	63%	250	224	49	11	1	8	22	77	2	4	2	222	298	393	691	171	293	31	9	307	83	-5	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1082	966	216	48	5	38	98	335	9	25	13	224	301	402	703	178	298	31	9	312	82	-18	-0	-6	+4	+23	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	130	29	3	23	59	201	5	15	8	224	301	403	704	179	298	31	9	312	82	-11	-0	-4	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3703	3300	683	159	14	113	337	1136	37	128	53	207	288	366	654	159	275	31	9	290	82	-36	+1	-11	+8	+49	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	120	28	2	20	59	199	6	22	9	207	287	366	653	159	275	31	9	290	82	-10	+0	-3	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Johnny Vergez'31-'36 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,537 PA	3.8	2,537	52	22	234*	301*	404*	+9	-12	4.2	4.2
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	-3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Pete Coscarart'38-'46 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,355 PA	5.1	3,355	28	34	235*	306*	367*	+17	-7	2.6	3.6
/162	664	6	7	+3.3	-1.4	0.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,089	34	27	213	288	374	+4	-6	1.6	1.6
/162	664	21	16	+2.4	-3.7	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roc Riggio (OGILVIE)	25	30→42	50→51	45→42	50	208/288/374	165	283	11	10	32%	9%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	39→43	51→55	52→50	45	204/280/371	167	286	19	14	34%	9%	83	+0.1	217/293/379	162	329	18	12	36%	10%	89	+0.5	211/292/367	157	326	17	12	38%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Austin Wells 2024 · MLB	25	41→44	52→55	53→50	46	216/288/382	166	271	20	11	28%	8%	88	+0.5	215/292/383	168	259	21	6	25%	9%	91	+0.6	205/292/372	167	241	22	5	25%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Isan Díaz 2021 · MLB	25	44→43	51→55	44→45	44	223/291/382	159	296	18	8	30%	8%	90	+0.6	213/286/370	157	282	19	7	30%	9%	85	+0.2	192/269/361	169	236	25	8	31%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	45→48	53→55	49→55	47	229/304/403	174	298	20	15	29%	9%	99	+1.3	216/305/385	169	292	20	19	31%	11%	96	+1.0	201/299/368	166	270	20	20	31%	11%	89	+0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2022 · AAA	25	40→34	51→50	45→50	46	202/298/366	164	295	19	9	36%	10%	89	+0.5	184/270/334	150	284	17	12	39%	9%	72	-0.7	166/253/310	144	262	17	13	41%	8%	58	-1.3
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	39→41	51→60	48→45	44	204/278/369	164	273	18	7	31%	8%	82	-0.0	194/271/365	171	248	21	4	30%	8%	79	-0.2	203/284/421	218	238	27	2	28%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	42→41	48→55	49→50	43	216/280/356	141	266	16	14	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/276/377	159	279	17	15	28%	6%	83	+0.1	207/267/370	164	270	18	17	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Chad Hermansen 2003 · MLB	25	41→42	50→55	45→50	43	213/273/369	157	280	18	12	30%	8%	80	-0.2	222/292/372	150	322	16	11	34%	9%	88	+0.4	205/260/306	101	296	11	13	33%	6%	57	-1.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2021 · AAA	25	43→42	51→55	49→50	46	215/299/385	170	307	18	10	34%	9%	93	+0.8	202/267/347	145	281	17	12	33%	8%	72	-0.7	190/260/326	136	259	16	12	32%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Dom Nuñez 2021 · MLB	26	39→46	50	46→45	46	205/283/359	154	272	19	8	31%	9%	82	-0.0	188/272/324	136	266	14	5	32%	10%	70	-0.9	162/254/278	115	229	11	3	32%	10%	51	-1.0
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→45	50	43→45	44	212/287/367	154	275	17	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	220/300/368	148	290	16	5	28%	9%	90	+0.6	215/299/360	144	285	15	3	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2021 · MLB	25	46→50	48→50	49→50	45	228/290/371	143	302	15	12	29%	8%	86	+0.3	219/284/349	130	305	13	10	30%	8%	79	-0.2	205/274/325	120	291	11	6	32%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2024 · AAA	25	42	47→50	47→50	41	214/282/345	132	284	16	13	30%	6%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	271	15	13	29%	6%	75	-0.5	196/264/333	138	256	16	13	29%	5%	66	-0.8
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	48→50	54→55	44	215/286/349	133	304	17	18	33%	9%	80	-0.2	216/282/348	132	295	14	16	30%	8%	78	-0.3	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Joey Wiemer 2024 · MLB	25	42→44	51→55	53→55	44	216/285/378	162	283	19	19	30%	8%	86	+0.3	200/275/316	116	285	12	15	32%	8%	69	-0.9	188/266/285	98	276	10	14	33%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Blake Tekotte 2012 · MLB	25	44→47	50	53→55	46	227/295/384	157	287	17	24	27%	8%	91	+0.7	203/259/333	130	279	12	16	31%	6%	66	-1.1	194/258/314	120	261	9	10	28%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Quincy Hamilton 2024 · AAA	26	44→45	47→50	49→50	49	223/301/358	136	278	15	14	25%	9%	88	+0.4	197/272/334	137	257	14	11	28%	9%	72	-0.7	173/253/311	139	222	14	11	28%	9%	57	-1.1
✕Addison Barger 2024 · AAA	24	45→49	49→55	45	43	227/292/375	148	308	17	7	31%	8%	88	+0.4	226/292/393	167	281	19	7	26%	8%	93	+0.8	224/289/406	182	269	21	6	25%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2024 · AA	24	41→51	51→55	50→55	41	213/274/368	155	292	20	18	33%	7%	80	-0.2	227/265/382	155	285	19	12	27%	4%	80	-0.2	228/259/382	154	275	20	9	25%	3%	75	-0.4
✕Jonathan Van Every 2006 · AA	26	41→43	55	49→50	41	209/286/386	178	316	24	15	40%	9%	89	+0.5	225/288/396	171	342	19	11	37%	7%	91	+0.7	226/289/404	177	346	20	8	38%	7%	92	+0.5

Roc Riggio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps