Ricardo Olivar

C Wichita Wind Surge

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 176 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AAMIN	407	.264/.359/.412	13	13	73	—	.216/.290/.325
2026	24	AAAMIN	27	.259/.259/.556	2	1	65	—	.222/.222/.407
2026	24	AAMIN	137	.277/.368/.613	10	2	108	—	.226/.294/.484
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBMIN	4	.232/.301/.390	0	0	94	0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	26	MLBMIN	84	.232/.302/.390	3	1	94	0.3
2029PROJ41% MLB	27	MLBMIN	138	.232/.302/.389	4	2	94	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.8M2034Arb-2$0.4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO98

wOBA92

wRC+89

K%80

Z-Con%74

Whiff%65

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%

CompsJ.R. Towles (age 25) · Luis Torrens (age 26) · Andrew Knizner (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .301 / .390

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO151

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.1M
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	59	49	10	2	1	1	8	17	2	3	0	204	339	347	686	143	290	29	14	318	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	154	129	45	12	3	5	18	33	5	5	5	349	447	605	1.052	256	430	21	12	451	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	372	106	28	2	10	59	93	16	12	1	285	405	452	857	167	354	21	13	385	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	77	67	15	2	0	1	9	18	1	3	0	224	325	299	623	75	292	23	12	293	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	356	300	86	17	3	11	53	70	1	3	0	287	395	473	869	187	339	20	15	385	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	352	93	13	0	13	49	74	3	13	3	264	359	412	771	148	299	18	12	346	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	27	27	7	2	0	2	0	6	0	1	0	259	259	556	815	296	263	22	0	350	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	137	119	33	10	0	10	16	26	1	2	2	277	368	613	981	336	274	19	12	418	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	135	237	250	487	115	222	42	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	154	136	33	9	2	3	11	47	5	5	5	243	322	404	727	162	323	31	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	394	94	21	2	8	37	131	16	12	1	239	329	363	692	124	328	29	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	77	69	12	2	0	1	7	23	1	3	0	174	260	246	506	72	241	30	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	356	317	71	12	2	7	36	91	1	3	0	224	305	341	646	117	288	26	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	366	79	10	0	10	35	96	3	13	3	216	290	325	615	109	259	24	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	27	27	6	2	0	1	0	7	0	1	0	222	222	407	630	185	235	26	0	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	137	124	28	8	0	8	11	32	1	2	2	226	294	484	778	258	227	23	8	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	135	237	250	487	115	231	42	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	59	49	10	2	1	1	8	17	2	3	0	204	339	347	686	143	290	29	14	318	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	154	136	33	9	2	3	11	47	5	5	5	243	322	404	727	162	341	31	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	154	129	45	12	3	5	18	33	5	5	5	349	447	605	1.052	256	430	21	12	451	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	394	94	21	2	8	37	131	16	12	1	239	329	363	692	124	335	29	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	372	106	28	2	10	59	93	16	12	1	285	405	452	857	167	354	21	13	385	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	386	83	14	2	8	43	114	2	6	0	215	297	324	621	109	282	26	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	433	367	101	19	3	12	62	88	2	6	0	275	383	441	824	166	331	20	14	369	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	366	79	10	0	10	35	96	3	13	3	216	290	325	615	109	262	24	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	352	93	13	0	13	49	74	3	13	3	264	359	412	771	148	299	18	12	346	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	164	151	33	10	0	9	11	39	1	3	2	219	276	464	740	245	231	24	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	164	146	40	12	0	12	16	32	1	3	2	274	350	603	952	329	272	20	10	407	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	135	237	250	487	115	222	42	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	154	137	33	9	2	3	11	47	5	5	5	241	322	401	724	161	323	31	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	393	94	21	2	8	37	131	16	12	1	239	329	364	693	125	328	29	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	385	83	14	2	8	43	114	2	6	0	216	297	325	622	109	280	26	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	366	79	10	0	10	35	96	3	13	3	216	290	325	615	109	259	24	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	164	151	33	10	0	9	11	39	1	3	2	219	276	464	740	245	228	24	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	385	83	14	2	8	43	114	2	6	0	216	297	325	622	109	280	26	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	366	79	10	0	10	35	96	3	13	3	216	290	325	615	109	259	24	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	164	151	33	10	0	9	11	39	1	3	2	219	276	464	740	245	228	24	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	2%	214	193	45	8	1	7	18	51	1	4	1	232	301	389	690	157	276	24	8	307	94	-2	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	232	301	390	691	158	276	25	0	307	94	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	28%	294	265	63	12	1	10	25	70	2	5	1	232	302	390	691	158	276	24	9	307	94	-2	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.9
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	41%	337	304	70	13	1	11	28	80	2	6	2	232	302	388	689	156	277	24	8	307	94	-2	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	362	327	75	14	1	11	30	87	2	5	2	231	300	384	685	154	276	24	8	305	93	-3	+0	-3	+6	+8	0.9
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	369	333	76	14	1	11	31	89	2	4	1	229	299	379	678	150	276	24	8	302	91	-4	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.8
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	374	338	76	14	1	11	31	91	2	2	1	227	296	373	669	146	275	24	8	299	88	-5	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.5
2033	31	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	352	318	71	13	1	10	29	87	2	2	1	222	291	363	654	140	271	25	8	292	84	-7	+0	-5	+6	+8	0.3
2034	32	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	325	294	64	12	0	9	26	82	2	1	1	217	285	350	635	133	267	25	8	285	79	-8	-0	-5	+6	+7	-0.1
2035	33	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	289	263	55	10	0	7	23	75	1	1	0	210	277	335	612	124	262	26	8	275	72	-10	+0	-6	+5	+6	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	28%	84	77	17	3	0	3	7	20	0	1	0	232	302	390	692	158	276	24	8	308	94	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	41%	138	124	28	5	0	4	12	33	1	2	1	232	302	389	691	157	277	24	9	307	94	-1	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	176	158	37	7	0	6	15	42	1	2	1	231	301	385	686	154	276	24	9	305	93	-2	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	191	172	39	7	0	6	16	46	1	2	1	229	299	380	679	151	276	24	8	303	91	-2	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	201	181	41	8	0	6	17	49	1	1	1	227	296	373	670	147	275	24	8	299	88	-3	-0	-2	+4	+4	0.3
2033	31	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	193	174	39	7	0	6	16	48	1	1	0	223	291	363	655	141	271	25	8	293	84	-4	+0	-3	+3	+4	0.2
2034	32	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	181	163	36	7	0	5	15	46	1	1	0	217	285	351	635	133	267	25	8	285	79	-5	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.0
2035	33	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	163	148	31	6	0	4	13	42	1	1	0	211	277	335	612	125	262	26	8	275	72	-5	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1327	1197	268	50	0	40	111	326	7	11	4	224	294	366	659	142	272	25	8	296	85	-22	+1	-16	+24	+29	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	131	24	0	20	54	160	3	5	2	224	291	367	658	143	271	25	8	296	85	-11	+0	-8	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4552	4093	917	174	13	125	380	1157	45	71	21	224	297	365	662	140	279	25	8	294	85	-43	+2	-31	+52	+63	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	131	25	2	18	54	165	6	10	3	224	296	366	663	142	279	25	8	294	85	-10	+0	-7	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#2George Mitterwald'66-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,919 PA	4.4	2,919	76	14	235*	294*	396*	+47	-1	6.5	7.4
/162	664	17	3	+10.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 8
#3Scott Servais'91-'01 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,778 PA	4.2	2,778	63	3	235*	296*	373*	+49	+0	6.5	6.9
/162	664	15	1	+11.7	+0.1	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#5Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.0	1,330	39	12	225	291	370	+24	-13	3.7	3.6
/162	664	20	6	+11.9	-6.3	1.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Olivar (OGILVIE)	25	37→42	45	41→42	42	230/298/386	156	276	6	3	24%	8%	94	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.R. Towles 2009 · MLB	25	46→53	47→50	44→50	46	233/307/373	140	269	15	10	20%	6%	94	+0.9	218/299/349	131	257	13	8	20%	7%	86	+0.3	201/284/313	112	235	10	6	18%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→49	53→50	45→40	46	238/296/411	173	288	21	3	25%	8%	98	+1.2	233/287/378	145	304	17	3	28%	7%	87	+0.4	235/293/375	140	282	15	2	22%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Andrew Knizner 2020 · MLB	25	50	47→50	47→40	46	251/303/379	129	282	15	5	18%	6%	93	+0.8	223/294/333	110	269	11	5	21%	7%	79	-0.2	229/296/347	118	278	13	3	22%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	47→52	50→45	47→50	47	242/307/397	155	287	19	11	22%	7%	99	+1.2	240/317/364	124	289	13	10	21%	8%	95	+1.0	237/320/349	113	286	11	10	20%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2013 · MLB	25	46	49→55	45→30	46	235/298/383	148	286	18	2	24%	7%	93	+0.8	237/302/345	108	290	10	3	21%	7%	84	+0.2	239/308/330	91	291	8	0	20%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Paul McIntosh 2023 · AA	25	44→43	51→45	47→45	50	225/309/392	167	280	17	11	26%	9%	99	+1.2	216/289/345	129	275	15	8	26%	8%	80	-0.1	207/279/325	117	259	15	5	25%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Alan Espinoza 2016 · AAA	25	45	49→50	49→45	43	230/281/376	146	272	18	6	23%	6%	84	+0.1	236/281/379	143	277	16	6	21%	5%	84	+0.2	250/290/391	141	287	16	3	19%	4%	88	+0.2
✕Diego Castillo 2023 · MLB	25	43→53	51→50	43→50	44	224/277/381	157	258	20	7	22%	6%	84	+0.2	240/311/345	105	293	9	10	20%	9%	88	+0.4	242/319/330	88	296	6	10	19%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Chris Gimenez 2008 · AA	25	40→50	52→50	41→45	45	215/292/384	169	257	21	5	25%	7%	91	+0.7	232/307/373	141	297	16	4	26%	9%	93	+0.8	230/308/359	129	296	14	2	25%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Henry Davis 2024 · MLB	24	47	51→50	46→50	49	236/325/396	160	295	19	13	26%	9%	106	+1.8	209/290/352	143	263	18	10	27%	8%	83	+0.1	186/269/319	134	227	18	8	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Andrew Young 2019 · AA	25	45→46	50→55	47→40	41	233/305/387	154	286	19	5	25%	5%	97	+1.1	223/303/401	178	290	21	5	30%	6%	99	+1.3	197/281/374	177	276	22	3	35%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→45	50	43→45	44	212/287/367	154	275	17	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	220/300/368	148	290	16	5	28%	9%	90	+0.6	215/299/360	144	285	15	3	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Urías 2022 · MLB	25	48→58	52→55	47→45	53	247/331/420	173	289	20	7	22%	10%	113	+2.3	227/323/375	148	273	17	5	22%	10%	101	+1.4	212/315/343	131	259	15	4	23%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Andrew Susac 2015 · MLB	25	44→39	49→50	46→30	48	224/301/371	146	290	17	3	28%	9%	91	+0.6	214/282/356	142	287	16	3	30%	8%	80	-0.1	188/256/323	135	253	16	0	31%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2023 · MLB	24	42	53→55	47→50	42	221/281/392	171	284	21	10	30%	7%	88	+0.4	212/278/350	138	282	17	9	30%	7%	78	-0.3	198/268/323	125	260	15	12	29%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Austin Wells 2024 · MLB	25	41→44	52→55	53→50	46	216/288/382	166	271	20	11	28%	8%	88	+0.5	215/292/383	168	259	21	6	25%	9%	91	+0.6	205/292/372	167	241	22	5	25%	10%	89	+0.4
●Sean Murphy 2020 · MLB	25	45→49	53→60	46→30	45	232/293/409	177	275	20	4	24%	7%	97	+1.1	237/322/434	197	283	24	3	25%	10%	113	+2.3	239/334/439	199	278	24	0	22%	10%	120	+2.3
✕Alex Isola 2023 · AA	25	42→44	50	43→40	48	218/288/364	146	269	19	3	26%	9%	84	+0.2	213/278/336	123	269	14	6	25%	8%	74	-0.5	202/268/317	115	252	13	5	25%	7%	64	-0.9
✕James Darnell 2012 · MLB	25	49→52	52→55	46→40	51	251/320/420	169	286	20	4	20%	9%	109	+2.0	233/296/387	154	280	17	6	23%	7%	93	+0.8	217/298/394	177	244	24	3	22%	8%	95	+0.2

Ricardo Olivar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps