Eury Pérez

P Miami Marlins

Age 24 RHP 6'8" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 4.0 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 2.7 · 2029

Overview

MLBSP40-MANArb-2FA 2029

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	27	27	128	3.16	3.56	31.4%	7.9%	2.1	K 29.4% · BB 8.1% · FIP 3.91
2025	22	MIX3 levels	28	28	118	3.81	3.47	27.5%	8.8%	2.0	K 26.9% · BB 8.7% · FIP 3.67
2026	23	MIX2 levels	31	30	163	3.87	3.80	26.0%	10.1%	2.1	K 25.8% · BB 10.3% · FIP 3.98
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIA	28	28	156	4.12	4.16	27.5%	9.7%	1.4
2028PROJ95% MLB	25	MLBMIA	28	28	161	4.00	3.98	27.7%	9.2%	1.6
2029PROJ95% MLB	26	MLBMIA	28	28	166	3.98	3.97	27.8%	9.2%	1.7

Last 3 seasons WAR 6.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 4.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service4.000First FA2029

2027Arb-2$8M2028Arb-3$14M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo90

Whiff%71

K%70

xwOBA vs52

CompsYordano Ventura (age 24) · Mike Foltynewicz (age 24) · Jon Gray (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA4.12

FIP4.16

K%27.5%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%17.8%

Proj IP156

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 156 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.2

Whiff%

p7128.6%

p7025.8%

xwOBA vs

p520.310

FB (55%)

SI (18%)

CU (6%)

CH-0.9 (8%)

SL-1.0 (31%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$11M	+$3M
2028	Arb-3	$14M	+1.6	$12M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$23M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	78	305	108	26	7	100%	3.9	26.5%	10.0%	16.4%	2.9%	1.96	3.70	—
2021	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	78	305	108	26	7	100%	3.9	35.4%	8.5%	26.9%	2.3%	1.96	2.50	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	77	318	110	25	9	100%	4.3	27.6%	8.8%	18.8%	3.3%	3.97	3.71	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	77	318	110	25	9	100%	4.3	34.6%	7.9%	26.7%	2.8%	3.97	2.74	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	128	516	162	41	20	100%	4.7	29.4%	8.1%	21.3%	4.1%	3.16	3.91	+1.5
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	128	516	162	41	20	100%	4.7	31.4%	7.9%	23.4%	3.9%	3.16	3.56	+2.1
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	118	480	132	42	14	100%	4.2	26.9%	8.7%	18.2%	3.2%	3.81	3.67	+1.7
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	118	480	132	42	14	100%	4.2	26.9%	8.7%	18.2%	3.2%	3.81	3.67	+1.7
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	28	118	480	132	42	14	100%	4.2	27.5%	8.8%	18.8%	2.9%	3.81	3.47	+2.0
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	30	163	673	175	68	20	97%	5.2	25.8%	10.3%	15.5%	3.2%	3.87	3.98	+1.8
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	30	163	673	175	68	20	97%	5.2	25.8%	10.3%	15.5%	3.2%	3.87	3.98	+1.8
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	30	163	673	175	68	20	97%	5.2	26.0%	10.1%	15.9%	3.0%	3.87	3.80	+2.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			69	68	346	1419	383	131	47	99%	5.0	27.0%	9.2%	17.8%	3.3%	3.80	3.79	+4.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIA	28	28	156	659	181	64	21	100%	5.6	27.5%	9.7%	17.8%	3.2%	4.12	4.16	+1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	29	29	170	717	198	66	23	100%	5.9	27.7%	9.2%	18.5%	3.2%	4.09	4.07	+1.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	29	29	175	739	205	68	24	100%	6.0	27.8%	9.2%	18.6%	3.2%	4.07	4.06	+1.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	29	29	172	728	202	67	24	100%	5.9	27.8%	9.3%	18.5%	3.3%	4.09	4.10	+1.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	29	29	172	728	201	68	24	100%	5.9	27.7%	9.4%	18.3%	3.4%	4.15	4.18	+1.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIA	27	27	165	695	188	67	24	100%	6.1	27.1%	9.6%	17.4%	3.5%	4.27	4.34	+1.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIA	26	26	155	653	172	65	24	100%	5.9	26.4%	9.9%	16.4%	3.7%	4.44	4.55	+0.6
2034	31	MLB MLE	MIA	24	24	144	609	156	63	24	100%	6.0	25.6%	10.3%	15.3%	3.9%	4.64	4.78	+0.2
2035	32	MLB MLE	MIA	22	22	134	564	140	60	24	100%	6.1	24.8%	10.7%	14.1%	4.2%	4.88	5.04	-0.2
2036	33	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	122	517	124	58	23	100%	6.1	24.0%	11.1%	12.8%	4.5%	5.14	5.32	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	28	28	161	680	188	62	21	100%	5.8	27.7%	9.2%	18.5%	3.1%	4.00	3.98	+1.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	28	28	166	701	195	64	21	100%	5.9	27.8%	9.2%	18.6%	3.1%	3.98	3.97	+1.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	27	27	164	692	192	64	21	100%	6.1	27.8%	9.3%	18.5%	3.1%	4.00	4.01	+1.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	27	27	164	692	192	65	22	100%	6.1	27.7%	9.4%	18.3%	3.2%	4.06	4.09	+1.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIA	26	26	156	659	178	63	22	100%	6.0	27.1%	9.6%	17.4%	3.3%	4.17	4.24	+1.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIA	24	24	147	621	164	62	22	100%	6.1	26.4%	9.9%	16.4%	3.5%	4.34	4.45	+0.6
2034	31	MLB CTX	MIA	23	23	137	578	148	60	22	100%	6.0	25.6%	10.3%	15.3%	3.7%	4.53	4.67	+0.2
2035	32	MLB CTX	MIA	21	21	127	536	133	57	21	100%	6.0	24.8%	10.7%	14.1%	4.0%	4.77	4.93	-0.2
2036	33	MLB CTX	MIA	19	19	116	490	117	55	21	100%	6.1	24.0%	11.1%	12.8%	4.2%	5.02	5.20	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		293	292	1684	7071	1892	684	240	100%	5.7	26.8%	9.7%	17.1%	3.4%	4.18	3.93	+19.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	840	225	81	28	100%	5.8	26.8%	9.7%	17.1%	3.4%	4.18	3.93	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		124	123	564	2292	623	212	77	99%	4.5	27.2%	9.2%	17.9%	3.4%	3.45	3.82	+12.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	44	200	813	221	75	27	99%	4.5	27.2%	9.2%	17.9%	3.4%	3.45	3.82	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eury Pérez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.16	27.5%	9.7%	3.2%	—	4.08	27.8%	18.6%	517	-0.08	—	—	—
Yordano Ventura R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	24	SP	3.44	22.5%	8.2%	2.2%	.300	4.48	17.6%	8.2%	186	+1.04	3.44	548	68
Mike Foltynewicz R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	24	SP	3.97	21.1%	7.6%	3.1%	.280	3.76	23.0%	14.8%	505	-0.21	3.17	957	66
Jon Gray R 2016 · 3.15 FIP	24	SP	3.15	26.0%	8.0%	2.2%	.299	3.45	24.1%	16.9%	433	+0.30	2.93	1,345	65
Lance McCullers Jr. R 2018 · 3.31 FIP	24	SP	3.31	26.9%	9.5%	2.3%	.272	3.32	26.4%	15.9%	217	+0.01	2.77	861	65
Chad Kuhl R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	24	SP	4.03	20.9%	9.6%	2.7%	.311	4.88	21.9%	11.3%	131	+0.85	3.92	983	64
Chase Dollander R 2024 · 3.11 FIP	22	SP	3.11	26.5%	10.6%	1.7%	.315	4.48	20.5%	9.7%	157	+1.37	3.11	275	64
Josh Beckett R 2004 · 3.47 FIP	24	SP	3.47	23.2%	7.8%	2.5%	.278	3.68	21.5%	14.5%	584	+0.21	2.86	2,051	64
Raisel Iglesias R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	25	SP	3.54	23.7%	7.1%	2.8%	.271	3.11	27.7%	19.6%	226	-0.43	1.34	825	64
Trevor Bauer R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	24	SP	4.20	22.8%	10.5%	3.1%	.273	3.25	25.8%	17.7%	542	-0.95	2.16	1,298	64
Hunter Brown R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	24	SP	4.09	26.8%	8.3%	4.0%	.323	3.34	26.9%	17.9%	463	-0.75	2.77	845	63
Kevin Gausman R 2015 · 3.89 FIP	24	SP-	3.89	22.0%	6.5%	3.3%	.282	4.00	21.3%	14.3%	550	+0.11	2.34	2,103	63
Carson Ragsdale R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SP	4.21	25.0%	10.7%	3.4%	.349	4.27	25.0%	14.6%	148	+0.06	2.00	352	63
Daniel Cabrera R 2005 · 3.83 FIP	24	SP	3.83	21.9%	11.9%	2.0%	.283	4.53	17.4%	5.3%	532	+0.70	3.83	967	62
Luke Weaver R 2018 · 4.35 FIP	24	SP	4.35	19.9%	8.5%	3.4%	.314	3.85	24.1%	18.0%	182	-0.50	2.54	1,043	62
Nick Pivetta R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP	3.99	24.4%	8.4%	3.5%	.321	3.96	25.6%	17.0%	314	-0.03	2.06	1,597	62
Riley Gowens R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	22.6%	10.3%	3.7%	.279	4.37	21.3%	12.1%	173	-0.18	4.30	295	61
Tommy Hanson R 2011 · 3.76 FIP	24	SP	3.76	26.3%	8.0%	3.4%	.263	4.47	20.0%	11.4%	248	+0.71	3.15	778	61
José Berríos R 2018 · 3.63 FIP	24	SP	3.63	25.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.263	3.45	24.7%	18.2%	455	-0.18	3.06	1,889	61
Zack Wheeler R 2014 · 3.29 FIP	24	SP	3.29	23.6%	9.6%	1.8%	.296	4.75	21.0%	10.9%	86	+1.46	2.28	1,890	61
Kyle Bradish R 2021 · 3.60 FIP	24	SP	3.60	26.4%	10.6%	2.5%	.333	3.30	24.9%	17.2%	345	-0.30	2.20	750	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9.6	147	26.8%	9.7%	1.36	4.25
Mario Soto ('77-'88, 25 WAR*)	8.7	157	27.9%*	9.2%*	1.47*	3.95*
Sid Fernandez ('83-'97, 31 WAR*)	9.3	144	28.9%*	9.2%*	1.33*	3.85*
Carl Erskine ('48-'59, 19 WAR*)	8.6	143	23.7%*	8.4%*	1.30*	4.19*
Chris Archer ('22)	6.8	151	25.4%	8.3%	1.09	3.93
Scott Kazmir ('21)	8.5	155	22.1%	9.4%	1.02	4.02
Rich Harden ('11)	4.6	103	24.2%	10.7%	1.02	3.76