Luis Encarnacion

Luis Encarnacion2B Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AA H +4%HR -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .246 / .310

PA284

HR6

K%30

BB%5

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

35→35

SPD

45→45

EYE

35↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.1peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-0.1M		$-9M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	192	176	42	8	1	1	12	32	4	15	3	.239	.302	.312	.615	.074	.287	17	6	.272	66	-7	+2	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	158	145	29	6	0	4	9	28	3	1	1	.200	.261	.324	.585	.124	.219	18	6	.247	47	-9	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2023	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	402	377	81	12	0	9	20	115	1	7	6	.215	.256	.318	.575	.103	.280	29	5	.249	49	-23	-1	+0	+1	+11	-1.2
2024	21	A+	2 teams	332	319	65	8	0	11	9	88	2	3	1	.204	.230	.332	.563	.129	.243	27	3	.246	47	-20	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.9
2025	22	AA	2 teams	249	230	36	5	1	3	12	88	4	3	0	.157	.211	.226	.437	.070	.232	35	5	.196	8	-26	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	HOU	284	266	53	8	1	6	14	85	2	3	1	.199	.245	.305	.549	.105	.269	30	5	.251	50	-16	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 11%	HOU	342	317	66	11	1	8	19	99	3	4	1	.208	.260	.325	.585	.117	.272	29	6	.262	59	-16	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.5
2028	25	MLB 26%	HOU	393	364	77	13	1	10	23	111	3	5	1	.212	.264	.335	.599	.124	.274	28	6	.270	65	-16	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.3
2029	26	MLB 44%	HOU	426	393	84	14	1	11	26	119	4	6	1	.214	.270	.338	.608	.125	.275	28	6	.274	68	-15	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.1
2030	27	MLB 59%	HOU	437	402	86	14	1	12	28	122	4	6	1	.214	.272	.343	.615	.129	.276	28	6	.276	69	-15	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.0
2031	28	MLB 69%	HOU	441	406	87	14	1	12	28	124	4	6	1	.214	.272	.342	.614	.128	.275	28	6	.275	68	-16	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.2
2032	29	MLB 77%	HOU	436	401	85	14	1	11	28	124	4	5	1	.212	.270	.334	.604	.122	.274	28	6	.273	67	-16	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.3
2033	30	MLB 95%	HOU	429	394	82	13	1	11	28	123	4	5	0	.208	.268	.330	.598	.122	.273	29	7	.269	64	-17	+1	-2	+2	+12	-0.5
2034	31	MLB	HOU	417	383	79	13	1	10	27	122	4	3	0	.206	.266	.324	.589	.117	.272	29	6	.266	62	-18	+1	-3	+1	+12	-0.7
2035	32	MLB	HOU	399	367	74	12	1	9	26	119	3	2	0	.202	.260	.313	.573	.112	.270	30	7	.261	58	-19	+0	-4	+1	+11	-1.0
2036	33	MLB	HOU	370	340	68	11	1	8	24	112	3	2	0	.200	.259	.309	.568	.109	.268	30	6	.256	54	-19	+0	-4	+1	+10	-1.2
2037	34	MLB	HOU	326	299	59	9	1	7	21	102	3	1	0	.197	.257	.304	.561	.107	.267	31	6	.249	49	-19	+0	-5	+1	+9	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6033	5579	1153	185	14	143	354	1713	55	77	18	.207	.261	.322	.583	.115	.269	28	6	.261	58	-288	+8	-20	+22	+171	-10.9
/ 162G	—			650	601	124	20	2	15	38	185	6	8	2	.206	.260	.321	.582	.115	.269	28	6	.261	58	-31	+1	-2	+2	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	192	169	54	11	2	1	19	22	4	15	3	.320	.401	.426	.827	.107	.363	11	10	.374	144	+10	+2	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	158	140	37	9	0	5	14	19	3	1	1	.264	.344	.436	.780	.171	.274	12	9	.347	123	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	402	366	89	15	0	10	31	82	1	7	6	.243	.304	.366	.670	.123	.284	20	8	.299	87	-6	-1	—	—	+11	0.5
2024	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	45	43	10	0	0	4	2	10	0	0	0	.233	.267	.512	.778	.279	.207	22	4	.337	116	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	287	270	71	12	0	10	13	57	2	3	1	.263	.302	.419	.720	.156	.298	20	5	.317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+8	0.9
2025	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	168	152	25	4	0	3	10	48	4	2	0	.164	.235	.250	.485	.086	.214	29	6	.224	29	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2025	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	81	72	17	2	1	1	8	22	0	1	0	.236	.312	.333	.646	.097	.320	27	10	.291	81	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	23	25	35	45	30	.201/.246/.310	.109	.269	6	3	30%	5%	50	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	40	.184/.244/.291	.107	.270	10	4	35%	7%	44	-2.1	.200/.256/.326	.126	.277	13	4	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.206/.268/.347	.141	.262	15	2	27%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Alex Lavisky 2014 · AA	23	38	43→45	46→30	37	.194/.241/.300	.106	.270	11	3	32%	5%	45	-2.1	.210/.255/.303	.093	.269	10	4	25%	5%	52	-1.6	.203/.246/.281	.078	.250	9	1	22%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	38	41→45	48→30	32	.190/.229/.285	.095	.284	9	6	36%	4%	36	-2.7	.195/.244/.278	.083	.290	6	6	33%	4%	40	-2.4	.151/.199/.200	.049	.234	0	0	33%	2%	-2	-1.2
✕Will Banfield 2023 · AA	23	34→36	44→50	46→30	35	.182/.223/.292	.110	.253	12	3	33%	4%	35	-2.8	.199/.237/.329	.130	.273	15	3	32%	4%	50	-1.7	.194/.232/.318	.125	.265	15	1	33%	4%	44	-1.3
✕Juan Zabala 2022 · AA	23	40	43→40	46→50	37	.196/.253/.305	.109	.301	11	7	37%	6%	52	-1.6	.215/.278/.307	.092	.296	9	16	28%	7%	63	-0.9	.203/.265/.285	.083	.283	8	16	30%	7%	48	-0.8
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2022 · AA	23	43	43→40	47→45	41	.215/.260/.324	.109	.274	11	5	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.223/.275/.317	.094	.260	10	8	18%	6%	63	-0.8	.219/.280/.315	.096	.240	11	8	14%	7%	64	-0.3
✕Jarek Cunningham 2013 · AA	23	37→36	45→50	46→45	36	.189/.242/.316	.127	.267	12	6	33%	5%	50	-1.8	.194/.245/.329	.135	.268	15	7	33%	5%	55	-1.4	.187/.238/.329	.142	.255	16	7	33%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	39	38→40	49→45	40	.187/.243/.265	.078	.259	5	8	29%	6%	37	-2.7	.205/.266/.297	.092	.292	8	10	31%	7%	55	-1.4	.195/.264/.279	.084	.281	10	12	32%	7%	48	-0.5
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→34	41→40	47→45	40	.188/.242/.282	.095	.235	9	7	24%	4%	41	-2.3	.197/.252/.289	.092	.254	7	6	25%	4%	47	-1.9	.191/.244/.275	.085	.248	6	3	25%	3%	38	-1.0
✕Jose Gil 2010 · AA	23	41	40→45	44→45	38	.203/.239/.292	.089	.265	7	7	26%	4%	41	-2.3	.219/.268/.340	.121	.272	13	7	24%	5%	67	-0.5	.216/.271/.342	.126	.258	15	6	22%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	36	40→45	52→50	36	.183/.218/.281	.098	.255	7	9	31%	4%	30	-3.1	.212/.258/.297	.085	.293	5	9	28%	6%	50	-1.7	.233/.289/.308	.075	.313	4	8	25%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	.190/.256/.326	.136	.273	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.269/.352	.147	.297	17	9	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.199/.264/.350	.151	.290	18	7	36%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Jefrey Ramos 2022 · AA	23	37	45	49→40	36	.193/.235/.310	.117	.264	13	5	32%	4%	45	-2.1	.198/.256/.310	.112	.277	11	8	31%	6%	54	-1.4	.147/.223/.199	.051	.194	6	0	26%	6%	10	-0.8
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	42→45	47→50	40	.200/.259/.300	.100	.270	10	10	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.216/.274/.342	.126	.277	14	9	26%	6%	70	-0.3	.207/.266/.330	.122	.258	15	7	25%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	38	37→40	45→40	35	.185/.221/.256	.071	.265	5	5	32%	4%	24	-3.6	.204/.259/.277	.073	.307	4	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	.207/.273/.237	.030	.325	0	0	33%	7%	41	-0.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	40	.203/.258/.301	.098	.286	8	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.266/.289	.089	.294	8	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	.183/.256/.260	.077	.269	7	8	32%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Justin Twine 2019 · AA	23	42→30	39→40	48→50	32	.202/.241/.290	.087	.299	7	10	34%	3%	41	-2.3	.208/.247/.294	.086	.309	6	11	33%	4%	45	-2.1	.192/.230/.271	.079	.306	5	14	37%	3%	29	-1.7
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	38	38→45	46→30	37	.185/.238/.260	.075	.283	6	3	35%	6%	33	-2.9	.212/.264/.314	.102	.298	9	3	30%	6%	58	-1.2	.218/.278/.331	.113	.293	11	0	28%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	37→35	43→45	49→55	37	.190/.236/.299	.109	.254	11	9	30%	4%	43	-2.2	.194/.260/.318	.124	.282	14	15	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.230/.309/.359	.129	.323	13	18	30%	8%	87	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)