Braeden Schlehuber
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 232 | .170/.225/.217 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — | .157/.194/.202 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAAGwinnett Brav… | 116 | .236/.257/.300 | 0 | 0 | 32 | — | .216/.230/.270 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAAGwinnett Brav… | 15 | .267/.267/.467 | 1 | 0 | 36 | — | .200/.200/.400 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 20 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 142 | 123 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 268 | 362 | 301 | 663 | 33 | 340 | 19 | 7 | 312 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 388 | 351 | 70 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 266 | 308 | 574 | 108 | 225 | 15 | 5 | 260 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 95 | 87 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 172 | 218 | 390 | 103 | 110 | 13 | 4 | 176 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Rome Braves | — | 173 | 154 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 221 | 286 | 279 | 565 | 58 | 244 | 12 | 3 | 256 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 100 | 86 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 320 | 326 | 645 | 93 | 328 | 28 | 9 | 289 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 132 | 121 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 300 | 430 | 730 | 182 | 257 | 13 | 7 | 318 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 319 | 289 | 78 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 270 | 330 | 439 | 770 | 170 | 297 | 15 | 3 | 339 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 192 | 176 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 250 | 290 | 540 | 91 | 221 | 17 | 5 | 241 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 280 | 239 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 313 | 318 | 631 | 88 | 246 | 11 | 9 | 279 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 128 | 114 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 158 | 226 | 193 | 419 | 35 | 189 | 16 | 7 | 194 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 104 | 98 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 223 | 245 | 468 | 61 | 212 | 12 | 5 | 212 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 116 | 110 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 257 | 300 | 557 | 64 | 310 | 23 | 2 | 244 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 15 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 267 | 467 | 733 | 200 | 429 | 47 | 0 | 320 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 142 | 127 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 197 | 277 | 220 | 497 | 24 | 269 | 27 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 388 | 357 | 61 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 171 | 227 | 258 | 485 | 87 | 201 | 20 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 95 | 88 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 161 | 216 | 377 | 102 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 173 | 156 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 192 | 250 | 244 | 494 | 51 | 208 | 16 | 2 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 100 | 89 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 268 | 292 | 560 | 90 | 296 | 34 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 132 | 124 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 238 | 331 | 569 | 129 | 219 | 18 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 319 | 293 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 276 | 358 | 635 | 137 | 256 | 22 | 2 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 192 | 180 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 207 | 244 | 452 | 72 | 201 | 22 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 280 | 250 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 265 | 296 | 561 | 84 | 219 | 14 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 128 | 117 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 202 | 188 | 390 | 34 | 182 | 20 | 5 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 104 | 100 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 184 | 220 | 404 | 60 | 184 | 14 | 3 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 116 | 111 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 230 | 270 | 500 | 54 | 284 | 27 | 1 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 600 | 200 | 381 | 53 | 0 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 142 | 127 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 197 | 277 | 220 | 497 | 24 | 281 | 27 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 142 | 123 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 268 | 362 | 301 | 663 | 33 | 340 | 19 | 7 | 312 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 388 | 357 | 61 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 171 | 227 | 258 | 485 | 87 | 207 | 20 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 388 | 351 | 70 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 266 | 308 | 574 | 108 | 225 | 15 | 5 | 260 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 245 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 159 | 211 | 229 | 439 | 69 | 181 | 17 | 2 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 268 | 241 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 183 | 245 | 257 | 502 | 75 | 197 | 12 | 4 | 228 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 232 | 214 | 43 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 247 | 313 | 560 | 112 | 253 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 232 | 207 | 50 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 308 | 386 | 695 | 145 | 283 | 19 | 8 | 305 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 319 | 293 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 276 | 358 | 635 | 137 | 267 | 22 | 2 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 319 | 289 | 78 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 270 | 330 | 439 | 770 | 170 | 297 | 15 | 3 | 339 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 192 | 180 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 207 | 244 | 452 | 72 | 206 | 22 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 192 | 176 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 250 | 290 | 540 | 91 | 221 | 17 | 5 | 241 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 280 | 250 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 265 | 296 | 561 | 84 | 234 | 14 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 280 | 239 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 313 | 318 | 631 | 88 | 246 | 11 | 9 | 279 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 232 | 217 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 152 | 189 | 194 | 383 | 41 | 186 | 18 | 4 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 232 | 212 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 225 | 217 | 442 | 47 | 200 | 14 | 6 | 202 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 116 | 111 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 230 | 270 | 500 | 54 | 296 | 27 | 1 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 116 | 110 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 257 | 300 | 557 | 64 | 310 | 23 | 2 | 244 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 600 | 200 | 333 | 53 | 0 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 15 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 267 | 467 | 733 | 200 | 429 | 47 | 0 | 320 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 142 | 127 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 197 | 277 | 220 | 497 | 24 | 269 | 27 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 388 | 359 | 61 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 170 | 227 | 256 | 483 | 86 | 201 | 20 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 250 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 156 | 211 | 224 | 435 | 68 | 169 | 17 | 2 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 232 | 217 | 43 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 198 | 247 | 309 | 555 | 111 | 252 | 25 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 319 | 294 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 276 | 357 | 633 | 136 | 256 | 22 | 2 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 192 | 182 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 170 | 207 | 242 | 449 | 71 | 201 | 22 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 280 | 260 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 265 | 285 | 550 | 81 | 219 | 14 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 232 | 220 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 150 | 189 | 191 | 380 | 41 | 183 | 18 | 4 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 116 | 113 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 230 | 265 | 496 | 53 | 284 | 27 | 1 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 600 | 200 | 381 | 53 | 0 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2184 | 2009 | 377 | 80 | 6 | 25 | 69 | 452 | 60 | 22 | 9 | 188 | 237 | 271 | 507 | 83 | 227 | 21 | 3 | 220 | 35 | -169 | +1 | +0 | +39 | +47 | -8.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 112 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 135 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 187 | 237 | 269 | 507 | 82 | 228 | 21 | 3 | 220 | 35 | -50 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 15 PAwOBA .310 → .222 (−87)K% 46.7% → 56.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 46.67% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 56.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 34.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 10.61% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .310 → .222; ISO .200 → .138; BABIP .429 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAGwinnett Braves · 116 PAwOBA .239 → .215 (−24)K% 23.3% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.28% | ÷1.046 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.72% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 1.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 21.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 7.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.132 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 109, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .239 → .215; ISO .064 → .055; BABIP .310 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGwinnett Braves · 128 PAwOBA .191 → .169 (−22)K% 15.6% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷0.940 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.03% | ÷1.103 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.89% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 14.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 3.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 88, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .191 → .169; ISO .035 → .032; BABIP .189 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMississippi Braves · 104 PAwOBA .206 → .174 (−32)K% 12.5% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.81% | ÷0.965 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.29% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.978 | 13.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷0.927 | ×0.910 | ×0.969 | ×0.978 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.005 | ×0.880 | ×0.969 | ×0.978 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.784 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 104, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .206 → .174; ISO .061 → .055; BABIP .212 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMississippi Braves · 280 PAwOBA .273 → .244 (−29)K% 10.7% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.71% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.056 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.62% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 17.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.78% | ÷1.015 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.004 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.813 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 101, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .273 → .244; ISO .088 → .087; BABIP .246 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMississippi Braves · 192 PAwOBA .234 → .199 (−35)K% 17.2% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.19% | ÷0.965 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.69% | ÷1.089 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 2.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.88% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 17.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.80% | ÷0.921 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 2.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.21% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 93, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .234 → .199; ISO .091 → .076; BABIP .221 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 319 PAwOBA .331 → .270 (−61)K% 14.7% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.73% | ÷0.944 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.82% | ÷1.021 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 1.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.33% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 4.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.25% | ÷0.994 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 18.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.905 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.25% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .331 → .270; ISO .170 → .138; BABIP .297 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 132 PAwOBA .311 → .245 (−66)K% 12.9% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.88% | ÷1.009 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷0.988 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.981 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 14.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.166 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .311 → .245; ISO .182 → .137; BABIP .257 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).